Asan Mugunghwa vs Yongin City: match statistics

Asan Mugunghwa have a clear attacking edge at home, averaging 1.73 goals per match, compared with Yongin City’s 1.22 away from home. The hosts also register more shots on target (3.82 vs. 3.33) and convert 16% of their attempts, while the visitors’ conversion rate stands at 12%. Yongin City fail to score in 22% of their away matches, whereas Asan Mugunghwa have scored in every home game this season. However, the visitors are difficult to beat, drawing 56% of their away fixtures, so the possibility of a share of the points remains significant. Nevertheless, the hosts’ stronger home record, featuring a 45% win rate and a +5 goal difference, points to a narrow victory.

Seasonal BTTS rates are high on both sides: Asan Mugunghwa record BTTS in 64% of their matches, while Yongin City do so in 67%, also above the league average of 63%. The hosts score an average of 1.27 goals and concede 1.45, whereas the visitors score 1.22 goals and concede 1.44, meaning both teams regularly feature in matches with goals at both ends. Yongin City’s attack has a favourable matchup against a defence allowing an average of 1.58 xG, while Asan Mugunghwa have produced as much as 1.72 xG across their last five matches. In addition, clean sheets are rare, occurring in only 18% of the hosts’ matches and 22% of the visitors’ games. The only concern is Yongin City’s 40% BTTS rate in their last five outings, but with 1.6 goals conceded per match during this period, the stronger scenario remains BTTS - Yes.

Asan Mugunghwa averages 1.27 goals per match, while Yongin City concedes 1.44. The visitors score 1.22 goals per game, compared with 1.45 conceded by the hosts. Both teams regularly feature in matches with at least two goals: the 1.5-goal line was surpassed in 82% of Asan Mugunghwa’s matches and 78% of Yongin City’s. In their last five appearances, the hosts created chances worth an average of 1.72 xG, clearly above the visitors’ 1.02 xG, although Yongin City conceded as many as 1.60 goals per match during this period. The combined projection of 2.68 goals supports Over 1.5 as the safest pick, while the 2.5 line remains more balanced, given that only 40% of both teams’ matches went above this threshold in their last five league games.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by an Asan Mugunghwa victory, as Yongin City were level at the break in 7 of their 9 matches, or 78% of the time. Both teams create few chances before half-time: the hosts average just 0.55 goals in the opening 45 minutes, while the visitors average 0.33; across their last five matches, both sides scored 0.2 goals per game before the break. After half-time, Asan significantly improves its numbers, averaging 0.73 goals over the season and 1.2 goals across its last five appearances, while Yongin City concede an average of 1.11 goals after the break. The hosts are also in better current form, winning 40% of their last five matches compared with 20% for the visitors, while Yongin have conceded an average of 1.6 goals per game during this period. The risk of a full-time draw remains high, as the visitors have drawn 56% of their league matches this season, but Asan’s second-half superiority supports the X/1 HT/FT selection.