Arema vs Adhyaksa: match statistics

Adhyaksa have shown clearly better form in their last five matches: they have won 3 times, drawn once and average 2.2 points per game, while Arema have recorded 2 wins and 3 losses, averaging 1.2 points. The visitors have scored 11 goals during this period—more than twice Arema’s 5—highlighting a significantly higher level of attacking efficiency. Arema have conceded 6 goals in five matches, compared with 7 for Adhyaksa, meaning the hosts’ defence does not provide an advantage capable of offsetting the difference in attack. Both teams have suffered 3 defeats across Arema’s last five appearances, compared with just 1 defeat for Adhyaksa. Therefore, an away win is more likely, although the visitors’ seven goals conceded leave the hosts with a realistic chance of scoring.

The BTTS signal is moderately positive, as Adhyaksa featured in BTTS - Yes outcomes in 3 of the last 5 matches involving both teams, equating to 60%, while Arema saw this scenario in 40% of their matches. The visitors have recently scored an average of 2.2 goals per match, while the hosts have conceded 1.2, suggesting favorable conditions for Adhyaksa to find the net. Arema have scored just 5 goals in five appearances and their average xG stands at 0.80, but the visitors’ defence has allowed an average of 1.58 xG and conceded 1.4 goals per match. These figures indicate that the hosts have a realistic, though not dominant, chance of breaking through the opposition’s defence. The lack of seasonal data lowers confidence in the prediction, but the current form of both teams slightly supports a goal from each side. Therefore, BTTS - No means that at least one team fails to score; it does not automatically imply a 0:0 result or that neither team will score.

The available data from the last 5 matches indicates that Arema averaged 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded, while Adhyaksa scored 2.2 goals and conceded 1.4. The visitors have a clearly stronger attacking run, but their average xG stands at 1.40, while Arema generated only 0.80 xG, which limits the projection of a very high-scoring game. Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of Arema’s last 5 matches and in 3 of Adhyaksa’s last 5 games, so the 2.5 line remains practically balanced. At the same time, the combined projection of 2.55 goals suggests that the 4-goal threshold is relatively high, making Under 3.5 goals the best value.

Recent form clearly favors Adhyaksa: the visitors have won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 2.2 goals, while Arema have suffered 3 defeats and scored just 1.0 goal per game. Adhyaksa led at the break in 60% of their last five matches, compared with 40% for the hosts, strengthening the case for the visitors to have the advantage in the first half. After the interval, Arema averaged fewer than one goal and found the net in 0% of the analyzed second halves, whereas Adhyaksa scored an average of 1.4 goals in those periods. The visitors also recorded a positive second-half goal difference of +3, while Arema managed just 0.4 goals after the break. Therefore, the most likely scenario is Adhyaksa leading at half-time and securing the full-time victory (1/1).