Ascoli vs Ternana: match statistics
Ascoli displays impressive home form with 50% wins and a massive 70% clean sheet rate at their own stadium, scoring an average of 1.7 goals while conceding just 0.4 per match. The hosts' goal difference in home matches stands at +13, evidencing their dominance in front of their home crowd. Ternana, despite good recent general form (4 wins in the last 5 matches), performs significantly worse away—only 22% wins and as many as 56% draws, with an average of just 0.89 goals scored per away match. Additionally, Ternana fails to score in 44% of away matches, which could be a key factor given Ascoli's strong defense. Ascoli's possession advantage (68% vs 47%) and higher xG figures (1.63 vs 1.24) confirm their offensive superiority, making a home win the most likely outcome.
Ascoli vs Ternana: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ascoli played Ternana in Serie C Group B (Italy). The match was played on 9 January 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Ascoli: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Ternana: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ascoli scores 1.53 and concedes 0.58 goals per match. Ternana scores 1.16 and concedes 0.89. League average: 2.28 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ascoli 26%, Ternana 53%. Over 2.5: Ascoli 32%, Ternana 32%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 38%.
xG, shots and style
Ascoli has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.52. Ascoli: 12.2 shots per match, Ternana: 11.1.
Match halves
Ascoli: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.68. Ternana: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
Ascoli: 31-45+ (12 goals). Ternana: 61-75 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group B: 2.28 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 38%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ascoli displays impressive home form with 50% wins and a massive 70% clean sheet rate at their own stadium, scoring an average of 1.7 goals while conceding just 0.4 per match. The hosts' goal difference in home matches stands at +13, evidencing their dominance in front of their home crowd. Ternana, despite good recent general form (4 wins in the last 5 matches), performs significantly worse away—only 22% wins and as many as 56% draws, with an average of just 0.89 goals scored per away match. Additionally, Ternana fails to score in 44% of away matches, which could be a key factor given Ascoli's strong defense. Ascoli's possession advantage (68% vs 47%) and higher xG figures (1.63 vs 1.24) confirm their offensive superiority, making a home win the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ascoli | Ternana | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ternana is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Ascoli · 2 pts / match - Ternana
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ascoli is 32% better for: goals scored per match.
1.53 goals / match - Ascoli · 1.16 goals / match - Ternana
Ascoli is 53% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.58 goals / match - Ascoli · 0.89 goals / match - Ternana
Ascoli scores in 68% of matches (13 of 19 matches), while Ternana keeps a clean sheet in 32% (6 of 19 matches).
Ternana scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Ascoli keeps a clean sheet in 63% (12 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ascoli
Over / Under - Ternana
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ascoli is 39% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.68 pts / match - Ascoli · 1.21 pts / match - Ternana
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ascoli - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Ternana - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ascoli
Ternana
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).
Teams vs league
| Ascoli | Liga | Ternana | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.11 | 2.28 | ▼ 2.05 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 26% | 48% | ▲ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 32% | 38% | ▼ 32% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 63% | 31% | • 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 60% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 58% | 73% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ascoli 1 - 0 - 0 Ternana. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ascoli vs Ternana?
The Serie C Group B match finished Ascoli 1:0 Ternana. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ascoli vs Ternana?
Ascoli score 1.53 goals per game on average and Ternana 1.16. The Serie C Group B average is 2.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 26% of Ascoli's matches and 53% of Ternana's.
What form are Ascoli and Ternana in?
Over the last 5 games Ascoli have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Ternana 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ascoli vs Ternana?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.