Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to an even competition favoring a draw. Arzignano Valchiampo presents poor form with just one victory in the last five matches and a goal difference of -1 at home, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match. Novara is characterized by a very high percentage of away draws (69%), which is a key factor in this prediction. The visitors have better current form (1.6 points per match in the last 5 games) and a solid away defense (averaging 0.92 goals conceded). Both teams have similar average possession (45%), suggesting tactical balance. Considering Novara's tendency to draw and the hosts' weak form, the most likely result is a split of points.
Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Arzignano Valchiampo played Novara in Serie C Group A (Italy). The match was played on 27 February 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Arzignano Valchiampo: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Novara: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Arzignano Valchiampo scores 1.32 and concedes 1.54 goals per match. Novara scores 1.00 and concedes 0.96. League average: 2.28 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Arzignano Valchiampo 64%, Novara 54%. Over 2.5: Arzignano Valchiampo 64%, Novara 29%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 41%.
xG, shots and style
Novara has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.36. Arzignano Valchiampo: 10.9 shots per match, Novara: 11.0.
Match halves
Arzignano Valchiampo: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.64. Novara: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Arzignano Valchiampo: 76-90+ (9 goals). Novara: 61-75 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group A: 2.28 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 41%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to an even competition favoring a draw. Arzignano Valchiampo presents poor form with just one victory in the last five matches and a goal difference of -1 at home, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match. Novara is characterized by a very high percentage of away draws (69%), which is a key factor in this prediction. The visitors have better current form (1.6 points per match in the last 5 games) and a solid away defense (averaging 0.92 goals conceded). Both teams have similar average possession (45%), suggesting tactical balance. Considering Novara's tendency to draw and the hosts' weak form, the most likely result is a split of points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Arzignano Valchiampo | Novara | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Novara is 167% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Arzignano Valchiampo · 1.6 pts / match - Novara
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Arzignano Valchiampo is 32% better for: goals scored per match.
1.32 goals / match - Arzignano Valchiampo · 1 goals / match - Novara
Novara is 60% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.54 goals / match - Arzignano Valchiampo · 0.96 goals / match - Novara
Arzignano Valchiampo scores in 75% of matches (21 of 28 matches), while Novara keeps a clean sheet in 32% (9 of 28 matches).
Novara scores in 68% of matches (19 of 28 matches), while Arzignano Valchiampo keeps a clean sheet in 18% (5 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Arzignano Valchiampo
Over / Under - Novara
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Arzignano Valchiampo is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.57 pts / match - Arzignano Valchiampo · 1.21 pts / match - Novara
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Arzignano Valchiampo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 29%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Novara - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Arzignano Valchiampo
Novara
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Arzignano Valchiampo | Liga | Novara | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.86 | 2.28 | ▼ 1.96 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 49% | ▲ 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 64% | 41% | ▼ 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 30% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 66% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 71% | ▼ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Arzignano Valchiampo 0 - 0 - 1 Novara. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara?
The Serie C Group A match finished Arzignano Valchiampo 1:1 Novara. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara?
Arzignano Valchiampo score 1.32 goals per game on average and Novara 1.00. The Serie C Group A average is 2.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Arzignano Valchiampo's matches and 54% of Novara's.
What form are Arzignano Valchiampo and Novara in?
Over the last 5 games Arzignano Valchiampo have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Novara 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.