Arema vs Bali United: match statistics
Arema displays significantly better form in the last five matches, collecting 10 points (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss), while Bali United is in crisis with just 2 points (0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses). The hosts maintain a positive goal difference at home (+3) and have won 45% of their home games, contrasting sharply with the visitors' recent form, which has seen them concede 10 goals in their last 5 outings. Although Bali United has a respectable away win percentage (45%), their current losing streak and poor defense (averaging 1.73 goals conceded on the road) significantly diminish their chances. Arema also holds a slight edge in possession (51% vs 48%) and a more effective defense in home matches, which should translate into control of the game. Considering all factors, I expect a close match with a slight advantage for the hosts, though a draw remains a realistic scenario.
Arema vs Bali United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Arema played Bali United in Liga 1 (Indonesia). The match was played on 6 March 2026. Final score: 3:4.
Current form
Arema: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Bali United: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Arema scores 1.39 and concedes 1.30 goals per match. Bali United scores 1.35 and concedes 1.35. League average: 2.65 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Arema 70%, Bali United 52%. Over 2.5: Arema 61%, Bali United 48%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Bali United has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.42. Arema: 11.7 shots per match, Bali United: 12.7.
Match halves
Arema: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.96. Bali United: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.91.
Goals by minute
Arema: 76-90+ (10 goals). Bali United: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 1: 2.65 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Arema displays significantly better form in the last five matches, collecting 10 points (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss), while Bali United is in crisis with just 2 points (0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses). The hosts maintain a positive goal difference at home (+3) and have won 45% of their home games, contrasting sharply with the visitors' recent form, which has seen them concede 10 goals in their last 5 outings. Although Bali United has a respectable away win percentage (45%), their current losing streak and poor defense (averaging 1.73 goals conceded on the road) significantly diminish their chances. Arema also holds a slight edge in possession (51% vs 48%) and a more effective defense in home matches, which should translate into control of the game. Considering all factors, I expect a close match with a slight advantage for the hosts, though a draw remains a realistic scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Arema | Bali United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Arema is 400% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Arema · 0.4 pts / match - Bali United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Arema scores in 83% of matches (19 of 23 matches), while Bali United keeps a clean sheet in 39% (9 of 23 matches).
Bali United scores in 74% of matches (17 of 23 matches), while Arema keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Arema
Over / Under - Bali United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Arema is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.26 pts / match - Arema · 1.09 pts / match - Bali United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Arema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Bali United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Arema
Bali United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 1).
Teams vs league
| Arema | Liga | Bali United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.70 | 2.65 | • 2.70 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 70% | 54% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 61% | 51% | ▼ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 27% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 69% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 82% | ▼ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Arema 0 - 0 - 1 Bali United. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Arema vs Bali United?
The Liga 1 match finished Arema 3:4 Bali United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Arema vs Bali United?
Arema score 1.39 goals per game on average and Bali United 1.35. The Liga 1 average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Arema's matches and 52% of Bali United's.
What form are Arema and Bali United in?
Over the last 5 games Arema have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Bali United 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Arema vs Bali United?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Arema vs Bali United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.