Ascoli vs Perugia: match statistics
Ascoli presents a decisive advantage in home matches with 55% win efficiency and an impressive +14 goal difference. The hosts concede an average of just 0.36 goals per match at home, keeping a clean sheet in 73% of meetings, which constitutes an outstanding defensive result. Perugia performs very poorly in away matches – only 10% wins, 50% losses, and not a single clean sheet all season. The visitors concede an average of 1.7 goals away with a goal difference of -7, confirming their defensive problems. Perugia's recent form (lwwdl) does not compensate for their drastic weakness on foreign pitches, while Ascoli, despite a not very impressive recent series (ddlwl), should capitalize on their strong home position. xG statistics also speak in favor of the hosts (1.57 vs 0.9 at home against Perugia's 1.32 vs 1.33 away), which further justifies the forecast of an Ascoli victory.
Ascoli vs Perugia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ascoli played Perugia in Serie C Group B (Italy). The match was played on 25 January 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Ascoli: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Perugia: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ascoli scores 1.43 and concedes 0.57 goals per match. Perugia scores 1.00 and concedes 1.29. League average: 2.25 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ascoli 24%, Perugia 48%. Over 2.5: Ascoli 29%, Perugia 43%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 36%.
xG, shots and style
Ascoli has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.51. Ascoli: 12.1 shots per match, Perugia: 12.4.
Match halves
Ascoli: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.67. Perugia: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.57.
Goals by minute
Ascoli: 31-45+ (12 goals). Perugia: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group B: 2.25 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 36%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ascoli presents a decisive advantage in home matches with 55% win efficiency and an impressive +14 goal difference. The hosts concede an average of just 0.36 goals per match at home, keeping a clean sheet in 73% of meetings, which constitutes an outstanding defensive result. Perugia performs very poorly in away matches – only 10% wins, 50% losses, and not a single clean sheet all season. The visitors concede an average of 1.7 goals away with a goal difference of -7, confirming their defensive problems. Perugia's recent form (lwwdl) does not compensate for their drastic weakness on foreign pitches, while Ascoli, despite a not very impressive recent series (ddlwl), should capitalize on their strong home position. xG statistics also speak in favor of the hosts (1.57 vs 0.9 at home against Perugia's 1.32 vs 1.33 away), which further justifies the forecast of an Ascoli victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ascoli | Perugia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Perugia is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Ascoli · 1.4 pts / match - Perugia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ascoli is 43% better for: goals scored per match.
1.43 goals / match - Ascoli · 1 goals / match - Perugia
Ascoli is 126% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.57 goals / match - Ascoli · 1.29 goals / match - Perugia
Ascoli scores in 67% of matches (14 of 21 matches), while Perugia keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 matches).
Perugia scores in 57% of matches (12 of 21 matches), while Ascoli keeps a clean sheet in 62% (13 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ascoli
Over / Under - Perugia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ascoli is 71% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.62 pts / match - Ascoli · 0.95 pts / match - Perugia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ascoli - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Perugia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 19%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ascoli
Perugia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).
Teams vs league
| Ascoli | Liga | Perugia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 2.25 | • 2.29 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 24% | 48% | • 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 29% | 36% | ▲ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 62% | 31% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 48% | 60% | ▲ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 62% | 73% | ▲ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ascoli 1 - 0 - 0 Perugia. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ascoli vs Perugia?
The Serie C Group B match finished Ascoli 2:1 Perugia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ascoli vs Perugia?
Ascoli score 1.43 goals per game on average and Perugia 1.00. The Serie C Group B average is 2.25 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 36% of games. Both teams score in 24% of Ascoli's matches and 48% of Perugia's.
What form are Ascoli and Perugia in?
Over the last 5 games Ascoli have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Perugia 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ascoli vs Perugia?
The statistical background for Ascoli vs Perugia — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.