Ascoli vs Livorno: match statistics
Ascoli demonstrates a decisive advantage in home matches, recording a 58% win rate and an impressive goal difference of +15 while conceding only 0.42 goals per match. The hosts maintain high efficiency with 67% clean sheets and a solid xG of 1.6 per home match. Livorno shows serious issues in away matches—70% losses, a negative goal difference of -10, and only 20% wins with an average of just 0.6 goals scored on the road. Additionally, the visitors fail to score in half of their away matches (FTS% 50%), which, combined with Ascoli's defensive solidity at home, significantly lowers their chances. Although the form of both teams in the last five matches is balanced (1.4 points per match each), home advantage and direct statistics point towards a certain victory for the hosts.
Ascoli vs Livorno: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ascoli played Livorno in Serie C Group B (Italy). The match was played on 30 January 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Ascoli: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Livorno: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ascoli scores 1.45 and concedes 0.59 goals per match. Livorno scores 1.00 and concedes 1.45. League average: 2.25 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ascoli 27%, Livorno 50%. Over 2.5: Ascoli 32%, Livorno 59%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 37%.
xG, shots and style
Ascoli has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.33. Ascoli: 12.2 shots per match, Livorno: 10.4.
Match halves
Ascoli: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.68. Livorno: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.59.
Goals by minute
Ascoli: 31-45+ (13 goals). Livorno: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group B: 2.25 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 37%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ascoli demonstrates a decisive advantage in home matches, recording a 58% win rate and an impressive goal difference of +15 while conceding only 0.42 goals per match. The hosts maintain high efficiency with 67% clean sheets and a solid xG of 1.6 per home match. Livorno shows serious issues in away matches—70% losses, a negative goal difference of -10, and only 20% wins with an average of just 0.6 goals scored on the road. Additionally, the visitors fail to score in half of their away matches (FTS% 50%), which, combined with Ascoli's defensive solidity at home, significantly lowers their chances. Although the form of both teams in the last five matches is balanced (1.4 points per match each), home advantage and direct statistics point towards a certain victory for the hosts.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ascoli | Livorno | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ascoli is 45% better for: goals scored per match.
1.45 goals / match - Ascoli · 1 goals / match - Livorno
Ascoli is 146% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.59 goals / match - Ascoli · 1.45 goals / match - Livorno
Ascoli scores in 68% of matches (15 of 22 matches), while Livorno keeps a clean sheet in 23% (5 of 22 matches).
Livorno scores in 64% of matches (14 of 22 matches), while Ascoli keeps a clean sheet in 59% (13 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ascoli
Over / Under - Livorno
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ascoli is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.68 pts / match - Ascoli · 1.32 pts / match - Livorno
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ascoli - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Livorno - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ascoli
Livorno
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).
Teams vs league
| Ascoli | Liga | Livorno | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.05 | 2.25 | ▲ 2.45 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 27% | 48% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 32% | 37% | ▲ 59% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 59% | 31% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 61% | ▲ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 64% | 72% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ascoli 1 - 0 - 0 Livorno. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ascoli vs Livorno?
The Serie C Group B match finished Ascoli 3:1 Livorno. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ascoli vs Livorno?
Ascoli score 1.45 goals per game on average and Livorno 1.00. The Serie C Group B average is 2.25 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 37% of games. Both teams score in 27% of Ascoli's matches and 50% of Livorno's.
What form are Ascoli and Livorno in?
Over the last 5 games Ascoli have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Livorno 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ascoli vs Livorno?
The statistical background for Ascoli vs Livorno — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.