AS Kigali vs Bugesera: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

AS Kigali played Bugesera in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match was played on 19 December 2025. Final score: 0:0.

Current form

AS Kigali: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Bugesera: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

AS Kigali scores 0.62 and concedes 1.23 goals per match. Bugesera scores 0.77 and concedes 1.08. League average: 1.85 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: AS Kigali 38%, Bugesera 46%. Over 2.5: AS Kigali 31%, Bugesera 38%. League level: BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 28%.

xG, shots and style

AS Kigali has higher xG: 1.14 vs 0.92. AS Kigali: 6.4 shots per match, Bugesera: 5.0.

Match halves

AS Kigali: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.46. Bugesera: half-time lead 8%, second-half goals 0.54.

Goals by minute

AS Kigali: 61-75 (3 goals). Bugesera: 61-75 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

National Soccer League: 1.85 goals per match, BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 28%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

54Possession (%)46
AS KigaliBugesera
19Shots15
AS KigaliBugesera
7Shots on target3
AS KigaliBugesera
2.53xG1.82
AS KigaliBugesera
4Corners4
AS KigaliBugesera
115Dangerous attacks92
AS KigaliBugesera
11Fouls11
AS KigaliBugesera
0Cards0
AS KigaliBugesera

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.62Goals scored / match0.77
AS KigaliBugesera
1.23Goals conceded / match1.08
AS KigaliBugesera
43%Average possession42%
AS KigaliBugesera
1.69Shots on target / match1.92
AS KigaliBugesera

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

6.38Shots per match5
AS KigaliBugesera
1.69Shots on target1.92
AS KigaliBugesera
9.6%Shot conversion15.4%
AS KigaliBugesera
43%Possession42%
AS KigaliBugesera
1.14xG for0.92
AS KigaliBugesera
1.26xG against1.22
AS KigaliBugesera

Shooting quality

AS Kigali: BalancedBugesera: Counter-attacking
AS KigaliBugesera
Accuracy (shots on target)26%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.180.18
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.40

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Bugesera is 20% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - AS Kigali · 1.2 pts / match - Bugesera

AS Kigali
WDLLD
Season result split
15% W31% R54% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-4-7
0.77 pts / match · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-3-3
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
WLDLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.39Opponent xG: 1.35BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Bugesera
WLLLW
Season result split
23% W31% R46% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-4-6
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-3-3
Last 5 away
0-2-3
DLDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 0.90Opponent xG: 1.57BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Bugesera is 24% better for: goals scored per match.

0.62 goals / match - AS Kigali · 0.77 goals / match - Bugesera

Bugesera is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.23 goals / match - AS Kigali · 1.08 goals / match - Bugesera

AS Kigali scoring profile: mixed

AS Kigali scores in 54% of matches (7 of 13 matches), while Bugesera keeps a clean sheet in 38% (5 of 13 matches).

Bugesera scoring profile: strong

Bugesera scores in 62% of matches (8 of 13 matches), while AS Kigali keeps a clean sheet in 31% (4 of 13 matches).

8Goals scored (season)10
AS KigaliBugesera
16Goals conceded (season)14
AS KigaliBugesera
1.85Average goals in match1.85
AS KigaliBugesera
5Goals scored (last 5)5
AS KigaliBugesera
5Goals conceded (last 5)7
AS KigaliBugesera

How often they score at least...

54%1 goal62%
AS KigaliBugesera
8%2 goals15%
AS KigaliBugesera
0%3 goals0%
AS KigaliBugesera
0%4 goals0%
AS KigaliBugesera

How often they concede at least...

69%1 goal62%
AS KigaliBugesera
46%2 goals31%
AS KigaliBugesera
8%3 goals15%
AS KigaliBugesera
0%4 goals0%
AS KigaliBugesera

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

39%
League average

Goal patterns

15%BTTS at half-time15%
AS KigaliBugesera
0%BTTS in both halves0%
AS KigaliBugesera
0%Scored in both halves15%
AS KigaliBugesera

BTTS and goal count

23%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
AS KigaliBugesera
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
AS KigaliBugesera
60%BTTS - last 560%
AS KigaliBugesera

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

54%Min. 1 goal before half-time54%
AS KigaliBugesera
23%Min. 2 goals before half-time31%
AS KigaliBugesera
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
AS KigaliBugesera

2nd half

69%Min. 1 goal after half-time62%
AS KigaliBugesera
31%Min. 2 goals after half-time15%
AS KigaliBugesera
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time8%
AS KigaliBugesera

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Bugesera is 43% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.54 pts / match - AS Kigali · 0.77 pts / match - Bugesera

AS Kigali - half-time state
0% leading54% draw46% trailing
Bugesera - half-time state
8% leading54% draw38% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.54Points per match (1st half)0.77
AS KigaliBugesera
0.15Goals scored (1st half)0.23
AS KigaliBugesera
0.69Goals conceded (1st half)0.77
AS KigaliBugesera
0.85Average goals (1st half)1
AS KigaliBugesera
46%Clean sheet before half-time54%
AS KigaliBugesera
85%No goal before half-time77%
AS KigaliBugesera

After half-time (2nd half)

1.15Points per match (2nd half)1.62
AS KigaliBugesera
0.46Goals scored (2nd half)0.54
AS KigaliBugesera
0.54Goals conceded (2nd half)0.31
AS KigaliBugesera
1Average goals (2nd half)0.85
AS KigaliBugesera
54%Clean sheet after half-time77%
AS KigaliBugesera
62%No goal after half-time46%
AS KigaliBugesera

AS Kigali - second-half results

23% W46% R31% P
7
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.54
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Bugesera - second-half results

38% W46% R15% P
10
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
21
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.77
PPG before half-time
Lead holding288%

Leads at half-time in 8% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.5

Defence stays stable across the full match.

AS Kigali - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.60
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.80.2
Average goals in match1.20.8
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-2+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2
Bugesera - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.80
Goals scored / match0.20.8
Goals conceded / match0.80.6
Average goals in match1.01.4
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-3+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

AS Kigali
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
0
4
16-30
1
5
31-45
1
1
46-60
3
3
61-75
2
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Bugesera
ScoredConceded
1
3
0-15
2
2
16-30
0
5
31-45
2
1
46-60
3
1
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.85
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
100%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
42%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
33%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
17%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 6 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

AS Kigali

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.12
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.49
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.52
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
67%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
135%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.23
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Bugesera

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.30
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.15
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.14
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
85%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
116%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).

Teams vs league

AS KigaliLigaBugesera
Average goals in match 1.851.85 1.85
Both teams scored 38%39% 46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 31%28% 38%
Clean sheets 31%38% 38%
Goal before half-time 54%59% 54%
Goal after half-time 69%65% 62%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.85
Average goals per match
39%
Both teams scored
28%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
38%
Clean sheets
0.93
Home goals / match
0.91
Away goals / match
+2%
Home attack advantage
+2%
Home defence advantage
+4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
59%
1 goal
24%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
65%
1 goal
25%
2 goals
3%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

FAQ

What was the result of AS Kigali vs Bugesera?

The National Soccer League match finished AS Kigali 0:0 Bugesera. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before AS Kigali vs Bugesera?

AS Kigali score 0.62 goals per game on average and Bugesera 0.77. The National Soccer League average is 1.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 38% of AS Kigali's matches and 46% of Bugesera's.

What form are AS Kigali and Bugesera in?

Over the last 5 games AS Kigali have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Bugesera 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AS Kigali vs Bugesera?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.