Italy - Serie BData current as of 23 October 2026

Ascoli vs Sampdoria: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Ascoli vs Sampdoria: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Ascoli play Sampdoria in Serie B (Italy). The match date is 27 October 2026.

Current form

Ascoli: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Sampdoria: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Ascoli scores 1.14 and concedes 0.71 goals per match. Sampdoria scores 1.00 and concedes 2.14. League average: 2.73 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Ascoli 57%, Sampdoria 86%. Over 2.5: Ascoli 29%, Sampdoria 71%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 56%.

xG, shots and style

Sampdoria has higher xG: 1.84 vs 1.49. Ascoli: 13.6 shots per match, Sampdoria: 16.6.

Match halves

Ascoli: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.00. Sampdoria: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.57.

Goals by minute

Ascoli: 46-60 (3 goals). Sampdoria: 76-90+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie B: 2.73 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 56%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.29)
(3.30)
(3.02)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.14Goals scored / match1
AscoliSampdoria
0.71Goals conceded / match2.14
AscoliSampdoria
61%Average possession50%
AscoliSampdoria
4Shots on target / match5.14
AscoliSampdoria

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.57Shots per match16.57
AscoliSampdoria
4Shots on target5.14
AscoliSampdoria
8.4%Shot conversion6%
AscoliSampdoria
61%Possession50%
AscoliSampdoria
1.49xG for1.84
AscoliSampdoria
1.36xG against1.27
AscoliSampdoria

Shooting quality

Ascoli: BalancedSampdoria: Attacking
AscoliSampdoria
Accuracy (shots on target)29%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.19

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Ascoli is 167% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Ascoli · 0.6 pts / match - Sampdoria

Ascoli
WLWDD
Season result split
43% W43% D14% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-3-1
1.71 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-2-0
Last 5 at home
2-2-0
DWWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.46Opponent xG: 1.15BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Sampdoria
LLWLL
Season result split
14% W14% D71% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-5
0.57 pts / match · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-3
Last 5 away
0-1-3
DLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.66Opponent xG: 1.29BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Ascoli is 14% better for: goals scored per match.

1.14 goals / match - Ascoli · 1 goals / match - Sampdoria

Ascoli is 201% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.71 goals / match - Ascoli · 2.14 goals / match - Sampdoria

Ascoli scoring profile: very strong

Ascoli scores in 71% of matches (5 of 7 matches), while Sampdoria keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 7 matches).

Sampdoria scoring profile: very strong

Sampdoria scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Ascoli keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 matches).

8Goals scored (season)7
AscoliSampdoria
5Goals conceded (season)15
AscoliSampdoria
1.86Average goals in match3.14
AscoliSampdoria
5Goals scored (last 5)5
AscoliSampdoria
3Goals conceded (last 5)12
AscoliSampdoria

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal86%
AscoliSampdoria
29%2 goals14%
AscoliSampdoria
14%3 goals0%
AscoliSampdoria
0%4 goals0%
AscoliSampdoria

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal100%
AscoliSampdoria
0%2 goals71%
AscoliSampdoria
0%3 goals29%
AscoliSampdoria
0%4 goals14%
AscoliSampdoria

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time29%
AscoliSampdoria
0%BTTS in both halves0%
AscoliSampdoria
0%Scored in both halves0%
AscoliSampdoria

BTTS and goal count

29%Min. 3 goals and BTTS71%
AscoliSampdoria
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
AscoliSampdoria
40%BTTS - last 580%
AscoliSampdoria

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

43%Min. 1 goal before half-time86%
AscoliSampdoria
14%Min. 2 goals before half-time43%
AscoliSampdoria
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
AscoliSampdoria

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal after half-time86%
AscoliSampdoria
43%Min. 2 goals after half-time57%
AscoliSampdoria
14%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
AscoliSampdoria

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Ascoli - half-time state
0% leading71% draw29% trailing
Sampdoria - half-time state
14% leading29% draw57% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.71Points per match (1st half)0.71
AscoliSampdoria
0.14Goals scored (1st half)0.43
AscoliSampdoria
0.43Goals conceded (1st half)1.29
AscoliSampdoria
0.57Average goals (1st half)1.71
AscoliSampdoria
57%Clean sheet before half-time29%
AscoliSampdoria
86%No goal before half-time57%
AscoliSampdoria

After half-time (2nd half)

1.71Points per match (2nd half)1.14
AscoliSampdoria
1Goals scored (2nd half)0.57
AscoliSampdoria
0.29Goals conceded (2nd half)0.86
AscoliSampdoria
1.29Average goals (2nd half)1.43
AscoliSampdoria
71%Clean sheet after half-time43%
AscoliSampdoria
43%No goal after half-time57%
AscoliSampdoria

Ascoli - second-half results

43% W43% D14% L
5
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.71
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Sampdoria - second-half results

29% W29% D43% L
5
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.71
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 14%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.4

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Ascoli - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.60
Goals scored / match0.20.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.2
Average goals in match0.61.0
1 goal40%60%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-1+3
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Sampdoria - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.401.00
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match1.60.8
Average goals in match2.01.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-6-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Ascoli
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
1
2
16-30
0
0
31-45
3
1
46-60
1
1
61-75
3
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Sampdoria
ScoredConceded
1
3
0-15
1
4
16-30
1
2
31-45
1
2
46-60
1
2
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.50
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
91%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
72%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
61%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Ascoli

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.13
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.30
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.35
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.65
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
80%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
55%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.11
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.9
Late goals
38% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
38%

Sampdoria

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.57
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.71
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.84
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.87
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
77%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
150%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.03
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

AscoliLigaSampdoria
Average goals in match▼ 1.862.73▲ 3.14
Both teams scored▼ 57%64%▲ 86%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 29%56%▲ 71%
Clean sheets▲ 29%20%▼ 0%
Goal before half-time▼ 43%66%▲ 86%
Goal after half-time▼ 71%86%• 86%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.73
Average goals per match
64%
Both teams scored
56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
20%
Clean sheets
1.43
Home goals / match
1.30
Away goals / match
+10%
Home attack advantage
+9%
Home defence advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
86%
1 goal
57%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Ascoli and Sampdoria play?

Ascoli face Sampdoria on 27 October 2026 in Serie B. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Ascoli vs Sampdoria?

Ascoli score 1.14 goals per game on average and Sampdoria 1.00. The Serie B average is 2.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Ascoli's matches and 86% of Sampdoria's.

What form are Ascoli and Sampdoria in?

Over the last 5 games Ascoli have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Sampdoria 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ascoli vs Sampdoria?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ascoli vs Sampdoria: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.