Arezzo vs Ascoli: match statistics
Arezzo vs Ascoli: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Arezzo played Ascoli in Serie C Group B (Italy). The match was played on 30 March 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Arezzo: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Ascoli: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Arezzo scores 1.74 and concedes 0.65 goals per match. Ascoli scores 1.77 and concedes 0.65. League average: 2.26 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Arezzo 42%, Ascoli 39%. Over 2.5: Arezzo 42%, Ascoli 45%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 39%.
xG, shots and style
Arezzo has higher xG: 1.73 vs 1.63. Arezzo: 14.5 shots per match, Ascoli: 13.1.
Match halves
Arezzo: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 1.19. Ascoli: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.90.
Goals by minute
Arezzo: 76-90+ (16 goals). Ascoli: 31-45+ (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group B: 2.26 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 39%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ascoli carries clearer momentum (5 wins in last 5, 12 goals in last 5) and a higher shot conversion rate, suggesting superior attacking efficiency. The visitors also show higher possession and steady away results, with PPG 3 in the last 5. Arezzo have a strong home record (67% wins, 0.73 avg goals conceded/home and high clean sheet share), providing solid defense and home edge. However, the form and attacking efficiency gap currently favor Ascoli, although a balanced match and possible draw are expected. I lean to a narrow away win with moderate risk of a draw or home upset.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistical analysis favors 'no' due to Arezzo’s very high clean sheet rate this season (CS% 63%) and low home seasonal BTTS (31%), suggesting many matches with one team failing to score. The league has a high CS rate (59%) and moderate goals avg 2.28, which supports No Goal outcomes. Ascoli shows strong recent attacking form (5 wins, 12 goals in last 5), but xG and seasonal averages are moderate (xG_for 1.53 vs 1.73 for Arezzo), limiting BTTS confidence. Although Arezzo’s last 5 home matches show rising BTTS, Arezzo’s long-term defensive stability and the league tendency to clean sheets make the 'no' signal stronger. Recommendation: BTTS: No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG and goals-per-game analysis indicate a match with elevated chance of scoring opportunities: average xG both sides (1.73 vs 1.53) combined with acceptable conversion rates imply an expected total ~2.74 goals. Arezzo shows strong defence (63% CS) but Ascoli is in excellent form (last 5 wins) and consistently creates chances, balancing goal prospects. Seasonal Over/Under stats show high Over 1.5 probability (69%/67% home/away) and moderate for Over 2.5, matching proposed probabilities. BTTS is moderate, so much of the Over 1.5 probability stems from shared xG and chance creation rather than one-sided dominance. Strongest signal: Over 1.5, hence recommend backing Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Statistical analysis shows Arezzo often leads at HT (leadingAtHTPercentage_home 50%) and maintains solid defense (seasonConcededAVG_home 0.5, seasonCSPercentage_home 63%), which favors a home lead and full-time victory. Arezzo has higher average scoring and an HT advantage (HTPPG_home 1.94 vs HTPPG_away 1.53) and a significant number of first-half goals (GoalsHT_home 20), increasing the probability of leading at the break. Ascoli’s good last-5 form makes a draw or turnaround possible, so moderate probabilities apply to draws and comebacks. Overall the strongest signal is 1/1 (Arezzo leading at HT and winning FT) due to their statistical HT dominance and solid FT defense.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Arezzo | Ascoli | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ascoli is 88% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Arezzo · 3 pts / match - Ascoli
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Arezzo scores in 90% of matches (28 of 31 matches), while Ascoli keeps a clean sheet in 52% (16 of 31 matches).
Ascoli scores in 77% of matches (24 of 31 matches), while Arezzo keeps a clean sheet in 55% (17 of 31 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Arezzo
Over / Under - Ascoli
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ascoli is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.35 pts / match - Arezzo · 1.74 pts / match - Ascoli
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Arezzo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 68%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ascoli - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 61%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +16 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (16 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Arezzo
Ascoli
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).
Teams vs league
| Arezzo | Liga | Ascoli | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.39 | 2.26 | ▲ 2.42 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 49% | ▼ 39% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 42% | 39% | ▲ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 55% | 30% | ▲ 52% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 62% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 74% | 72% | • 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Arezzo 1 - 0 - 0 Ascoli. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Arezzo vs Ascoli?
The Serie C Group B match finished Arezzo 1:2 Ascoli. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Arezzo vs Ascoli?
Arezzo score 1.74 goals per game on average and Ascoli 1.77. The Serie C Group B average is 2.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Arezzo's matches and 39% of Ascoli's.
What form are Arezzo and Ascoli in?
Over the last 5 games Arezzo have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Ascoli 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Arezzo vs Ascoli?
The statistical background for Arezzo vs Ascoli — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.