Aris vs AEK Larnaca: match statistics
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Aris vs AEK Larnaca: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Aris play AEK Larnaca in First Division (Cyprus). The match date is 18 October 2026. Venue: Stadio Stelios Kyriakides.
Current form
Aris: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. AEK Larnaca: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Aris scores 1.20 and concedes 1.40 goals per match. AEK Larnaca scores 2.00 and concedes 0.80. League average: 3.00 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Aris 60%, AEK Larnaca 60%. Over 2.5: Aris 60%, AEK Larnaca 60%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 69%.
xG, shots and style
AEK Larnaca has higher xG: 1.68 vs 1.60. Aris: 11.8 shots per match, AEK Larnaca: 13.2.
Match halves
Aris: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.80. AEK Larnaca: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Aris: 76-90+ (2 goals). AEK Larnaca: 16-30 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First Division: 3.00 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 69%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-3. Average goals 3.75, BTTS 50%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Aris | AEK Larnaca | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 47% | 45% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.21 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
AEK Larnaca is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Aris · 2.4 pts / match - AEK Larnaca
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AEK Larnaca is 67% better for: goals scored per match.
1.2 goals / match - Aris · 2 goals / match - AEK Larnaca
AEK Larnaca is 75% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.4 goals / match - Aris · 0.8 goals / match - AEK Larnaca
Aris scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while AEK Larnaca keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).
AEK Larnaca scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Aris keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Aris
Over / Under - AEK Larnaca
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AEK Larnaca is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.2 pts / match - Aris · 1.8 pts / match - AEK Larnaca
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Aris - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
AEK Larnaca - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 80%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Aris
AEK Larnaca
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| Aris | Liga | AEK Larnaca | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.60 | 3.00 | ▼ 2.80 |
| Both teams scored | • 60% | 60% | • 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 60% | 69% | ▼ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 26% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 71% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 80% | 89% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Aris 1 - 0 - 3 AEK Larnaca. Average goals 3.75, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
When do Aris and AEK Larnaca play?
Aris face AEK Larnaca on 18 October 2026 in First Division at Stadio Stelios Kyriakides. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Aris and AEK Larnaca?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Aris won 1, AEK Larnaca won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Aris vs AEK Larnaca?
Aris score 1.20 goals per game on average and AEK Larnaca 2.00. The First Division average is 3.00 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 69% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Aris's matches and 60% of AEK Larnaca's.
What form are Aris and AEK Larnaca in?
Over the last 5 games Aris have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and AEK Larnaca 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aris vs AEK Larnaca?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Aris vs AEK Larnaca: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.