Asan Mugunghwa vs Suwon: match statistics
Asan Mugunghwa vs Suwon: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Asan Mugunghwa played Suwon in K League 2 (South Korea). The match was played on 17 May 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Asan Mugunghwa: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Suwon: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Asan Mugunghwa scores 1.60 and concedes 1.20 goals per match. Suwon scores 1.90 and concedes 1.40. League average: 2.69 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Asan Mugunghwa 60%, Suwon 90%. Over 2.5: Asan Mugunghwa 60%, Suwon 80%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Asan Mugunghwa has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.40. Asan Mugunghwa: 11.6 shots per match, Suwon: 11.6.
Match halves
Asan Mugunghwa: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 1.00. Suwon: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.10.
Goals by minute
Asan Mugunghwa: 76-90+ (5 goals). Suwon: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
K League 2: 2.69 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a home win for Asan Mugunghwa based on superior home metrics: they average 2.0 goals per home match, have 0% scoreless home games and a +4 home goal difference, whereas Suwon average 1.6 goals away with a neutral away goal difference. Asan’s offensive efficiency is higher — shot conversion rate 17% vs 14% for Suwon — with similar shots per game (12 vs 11.2) and roughly 4 shots on target per team. Defensively Asan concedes 1.33 goals at home with a 33% clean sheet rate, while Suwon concedes 1.6 away and have 0% clean sheets; in the last 5 matches the hosts conceded 4 goals (0.8 per game) vs 7 for Suwon (1.4 per game). Suwon do have higher possession (59% vs 53%) and more total goals this season (19 vs 16), but xG indicates similar underlying quality (xG 1.45 for Asan vs 1.33 for Suwon), suggesting possession advantage hasn’t translated into superior chance quality. Given Asan’s higher finishing efficiency and Suwon’s lack of away clean sheets, Asan are the favorites; a draw remains possible due to comparable form (both teams have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 5 matches and average 1.2 points per game).
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Season stats strongly support BTTS: Asan Mugunghwa has a seasonal BTTS of 100% while Suwon is at 80%, versus a league average of 61%. Asan averages 2.2 goals per game (xG_for 1.46) and concedes 1.2, while Suwon scores 1.6 (xG_for 1.33) and concedes 1.6 (xG_against 1.25), indicating both teams regularly score and concede. In the last 5 matches Suwon had BTTS in 100% of games and Asan in only 40%; nevertheless Asan’s season BTTS is 100% and both teams have a season clean sheet percentage of 0%, so the absence of clean sheets further supports a Goal/Goal scenario. Additionally, both teams have over 2.5 in 80% of seasonal matches, and over 2.5 + BTTS combinations are 80% for Asan and 60% for Suwon, increasing the likelihood of goals at both ends. Considering 100% vs 80% seasonal BTTS, 80% over 2.5 and similar xG (1.46 vs 1.33) plus no clean sheets, I assess the chance for BTTS at 82% (against 18%) and select BTTS - Yes as the strongest signal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams possess strong attacking profiles: Asan averages 2.2 goals scored per game, Suwon 1.6, while Asan concedes 1.2 and Suwon 1.6, indicating potential for goal exchanges. Based on xG I combine the home xG 1.46 with Suwon’s defensive xG against 1.25 to derive expected home goals ~1.36, and combining the away xG 1.33 with Asan’s defensive xG against 1.50 yields expected away goals ~1.41, totaling 2.77 goals. Season-wide, both sides have 80% of matches over 2.5 goals, each has 100% of matches over 1.5 goals, and additionally both teams scored in 100% of Asan’s matches and 80% of Suwon’s matches, which reinforces the both-teams-to-score scenario. Asan averages 12 shots per game with an 18% conversion rate, Suwon 11.2 shots with a 14% conversion rate, so the volume of chances supports the over 1.5 market.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Asan Mugunghwa led at the break in 4 of 5 matches (80%) and average 1.2 first-half goals versus Suwon’s 0.4, so the most likely Half-Time outcome is the home team leading (approximately 70%). Over 90 minutes the home side score on average 2.2 goals with an xG of 1.46 versus Suwon’s 1.6 goals and xG 1.33, and a shot conversion rate of 18% vs 14% further supports maintaining the advantage. However, the guests’ strength after the break must be considered: Suwon average 1.2 second-half goals, win 60% of second halves and have scored 4 goals in minutes 76–90, which gives a real chance of a turnaround. Both teams frequently score (BTTS 100% for the home team vs 80% for the visitors), hence I project goals on both sides and a moderate chance of a draw after 90 minutes (~21%). On this basis the strongest signal is the home team leading at Half-Time and winning Full-Time (HT/FT pick 1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Asan Mugunghwa | Suwon | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.47 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Suwon is 19% better for: goals scored per match.
1.6 goals / match - Asan Mugunghwa · 1.9 goals / match - Suwon
Asan Mugunghwa is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.2 goals / match - Asan Mugunghwa · 1.4 goals / match - Suwon
Asan Mugunghwa scores in 80% of matches (8 of 10 matches), while Suwon keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 10 matches).
Suwon scores in 90% of matches (9 of 10 matches), while Asan Mugunghwa keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Asan Mugunghwa
Over / Under - Suwon
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Suwon is 45% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.1 pts / match - Asan Mugunghwa · 1.6 pts / match - Suwon
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Asan Mugunghwa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Suwon - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Asan Mugunghwa
Suwon
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (K League 2).
Teams vs league
| Asan Mugunghwa | Liga | Suwon | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.80 | 2.69 | ▲ 3.30 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 60% | 62% | ▲ 90% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 55% | ▲ 80% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 24% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 90% | 77% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 73% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Asan Mugunghwa vs Suwon?
The K League 2 match finished Asan Mugunghwa 1:3 Suwon. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Asan Mugunghwa vs Suwon?
Asan Mugunghwa score 1.60 goals per game on average and Suwon 1.90. The K League 2 average is 2.69 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Asan Mugunghwa's matches and 90% of Suwon's.
What form are Asan Mugunghwa and Suwon in?
Over the last 5 games Asan Mugunghwa have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Suwon 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Asan Mugunghwa vs Suwon?
The statistical background for Asan Mugunghwa vs Suwon — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.