Ascoli vs Palermo: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Ascoli vs Palermo: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ascoli play Palermo in Serie B (Italy). The match date is 6 November 2026. Venue: Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca.
Current form
Ascoli: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Palermo: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ascoli scores 1.60 and concedes 0.60 goals per match. Palermo scores 2.40 and concedes 1.20. League average: 2.65 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ascoli 50%, Palermo 80%. Over 2.5: Ascoli 30%, Palermo 70%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Palermo has higher xG: 1.89 vs 1.55. Ascoli: 13.7 shots per match, Palermo: 18.1.
Match halves
Ascoli: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 1.10. Palermo: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 1.70.
Goals by minute
Ascoli: 46-60 (5 goals). Palermo: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.65 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ascoli | Palermo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Palermo is 44% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Ascoli · 2.6 pts / match - Palermo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Palermo is 50% better for: goals scored per match.
1.6 goals / match - Ascoli · 2.4 goals / match - Palermo
Ascoli is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.6 goals / match - Ascoli · 1.2 goals / match - Palermo
Ascoli scores in 70% of matches (7 of 10 matches), while Palermo keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 matches).
Palermo scores in 100% of matches (10 of 10 matches), while Ascoli keeps a clean sheet in 40% (4 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ascoli
Over / Under - Palermo
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Palermo is 70% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Ascoli · 1.7 pts / match - Palermo
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ascoli - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Palermo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 80%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 2.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 3.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +8 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ascoli
Palermo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Ascoli | Liga | Palermo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.20 | 2.65 | ▲ 3.60 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 60% | ▲ 80% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 30% | 50% | ▲ 70% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 22% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 40% | 68% | ▲ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 83% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
When do Ascoli and Palermo play?
Ascoli face Palermo on 6 November 2026 in Serie B at Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ascoli vs Palermo?
Ascoli score 1.60 goals per game on average and Palermo 2.40. The Serie B average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Ascoli's matches and 80% of Palermo's.
What form are Ascoli and Palermo in?
Over the last 5 games Ascoli have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Palermo 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ascoli vs Palermo?
The statistical background for Ascoli vs Palermo — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.