Arsenal vs Manchester United: match statistics
Arsenal present decidedly better form and table position, sitting in first place with an impressive record of 15 wins this season. The hosts are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws) and have a phenomenal home record - 82% wins at home with 55% clean sheets. Manchester United are in poor away form, drawing as many as 45% of matches on the road and failing to keep a single clean sheet in away matches this season. The quality difference is also visible in xG statistics - Arsenal generate 1.85 xG at home while conceding just 0.69, whereas United concede an average of 1.73 goals per away match. The visitors' recent form (1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss in the last 5 matches) and negative goal difference away (-1) further argue for a certain Arsenal victory.
Arsenal vs Manchester United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Arsenal played Manchester United in Premier League (England). The match was played on 25 January 2026. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Arsenal: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Manchester United: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Arsenal scores 1.82 and concedes 0.64 goals per match. Manchester United scores 1.73 and concedes 1.45. League average: 2.76 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Arsenal 45%, Manchester United 73%. Over 2.5: Arsenal 45%, Manchester United 59%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Manchester United has higher xG: 1.81 vs 1.73. Arsenal: 14.9 shots per match, Manchester United: 16.4.
Match halves
Arsenal: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 1.18. Manchester United: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.95.
Goals by minute
Arsenal: 46-60 (12 goals). Manchester United: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League: 2.76 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Arsenal present decidedly better form and table position, sitting in first place with an impressive record of 15 wins this season. The hosts are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws) and have a phenomenal home record - 82% wins at home with 55% clean sheets. Manchester United are in poor away form, drawing as many as 45% of matches on the road and failing to keep a single clean sheet in away matches this season. The quality difference is also visible in xG statistics - Arsenal generate 1.85 xG at home while conceding just 0.69, whereas United concede an average of 1.73 goals per away match. The visitors' recent form (1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss in the last 5 matches) and negative goal difference away (-1) further argue for a certain Arsenal victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Arsenal | Manchester United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Arsenal is 22% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Arsenal · 1.8 pts / match - Manchester United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Arsenal is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
1.82 goals / match - Arsenal · 1.73 goals / match - Manchester United
Arsenal is 127% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.64 goals / match - Arsenal · 1.45 goals / match - Manchester United
Arsenal scores in 86% of matches (19 of 22 matches), while Manchester United keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 22 matches).
Manchester United scores in 86% of matches (19 of 22 matches), while Arsenal keeps a clean sheet in 50% (11 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Arsenal
Over / Under - Manchester United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Arsenal is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.73 pts / match - Arsenal · 1.55 pts / match - Manchester United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Arsenal - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 68%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Manchester United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Arsenal
Manchester United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Arsenal | Liga | Manchester United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.45 | 2.76 | ▲ 3.18 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 55% | ▲ 73% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 45% | 54% | ▲ 59% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 26% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 71% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 80% | ▼ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Arsenal 1 - 0 - 0 Manchester United. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Arsenal vs Manchester United?
The Premier League match finished Arsenal 2:3 Manchester United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Arsenal vs Manchester United?
Arsenal score 1.82 goals per game on average and Manchester United 1.73. The Premier League average is 2.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Arsenal's matches and 73% of Manchester United's.
What form are Arsenal and Manchester United in?
Over the last 5 games Arsenal have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Manchester United 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Arsenal vs Manchester United?
The statistical background for Arsenal vs Manchester United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.