Ascoli vs Athletic Carpi: match statistics
Ascoli displays decisively better form, winning four of their last five matches and earning 2.6 points per match, while Athletic Carpi averaged just 1.0 point per match in the same period. The hosts boast an impressive goal difference of +17 in home matches, conceding an average of only 0.57 goals per game at home, which attests to a solid defense. Ascoli wins 57% of home matches and keeps a clean sheet in over half of the fixtures at their own stadium. Athletic Carpi has poor efficiency in away games (38% wins, 54% losses) and a negative goal difference of -6, conceding an average of 1.31 goals per match. Ascoli's advantage in possession (67% vs 52%), shot effectiveness, and xG indicators (1.71 vs 1.40) further confirms their dominance. All statistics point to a clear advantage for the hosts, who should capitalize on their excellent form and strength at home.
Ascoli vs Athletic Carpi: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ascoli play Athletic Carpi in Serie C Group B (Italy). The match date is 28 February 2026 at 20:30. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Ascoli: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Athletic Carpi: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ascoli scores 1.75 and concedes 0.64 goals per match. Athletic Carpi scores 0.97 and concedes 1.33. League average: 2.26 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ascoli 39%, Athletic Carpi 47%. Over 2.5: Ascoli 47%, Athletic Carpi 36%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 39%.
xG, shots and style
Ascoli has higher xG: 1.69 vs 1.43. Ascoli: 13.7 shots per match, Athletic Carpi: 12.1.
Match halves
Ascoli: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.94. Athletic Carpi: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Ascoli: 31-45+ (18 goals). Athletic Carpi: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group B: 2.26 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 39%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Ascoli displays decisively better form, winning four of their last five matches and earning 2.6 points per match, while Athletic Carpi averaged just 1.0 point per match in the same period. The hosts boast an impressive goal difference of +17 in home matches, conceding an average of only 0.57 goals per game at home, which attests to a solid defense. Ascoli wins 57% of home matches and keeps a clean sheet in over half of the fixtures at their own stadium. Athletic Carpi has poor efficiency in away games (38% wins, 54% losses) and a negative goal difference of -6, conceding an average of 1.31 goals per match. Ascoli's advantage in possession (67% vs 52%), shot effectiveness, and xG indicators (1.71 vs 1.40) further confirms their dominance. All statistics point to a clear advantage for the hosts, who should capitalize on their excellent form and strength at home.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ascoli | Athletic Carpi | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ascoli is 100% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Ascoli · 1.2 pts / match - Athletic Carpi
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ascoli is 80% better for: goals scored per match.
1.75 goals / match - Ascoli · 0.97 goals / match - Athletic Carpi
Ascoli is 108% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.64 goals / match - Ascoli · 1.33 goals / match - Athletic Carpi
Ascoli scores in 78% of matches (28 of 36 matches), while Athletic Carpi keeps a clean sheet in 22% (8 of 36 matches).
Athletic Carpi scores in 67% of matches (24 of 36 matches), while Ascoli keeps a clean sheet in 50% (18 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Ascoli
Over / Under — Athletic Carpi
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ascoli is 67% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.67 pts / match - Ascoli · 1 pts / match - Athletic Carpi
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ascoli - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 64%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Athletic Carpi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (18 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ascoli
Athletic Carpi
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).
Teams vs league
| Ascoli | Liga | Athletic Carpi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.39 | 2.26 | • 2.31 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 39% | 49% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 47% | 39% | ▼ 36% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 31% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 58% | 63% | ▲ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 75% | 72% | • 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ascoli 0 - 1 - 0 Athletic Carpi. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ascoli vs Athletic Carpi?
The Serie C Group B match finished Ascoli 3:0 Athletic Carpi. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ascoli vs Athletic Carpi?
Ascoli score 1.75 goals per game on average and Athletic Carpi 0.97. The Serie C Group B average is 2.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Ascoli's matches and 47% of Athletic Carpi's.
What form are Ascoli and Athletic Carpi in?
Over the last 5 games Ascoli have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Athletic Carpi 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ascoli vs Athletic Carpi?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.