Aris vs Larissa: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Aris played Larissa in Super League (Greece). The match was played on 29 November 2025. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

Aris: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Larissa: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Aris scores 0.82 and concedes 1.09 goals per match. Larissa scores 0.91 and concedes 1.82. League average: 2.73 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Aris 45%, Larissa 55%. Over 2.5: Aris 27%, Larissa 36%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 49%.

xG, shots and style

Aris has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.37. Aris: 12.6 shots per match, Larissa: 13.2.

Match halves

Aris: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.55. Larissa: half-time lead 9%, second-half goals 0.55.

Goals by minute

Aris: 61-75 (4 goals). Larissa: 46-60 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Super League: 2.73 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 49%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
1 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

66Possession (%)34
ArisLarissa
18Shots2
ArisLarissa
8Shots on target1
ArisLarissa
2.03xG0.3
ArisLarissa
7Corners0
ArisLarissa
46Dangerous attacks12
ArisLarissa
14Fouls21
ArisLarissa
4Cards6
ArisLarissa

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.82Goals scored / match0.91
ArisLarissa
1.09Goals conceded / match1.82
ArisLarissa
53%Average possession46%
ArisLarissa
4.09Shots on target / match4
ArisLarissa

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.64Shots per match13.18
ArisLarissa
4.09Shots on target4
ArisLarissa
6.5%Shot conversion6.9%
ArisLarissa
53%Possession46%
ArisLarissa
1.42xG for1.37
ArisLarissa
1.3xG against1.54
ArisLarissa

Shooting quality

Aris: BalancedLarissa: Balanced
ArisLarissa
Accuracy (shots on target)32%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.200.23

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Aris
DDLDL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
27% W36% D36% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-4-4
1.18 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-3-1
Last 5 at home
1-3-1
WLDDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 0.97Opponent xG: 1.69BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 20%
Larissa
LWLLL
Season result split
9% W36% D55% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-4-6
0.64 pts / match · goal difference -10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-2-2
Last 5 away
1-2-2
LDDWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.53Opponent xG: 1.21BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Larissa is 11% better for: goals scored per match.

0.82 goals / match - Aris · 0.91 goals / match - Larissa

Aris is 67% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.09 goals / match - Aris · 1.82 goals / match - Larissa

Aris scoring profile: very strong

Aris scores in 64% of matches (7 of 11 matches), while Larissa keeps a clean sheet in 9% (1 of 11 matches).

Larissa scoring profile: strong

Larissa scores in 64% of matches (7 of 11 matches), while Aris keeps a clean sheet in 27% (3 of 11 matches).

9Goals scored (season)10
ArisLarissa
12Goals conceded (season)20
ArisLarissa
1.91Average goals in match2.73
ArisLarissa
3Goals scored (last 5)3
ArisLarissa
5Goals conceded (last 5)9
ArisLarissa

How often they score at least...

64%1 goal64%
ArisLarissa
18%2 goals27%
ArisLarissa
0%3 goals0%
ArisLarissa
0%4 goals0%
ArisLarissa

How often they concede at least...

73%1 goal91%
ArisLarissa
27%2 goals55%
ArisLarissa
9%3 goals18%
ArisLarissa
0%4 goals9%
ArisLarissa

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

9%BTTS at half-time18%
ArisLarissa
0%BTTS in both halves9%
ArisLarissa
9%Scored in both halves9%
ArisLarissa

BTTS and goal count

18%Min. 3 goals and BTTS27%
ArisLarissa
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
ArisLarissa
60%BTTS - last 520%
ArisLarissa

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

45%Min. 1 goal before half-time73%
ArisLarissa
9%Min. 2 goals before half-time45%
ArisLarissa
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time18%
ArisLarissa

2nd half

91%Min. 1 goal after half-time73%
ArisLarissa
36%Min. 2 goals after half-time45%
ArisLarissa
9%Min. 3 goals after half-time9%
ArisLarissa

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Aris is 115% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.18 pts / match - Aris · 0.55 pts / match - Larissa

Aris - half-time state
18% leading64% draw18% trailing
Larissa - half-time state
9% leading27% draw64% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.18Points per match (1st half)0.55
ArisLarissa
0.27Goals scored (1st half)0.36
ArisLarissa
0.27Goals conceded (1st half)1
ArisLarissa
0.55Average goals (1st half)1.36
ArisLarissa
73%Clean sheet before half-time36%
ArisLarissa
73%No goal before half-time73%
ArisLarissa

After half-time (2nd half)

1.18Points per match (2nd half)1
ArisLarissa
0.55Goals scored (2nd half)0.55
ArisLarissa
0.82Goals conceded (2nd half)0.82
ArisLarissa
1.36Average goals (2nd half)1.36
ArisLarissa
45%Clean sheet after half-time45%
ArisLarissa
55%No goal after half-time55%
ArisLarissa

Aris - second-half results

36% W9% D55% L
13
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.18
PPG before half-time
Lead holding150%

Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Larissa - second-half results

18% W45% D36% L
6
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.55
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 9% of matches and wins 9%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Aris - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.200.80
Goals scored / match0.20.4
Goals conceded / match0.20.8
Average goals in match0.41.2
1 goal40%80%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Larissa - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.600.60
Goals scored / match0.60.0
Goals conceded / match1.20.6
Average goals in match1.80.6
1 goal100%40%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal60%100%
Goal difference-3-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 0% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Aris
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
0
2
16-30
2
0
31-45
1
4
46-60
4
2
61-75
1
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Larissa
ScoredConceded
1
4
0-15
1
5
16-30
2
2
31-45
3
3
46-60
2
3
61-75
1
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.32
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
85%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
41%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
13%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Aris

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.12
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.39
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.60
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.21
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
55%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
89%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.58
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
11% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
11%

Larissa

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.17
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.74
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.46
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.28
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
74%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
122%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.04
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
10% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
10%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Super League).

Teams vs league

ArisLigaLarissa
Average goals in match 1.912.73 2.73
Both teams scored 45%49% 55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 27%49% 36%
Clean sheets 27%27% 9%
Goal before half-time 45%68% 73%
Goal after half-time 91%86% 73%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.73
Average goals per match
49%
Both teams scored
49%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.49
Home goals / match
1.23
Away goals / match
+21%
Home attack advantage
+17%
Home defence advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
86%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. LarissaYellow cardEpaminondas Pantelakis
  2. ArisYellow cardUroš Račić
  3. LarissaYellow cardSavvas Mourgos
  4. LarissaYellow cardLeandro Julián Garate
  5. LarissaYellow cardLeandro Julián Garate
  6. LarissaSubstitutionOn: Vasilios SourlisOff: Savvas Mourgos
  7. ArisYellow cardLindsay Rose
  8. LarissaYellow cardKonstantinos Apostolakis
  9. ArisSubstitutionOn: Mamadou GningOff: Uroš Račić
  10. LarissaGoalGiannis Pasas

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Fotis PolychronisMatches officiated: 15
4.87Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 267%Home wins20%Draws13%Away wins

FAQ

What was the result of Aris vs Larissa?

The Super League match finished Aris 2:1 Larissa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Aris vs Larissa?

Aris score 0.82 goals per game on average and Larissa 0.91. The Super League average is 2.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Aris's matches and 55% of Larissa's.

What form are Aris and Larissa in?

Over the last 5 games Aris have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Larissa 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aris vs Larissa?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.