Arminia Bielefeld vs Hertha BSC: match statistics
Arminia Bielefeld vs Hertha BSC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Arminia Bielefeld played Hertha BSC in 2. Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 17 May 2026. Venue: SchücoArena. Final score: 6:1.
Current form
Arminia Bielefeld: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Hertha BSC: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Arminia Bielefeld scores 1.42 and concedes 1.52 goals per match. Hertha BSC scores 1.39 and concedes 1.15. League average: 2.92 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Arminia Bielefeld 64%, Hertha BSC 45%. Over 2.5: Arminia Bielefeld 52%, Hertha BSC 45%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 58%.
xG, shots and style
Arminia Bielefeld has higher xG: 1.61 vs 1.44. Arminia Bielefeld: 14.6 shots per match, Hertha BSC: 12.7.
Match halves
Arminia Bielefeld: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.79. Hertha BSC: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.76.
Goals by minute
Arminia Bielefeld: 16-30 (10 goals). Hertha BSC: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
2. Bundesliga: 2.92 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 58%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a win for Hertha BSC (2): the visitors sit 6th in the table versus Arminia’s 16th, with Hertha winning 50% of away matches compared to Arminia’s 38% home win rate. Offensive metrics are comparable — Arminia averages 15.88 shots and 5.00 on target at home with xG 1.74, while Hertha away records 11.81 shots and 4.31 on target with xG 1.38, Hertha showing greater conversion efficiency (16% vs 11%). The decisive factor is defense and form: Arminia conceded 10 goals in the last 5 matches (2.0 per game), whereas Hertha conceded 5 (1.0 per game), and away Hertha has 44% clean sheets versus Arminia’s 25% at home. Season-long xG against favors Arminia (1.17 vs 1.55 for Hertha), suggesting the match could be open, but Hertha’s superior efficiency and higher away win percentage give them the edge. I therefore expect a narrow away victory in a tight contest.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS (Both Teams To Score) appears more likely: league BTTS rate is 60%, and Arminia recorded BTTS in 80% of their last 5 matches (4/5). In those 5 matches Arminia averaged 1.2 goals scored and conceded 2.0 goals, indicating vulnerability to conceding. Hertha averages 1.88 goals per season and has a high shot conversion rate of 16% versus Arminia's 7%, and Hertha's seasonal BTTS rate is 50%, so they can realistically find the net. xG analysis shows Arminia generates 1.50 xG against a Hertha defense allowing 1.55 xG, while Hertha has 1.38 xG against an Arminia defense allowing 1.45 xG — both teams create chances. Considering these figures and average shots on target of 4.65 and 4.31, I assign 65% to 'BTTS - Yes' as the strongest signal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The forecast is based on averaging attack and defense: expected goals for the home team are about 1.53 (xG attack 1.50 and opponent defense 1.55), for the away team about 1.42 (xG attack 1.38 and home defense 1.45), total ≈2.95. A Poisson model gives probability of Over 1.5 around 79% (Under 21%), Over 2.5 ≈57% and Over 3.5 ≈34%. Seasonal stats confirm a tendency for goals: Arminia has 65% of matches over 1.5, Hertha 69%, and Hertha 63% of matches over 2.5 versus Arminia’s 29%, which explains the drop in confidence at the 2.5 line. Both teams have scored many goals this season (Arminia 47, Hertha 46) and concede frequently (Arminia 50, Hertha 38), therefore I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Hertha appears to be the favorite: the visitors' average goals are 1.88 versus 0.94 for the hosts, and Hertha's win rate is 50% compared to Arminia's 35%. The visitors lead at the break in 44% of away matches (7 of 16), while Arminia lead only in 24% of home games (4 of 17); halftime goals average 0.88 vs 0.41 in favor of Hertha. Arminia produces higher xG (1.50 vs 1.38) but has a shot conversion of only 7% versus Hertha's 16%, indicating greater efficiency from the visitors in finishing chances. After the break Hertha's edge is pronounced: the visitors collect on average 1.75 points in second halves and win 50% of second halves, whereas Arminia has 1.18 points and 28% second-half wins; therefore the strongest signal is a Hertha lead at half-time and Hertha win at full-time (2/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Arminia Bielefeld | Hertha BSC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Arminia Bielefeld is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Arminia Bielefeld · 0.8 pts / match - Hertha BSC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hertha BSC is 32% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.52 goals / match - Arminia Bielefeld · 1.15 goals / match - Hertha BSC
Arminia Bielefeld scores in 79% of matches (26 of 33 matches), while Hertha BSC keeps a clean sheet in 36% (12 of 33 matches).
Hertha BSC scores in 73% of matches (24 of 33 matches), while Arminia Bielefeld keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Arminia Bielefeld
Over / Under - Hertha BSC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hertha BSC is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.21 pts / match - Arminia Bielefeld · 1.45 pts / match - Hertha BSC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Arminia Bielefeld - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Hertha BSC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 0% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Arminia Bielefeld
Hertha BSC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (2. Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Arminia Bielefeld | Liga | Hertha BSC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.94 | 2.92 | ▼ 2.55 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 60% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 52% | 58% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 23% | ▲ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 70% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | • 85% | 85% | • 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Arminia Bielefeld 0 - 1 - 0 Hertha BSC. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Arminia Bielefeld vs Hertha BSC?
The 2. Bundesliga match finished Arminia Bielefeld 6:1 Hertha BSC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Arminia Bielefeld vs Hertha BSC?
Arminia Bielefeld score 1.42 goals per game on average and Hertha BSC 1.39. The 2. Bundesliga average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Arminia Bielefeld's matches and 45% of Hertha BSC's.
What form are Arminia Bielefeld and Hertha BSC in?
Over the last 5 games Arminia Bielefeld have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Hertha BSC 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Arminia Bielefeld vs Hertha BSC?
The statistical background for Arminia Bielefeld vs Hertha BSC — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.