AS Kigali vs Al Merreikh: match statistics
Al Merreikh demonstrates significantly better form and quality this season, occupying 3rd place in the table with a record of 10 wins, 7 draws, and only 2 losses. The visiting team is characterized by a solid defense in away matches, conceding an average of only 0.5 goals per game and keeping clean sheets in 50% of away fixtures. AS Kigali finds itself in a difficult situation in 13th position, with a very poor efficiency in home matches – only 11% wins and as many as 56% of matches without scoring a goal. The hosts score an average of only 0.44 goals per match at home, which, combined with the visitors' solid defense, gives Al Merreikh a clear advantage. The form of both teams in the last five matches also speaks in favor of the visitors (1.8 points per match) compared to the hosts (2.0 points, but with a worse home record). Considering all statistics, Al Merreikh has a realistic chance of winning or at least drawing in this clash.
AS Kigali vs Al Merreikh: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
AS Kigali played Al Merreikh in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match was played on 22 February 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
AS Kigali: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Al Merreikh: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
AS Kigali scores 0.71 and concedes 1.05 goals per match. Al Merreikh scores 1.16 and concedes 0.68. League average: 2.06 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: AS Kigali 33%, Al Merreikh 47%. Over 2.5: AS Kigali 24%, Al Merreikh 26%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Al Merreikh has higher xG: 1.29 vs 1.25. AS Kigali: 7.7 shots per match, Al Merreikh: 8.1.
Match halves
AS Kigali: half-time lead 5%, second-half goals 0.52. Al Merreikh: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
AS Kigali: 76-90+ (5 goals). Al Merreikh: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National Soccer League: 2.06 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Al Merreikh demonstrates significantly better form and quality this season, occupying 3rd place in the table with a record of 10 wins, 7 draws, and only 2 losses. The visiting team is characterized by a solid defense in away matches, conceding an average of only 0.5 goals per game and keeping clean sheets in 50% of away fixtures. AS Kigali finds itself in a difficult situation in 13th position, with a very poor efficiency in home matches – only 11% wins and as many as 56% of matches without scoring a goal. The hosts score an average of only 0.44 goals per match at home, which, combined with the visitors' solid defense, gives Al Merreikh a clear advantage. The form of both teams in the last five matches also speaks in favor of the visitors (1.8 points per match) compared to the hosts (2.0 points, but with a worse home record). Considering all statistics, Al Merreikh has a realistic chance of winning or at least drawing in this clash.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| AS Kigali | Al Merreikh | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
AS Kigali is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - AS Kigali · 1.4 pts / match - Al Merreikh
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Merreikh is 63% better for: goals scored per match.
0.71 goals / match - AS Kigali · 1.16 goals / match - Al Merreikh
Al Merreikh is 54% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.05 goals / match - AS Kigali · 0.68 goals / match - Al Merreikh
AS Kigali scores in 57% of matches (12 of 21 matches), while Al Merreikh keeps a clean sheet in 42% (8 of 19 matches).
Al Merreikh scores in 79% of matches (15 of 19 matches), while AS Kigali keeps a clean sheet in 43% (9 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - AS Kigali
Over / Under - Al Merreikh
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Al Merreikh is 93% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.76 pts / match - AS Kigali · 1.47 pts / match - Al Merreikh
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AS Kigali - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 5% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Al Merreikh - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
AS Kigali
Al Merreikh
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| AS Kigali | Liga | Al Merreikh | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.76 | 2.06 | ▼ 1.84 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 44% | ▲ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 24% | 34% | ▼ 26% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 43% | 34% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 48% | 63% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 69% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: AS Kigali 0 - 0 - 1 Al Merreikh. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of AS Kigali vs Al Merreikh?
The National Soccer League match finished AS Kigali 0:1 Al Merreikh. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before AS Kigali vs Al Merreikh?
AS Kigali score 0.71 goals per game on average and Al Merreikh 1.16. The National Soccer League average is 2.06 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 33% of AS Kigali's matches and 47% of Al Merreikh's.
What form are AS Kigali and Al Merreikh in?
Over the last 5 games AS Kigali have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Al Merreikh 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AS Kigali vs Al Merreikh?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.