Arda vs Spartak Varna: match statistics
Arda presents significantly better form in the last five matches with a record of 3-1-1 and 2 points per match, while Spartak Varna has not won any of their last five meetings, earning just 0.6 points per match. The hosts possess a clear advantage in offensive parameters – averaging 14.09 shots and 4 shots on target per match at home versus just 6.73 shots and 1.64 on target for the guests away. Arda controls the game with 57% possession in home matches and generates xG at a level of 1.69, which significantly exceeds Spartak's 0.89 xG on the road. Spartak Varna has very poor away efficiency with only 9% wins and as many as 64% draws, suggesting a defensive mindset, though their average of 1 goal conceded per away match and negative goal difference (-4) indicate defensive vulnerability. Taking all parameters into account, Arda has a clear advantage, although Spartak's tendency to draw and the hosts' modest home efficiency (27% wins) increase the probability of shared points.
Arda vs Spartak Varna: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Arda played Spartak Varna in First League (Bulgaria). The match was played on 27 February 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Arda: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Spartak Varna: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Arda scores 1.05 and concedes 1.05 goals per match. Spartak Varna scores 0.95 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.35 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Arda 27%, Spartak Varna 64%. Over 2.5: Arda 36%, Spartak Varna 45%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Arda has higher xG: 1.50 vs 1.07. Arda: 11.8 shots per match, Spartak Varna: 8.3.
Match halves
Arda: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.36. Spartak Varna: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.64.
Goals by minute
Arda: 31-45+ (7 goals). Spartak Varna: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First League: 2.35 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Arda presents significantly better form in the last five matches with a record of 3-1-1 and 2 points per match, while Spartak Varna has not won any of their last five meetings, earning just 0.6 points per match. The hosts possess a clear advantage in offensive parameters – averaging 14.09 shots and 4 shots on target per match at home versus just 6.73 shots and 1.64 on target for the guests away. Arda controls the game with 57% possession in home matches and generates xG at a level of 1.69, which significantly exceeds Spartak's 0.89 xG on the road. Spartak Varna has very poor away efficiency with only 9% wins and as many as 64% draws, suggesting a defensive mindset, though their average of 1 goal conceded per away match and negative goal difference (-4) indicate defensive vulnerability. Taking all parameters into account, Arda has a clear advantage, although Spartak's tendency to draw and the hosts' modest home efficiency (27% wins) increase the probability of shared points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Arda | Spartak Varna | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Arda is 167% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Arda · 0.6 pts / match - Spartak Varna
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Arda is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
1.05 goals / match - Arda · 0.95 goals / match - Spartak Varna
Arda is 43% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.05 goals / match - Arda · 1.5 goals / match - Spartak Varna
Arda scores in 50% of matches (11 of 22 matches), while Spartak Varna keeps a clean sheet in 23% (5 of 22 matches).
Spartak Varna scores in 68% of matches (15 of 22 matches), while Arda keeps a clean sheet in 41% (9 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Arda
Over / Under - Spartak Varna
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Arda is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.27 pts / match - Arda · 1.05 pts / match - Spartak Varna
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Arda - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Spartak Varna - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 14%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Arda
Spartak Varna
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).
Teams vs league
| Arda | Liga | Spartak Varna | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.09 | 2.35 | ▲ 2.45 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 27% | 47% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 36% | 46% | • 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 41% | 33% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 66% | ▲ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 55% | 70% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Arda 0 - 0 - 1 Spartak Varna. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Arda vs Spartak Varna?
The First League match finished Arda 1:0 Spartak Varna. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Arda vs Spartak Varna?
Arda score 1.05 goals per game on average and Spartak Varna 0.95. The First League average is 2.35 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 27% of Arda's matches and 64% of Spartak Varna's.
What form are Arda and Spartak Varna in?
Over the last 5 games Arda have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Spartak Varna 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Arda vs Spartak Varna?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Arda vs Spartak Varna: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.