Arminia Bielefeld vs Holstein Kiel: match statistics
Arminia Bielefeld presents solid home form with 44% wins and a positive goal difference (+7), however, the last five overall matches (0 wins, 0.4 pts/match) indicate a clear crisis of form. Holstein Kiel is in much better disposition with a streak of five matches without defeat (2 wins, 3 draws, 1.8 pts/match) and nine goals in this period. The guests, however, have a weaker away record (22% wins, 33% draws) and a negative goal difference (-3) on the road. Taking into account Bielefeld's home advantage (56% ball possession, 1.89 goals on average) and Kiel's rising form, I expect an even match with a slight advantage for the hosts, where a draw seems the most probable result.
Arminia Bielefeld vs Holstein Kiel: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Arminia Bielefeld played Holstein Kiel in 2. Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 23 January 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Arminia Bielefeld: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Holstein Kiel: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Arminia Bielefeld scores 1.50 and concedes 1.39 goals per match. Holstein Kiel scores 1.22 and concedes 1.22. League average: 2.82 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Arminia Bielefeld 56%, Holstein Kiel 56%. Over 2.5: Arminia Bielefeld 50%, Holstein Kiel 39%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Arminia Bielefeld has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.33. Arminia Bielefeld: 13.3 shots per match, Holstein Kiel: 12.4.
Match halves
Arminia Bielefeld: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.89. Holstein Kiel: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.61.
Goals by minute
Arminia Bielefeld: 46-60 (8 goals). Holstein Kiel: 16-30 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
2. Bundesliga: 2.82 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Arminia Bielefeld presents solid home form with 44% wins and a positive goal difference (+7), however, the last five overall matches (0 wins, 0.4 pts/match) indicate a clear crisis of form. Holstein Kiel is in much better disposition with a streak of five matches without defeat (2 wins, 3 draws, 1.8 pts/match) and nine goals in this period. The guests, however, have a weaker away record (22% wins, 33% draws) and a negative goal difference (-3) on the road. Taking into account Bielefeld's home advantage (56% ball possession, 1.89 goals on average) and Kiel's rising form, I expect an even match with a slight advantage for the hosts, where a draw seems the most probable result.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Arminia Bielefeld | Holstein Kiel | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Holstein Kiel is 300% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Arminia Bielefeld · 1.6 pts / match - Holstein Kiel
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Arminia Bielefeld is 23% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Arminia Bielefeld · 1.22 goals / match - Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.39 goals / match - Arminia Bielefeld · 1.22 goals / match - Holstein Kiel
Arminia Bielefeld scores in 78% of matches (14 of 18 matches), while Holstein Kiel keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
Holstein Kiel scores in 83% of matches (15 of 18 matches), while Arminia Bielefeld keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Arminia Bielefeld
Over / Under - Holstein Kiel
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Holstein Kiel is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / match - Arminia Bielefeld · 1.39 pts / match - Holstein Kiel
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Arminia Bielefeld - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Holstein Kiel - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Arminia Bielefeld
Holstein Kiel
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (2. Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Arminia Bielefeld | Liga | Holstein Kiel | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.89 | 2.82 | ▼ 2.44 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 54% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 57% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 28% | 26% | ▲ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 66% | ▲ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | • 83% | 84% | ▼ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Arminia Bielefeld 1 - 0 - 0 Holstein Kiel. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Arminia Bielefeld vs Holstein Kiel?
The 2. Bundesliga match finished Arminia Bielefeld 2:2 Holstein Kiel. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Arminia Bielefeld vs Holstein Kiel?
Arminia Bielefeld score 1.50 goals per game on average and Holstein Kiel 1.22. The 2. Bundesliga average is 2.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Arminia Bielefeld's matches and 56% of Holstein Kiel's.
What form are Arminia Bielefeld and Holstein Kiel in?
Over the last 5 games Arminia Bielefeld have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Holstein Kiel 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Arminia Bielefeld vs Holstein Kiel?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.