Aris vs Omonia Nicosia: match statistics
The clash between the league leader Omonia Nicosia and the runner-up Aris promises to be extremely close. Omonia presents excellent form with five consecutive victories and an impressive 14:1 goal record in the last five matches; however, Aris is almost unbeatable at home – 89% of home matches won and only 0.44 goals conceded on average per match. The hosts have the advantage in possession (55% vs 52%) and a better shot conversion rate in home matches (18% vs 15%), which could be key. Although Omonia has better overall form and record, Aris's powerful defense at home (67% clean sheets) and a series of nine consecutive home wins constitute a serious obstacle. Considering the class of both teams and their stats, a draw seems the most probable result of this top-of-the-table duel, although a victory for either the hosts or the guests remains a realistic scenario.
Aris vs Omonia Nicosia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Aris played Omonia Nicosia in First Division (Cyprus). The match was played on 25 January 2026. Final score: 3:5.
Current form
Aris: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Omonia Nicosia: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Aris scores 1.94 and concedes 0.67 goals per match. Omonia Nicosia scores 2.33 and concedes 0.56. League average: 2.51 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Aris 33%, Omonia Nicosia 33%. Over 2.5: Aris 56%, Omonia Nicosia 61%. League level: BTTS 37%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Omonia Nicosia has higher xG: 1.78 vs 1.70. Aris: 12.7 shots per match, Omonia Nicosia: 14.1.
Match halves
Aris: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.06. Omonia Nicosia: half-time lead 61%, second-half goals 1.39.
Goals by minute
Aris: 76-90+ (11 goals). Omonia Nicosia: 61-75 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First Division: 2.51 goals per match, BTTS 37%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The clash between the league leader Omonia Nicosia and the runner-up Aris promises to be extremely close. Omonia presents excellent form with five consecutive victories and an impressive 14:1 goal record in the last five matches; however, Aris is almost unbeatable at home – 89% of home matches won and only 0.44 goals conceded on average per match. The hosts have the advantage in possession (55% vs 52%) and a better shot conversion rate in home matches (18% vs 15%), which could be key. Although Omonia has better overall form and record, Aris's powerful defense at home (67% clean sheets) and a series of nine consecutive home wins constitute a serious obstacle. Considering the class of both teams and their stats, a draw seems the most probable result of this top-of-the-table duel, although a victory for either the hosts or the guests remains a realistic scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Aris | Omonia Nicosia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Omonia Nicosia is 18% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Aris · 2.6 pts / match - Omonia Nicosia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Omonia Nicosia is 20% better for: goals scored per match.
1.94 goals / match - Aris · 2.33 goals / match - Omonia Nicosia
Omonia Nicosia is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.67 goals / match - Aris · 0.56 goals / match - Omonia Nicosia
Aris scores in 83% of matches (15 of 18 matches), while Omonia Nicosia keeps a clean sheet in 61% (11 of 18 matches).
Omonia Nicosia scores in 89% of matches (16 of 18 matches), while Aris keeps a clean sheet in 61% (11 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Aris
Over / Under - Omonia Nicosia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Omonia Nicosia is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.89 pts / match - Aris · 2 pts / match - Omonia Nicosia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Aris - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 61%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Omonia Nicosia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 61% of matches and wins 72%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +7 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Aris
Omonia Nicosia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| Aris | Liga | Omonia Nicosia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.61 | 2.51 | ▲ 2.89 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 37% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 56% | 47% | ▲ 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 61% | 34% | ▲ 61% |
| Goal before half-time | • 72% | 71% | ▲ 89% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 81% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Other recorded players
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Aris 0 - 1 - 0 Omonia Nicosia. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Aris vs Omonia Nicosia?
The First Division match finished Aris 3:5 Omonia Nicosia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Aris vs Omonia Nicosia?
Aris score 1.94 goals per game on average and Omonia Nicosia 2.33. The First Division average is 2.51 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Aris's matches and 33% of Omonia Nicosia's.
What form are Aris and Omonia Nicosia in?
Over the last 5 games Aris have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Omonia Nicosia 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aris vs Omonia Nicosia?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.