AS Slimane vs Gabès: match statistics
AS Slimane vs Gabès: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
AS Slimane played Gabès in Ligue 1 (Tunisia). The match was played on 8 May 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
AS Slimane: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Gabès: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
AS Slimane scores 0.50 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Gabès scores 0.39 and concedes 1.25. League average: 1.72 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: AS Slimane 25%, Gabès 29%. Over 2.5: AS Slimane 14%, Gabès 25%. League level: BTTS 26%, Over 2.5 26%.
xG, shots and style
Gabès has higher xG: 1.04 vs 0.84. AS Slimane: 4.8 shots per match, Gabès: 7.6.
Match halves
AS Slimane: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.21. Gabès: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.14.
Goals by minute
AS Slimane: 31-45+ (5 goals). Gabès: 16-30 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 1.72 goals per match, BTTS 26%, Over 2.5 26%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a home win for AS Slimane, based on clear superiority in form and defense. AS Slimane have collected 8 points in their last 5 matches (1.6 points per match) with a 2-2-1 record, while Gabès have only 1 point in those 5 games (0.2 PPM) and 0 wins. AS Slimane have scored 14 goals this season and 5 in the last 5 matches; Gabès have 11 goals this season and only 1 in their last 5, with both teams averaging 0.36 goals per match. Defensively the hosts are stronger: AS Slimane concede 0.93 goals per home match and keep 43% clean sheets, whereas Gabès concede 1.71 goals away and record 14% clean sheets; in the last 5 matches goals conceded are 4 and 8 respectively. Although Gabès attempt more shots away (7) and have a higher xG per match (0.89 vs 0.75 for AS Slimane), their conversion rate is only 5% versus 12% for the hosts. Therefore I assess probabilities at roughly 70% for the home win, 20% for a draw and 10% for the away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have low seasonal BTTS rates: AS Slimane 29% and Gabès 29%, versus a league average of 26%, indicating matches from these sides seldom finish with both teams scoring. Gabès practically do not score — season 0.36 goals per match and only 0.2 goals in the last 5 (1 goal in 5 matches), with an average of 1.71 conceded per season and 1.6 in the last 5, so they concede more than they score. AS Slimane shows better recent attacking numbers (1.0 goal in the last 5 and xG 1.20 season), but seasonally they score only 0.43 goals (14 goals in the season) and have a 4% conversion rate, so the xG does not translate into many goals. Shot stats (9.54/3.62 for the home side vs 7.0/2.77 for the away) and a low league average goals of 1.73 further reduce the chances of Goal/Goal. For these reasons I tip BTTS - No with a probability of 70% and only 30% for BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG and form analysis point to a moderate number of goals: home xG is 1.20 versus away xG conceded 1.41, yielding an expected ~1.30 goals for the home side. Similarly, away xG 0.89 against home xG conceded 1.08 gives ~0.98 goals for the visitors, totaling 2.28 expected goals. Seasonal goal averages are lower however: AS Slimane scores 0.43 goals per game, Gabès 0.36, and finishing rates are only 4.0% (home) and 5.0% (away), which suppress actual goal output. Seasonal Over rates diverge (Over 1.5: 43% home vs 64% away; Over 2.5: 7% vs 43%) and a Poisson model with λ=2.28 yields probabilities of Over 1.5 ≈66% and Over 2.5 ≈40%. The chance of 4+ goals is low (Poisson P(>=4) ≈19%), and seasonal Over 3.5 is 0% for home and 7% for away, so the strongest signal is Under 3.5 (about 81%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
AS Slimane has shown better form over the last 5 matches: they held the lead at the break in 60% of games (3 of 5) and in those five matches average 1.0 goals per game and 0.6 goals by half-time, whereas Gabès have only 0.2 goals per game and 0.0 by half-time in their last 5. Although Gabès have scored more half-time goals across the season (13 vs 5 for AS Slimane), recent performances indicate a drop in the visitors’ first-half effectiveness (last5_scoredAVGHT_overall_away = 0.0). The home side generate higher expected and attacking figures: xG 1.20 vs 0.89, averaging 9.54 shots and 3.62 on target compared to Gabès’ 7.0 and 2.77, while the visitors concede 1.71 goals per match on average with an xG against of 1.41. Considering the stronger home HT metrics (last5_HTPPG 2.0 vs 0.4) and Gabès’ weaker defence, the strongest signal is AS Slimane to lead at the break and win the match (1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| AS Slimane | Gabès | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.13 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
AS Slimane is 700% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - AS Slimane · 0.2 pts / match - Gabès
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AS Slimane is 28% better for: goals scored per match.
0.5 goals / match - AS Slimane · 0.39 goals / match - Gabès
AS Slimane is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - AS Slimane · 1.25 goals / match - Gabès
AS Slimane scores in 39% of matches (11 of 28 matches), while Gabès keeps a clean sheet in 25% (7 of 28 matches).
Gabès scores in 36% of matches (10 of 28 matches), while AS Slimane keeps a clean sheet in 29% (8 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - AS Slimane
Over / Under - Gabès
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AS Slimane is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.18 pts / match - AS Slimane · 1.07 pts / match - Gabès
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AS Slimane - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 18%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Gabès - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 11%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -12 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
AS Slimane
Gabès
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| AS Slimane | Liga | Gabès | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.50 | 1.72 | • 1.64 |
| Both teams scored | • 25% | 26% | ▲ 29% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 14% | 26% | • 25% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 29% | 45% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 60% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 71% | 59% | ▲ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: AS Slimane 0 - 1 - 0 Gabès. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of AS Slimane vs Gabès?
The Ligue 1 match finished AS Slimane 1:0 Gabès. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before AS Slimane vs Gabès?
AS Slimane score 0.50 goals per game on average and Gabès 0.39. The Ligue 1 average is 1.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 26% of games. Both teams score in 25% of AS Slimane's matches and 29% of Gabès's.
What form are AS Slimane and Gabès in?
Over the last 5 games AS Slimane have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Gabès 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AS Slimane vs Gabès?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.