Arka Gdynia vs Lechia Gdańsk: match statistics
Arka Gdynia presents impressive home form with 64% wins and a positive goal difference (+5) at their own stadium. The hosts are recording a solid streak in their last five home matches, dominated by wins and draws. Lechia Gdańsk has a problematic defense on the road, conceding an average of 2.36 goals per match and failing to keep a single clean sheet in away games (0% CS%). The visitors' negative away goal difference (-6) and high loss percentage (45%) further weaken their position. Despite Lechia's better overall form in the last five matches (2.0 PPG), Arka's advantage on home turf and the guests' defensive issues point towards a home victory. A balanced but offensive match is expected, with the edge going to Arka Gdynia.
Arka Gdynia vs Lechia Gdańsk: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Arka Gdynia played Lechia Gdańsk in Ekstraklasa (Poland). The match was played on 27 February 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Arka Gdynia: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Lechia Gdańsk: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Arka Gdynia scores 0.90 and concedes 1.71 goals per match. Lechia Gdańsk scores 2.00 and concedes 1.95. League average: 2.76 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Arka Gdynia 48%, Lechia Gdańsk 77%. Over 2.5: Arka Gdynia 52%, Lechia Gdańsk 73%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Lechia Gdańsk has higher xG: 1.66 vs 1.23. Arka Gdynia: 9.9 shots per match, Lechia Gdańsk: 13.4.
Match halves
Arka Gdynia: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.48. Lechia Gdańsk: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 1.05.
Goals by minute
Arka Gdynia: 0-15 (4 goals). Lechia Gdańsk: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ekstraklasa: 2.76 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Arka Gdynia presents impressive home form with 64% wins and a positive goal difference (+5) at their own stadium. The hosts are recording a solid streak in their last five home matches, dominated by wins and draws. Lechia Gdańsk has a problematic defense on the road, conceding an average of 2.36 goals per match and failing to keep a single clean sheet in away games (0% CS%). The visitors' negative away goal difference (-6) and high loss percentage (45%) further weaken their position. Despite Lechia's better overall form in the last five matches (2.0 PPG), Arka's advantage on home turf and the guests' defensive issues point towards a home victory. A balanced but offensive match is expected, with the edge going to Arka Gdynia.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Arka Gdynia | Lechia Gdańsk | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lechia Gdańsk is 43% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Arka Gdynia · 2 pts / match - Lechia Gdańsk
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lechia Gdańsk is 122% better for: goals scored per match.
0.9 goals / match - Arka Gdynia · 2 goals / match - Lechia Gdańsk
Arka Gdynia is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.71 goals / match - Arka Gdynia · 1.95 goals / match - Lechia Gdańsk
Arka Gdynia scores in 57% of matches (12 of 21 matches), while Lechia Gdańsk keeps a clean sheet in 9% (2 of 22 matches).
Lechia Gdańsk scores in 86% of matches (19 of 22 matches), while Arka Gdynia keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Arka Gdynia
Over / Under - Lechia Gdańsk
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lechia Gdańsk is 43% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.05 pts / match - Arka Gdynia · 1.5 pts / match - Lechia Gdańsk
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Arka Gdynia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Lechia Gdańsk - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Arka Gdynia
Lechia Gdańsk
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ekstraklasa).
Teams vs league
| Arka Gdynia | Liga | Lechia Gdańsk | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.62 | 2.76 | ▲ 3.95 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 58% | ▲ 77% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 52% | 52% | ▲ 73% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 25% | ▼ 9% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 74% | ▲ 91% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 78% | ▲ 91% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Arka Gdynia 0 - 0 - 1 Lechia Gdańsk. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Arka Gdynia vs Lechia Gdańsk?
The Ekstraklasa match finished Arka Gdynia 2:2 Lechia Gdańsk. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Arka Gdynia vs Lechia Gdańsk?
Arka Gdynia score 0.90 goals per game on average and Lechia Gdańsk 2.00. The Ekstraklasa average is 2.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Arka Gdynia's matches and 77% of Lechia Gdańsk's.
What form are Arka Gdynia and Lechia Gdańsk in?
Over the last 5 games Arka Gdynia have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Lechia Gdańsk 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Arka Gdynia vs Lechia Gdańsk?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.