Ascoli vs Vis Pesaro: match statistics
Ascoli vs Vis Pesaro: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ascoli played Vis Pesaro in Serie C Group B (Italy). The match was played on 4 April 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Ascoli: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Vis Pesaro: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ascoli scores 1.78 and concedes 0.66 goals per match. Vis Pesaro scores 1.00 and concedes 0.94. League average: 2.26 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ascoli 41%, Vis Pesaro 50%. Over 2.5: Ascoli 47%, Vis Pesaro 34%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 39%.
xG, shots and style
Ascoli has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.41. Ascoli: 12.9 shots per match, Vis Pesaro: 10.9.
Match halves
Ascoli: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.91. Vis Pesaro: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Ascoli: 31-45+ (17 goals). Vis Pesaro: 0-15 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group B: 2.26 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 39%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ascoli is the clear favorite: they sit 2nd in the table, have won 20 matches this season and scored 57 goals, while Vis Pesaro are 9th with 10 wins and 32 goals. The home side’s form is impressive — Ascoli have won all 5 of their last matches, scoring 11 goals in that span and averaging 3 points per game over the last 5, whereas Vis Pesaro in the same period have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, 6 goals and average 2 points per game. In chance-creation terms Ascoli at home average 14.06 shots per game (4.63 on target) with 67% possession and xG 1.73, while Vis Pesaro away average 9.75 shots (3 on target), 53% possession and xG 1.29 — this indicates a clear home advantage in creating opportunities. Defensively Ascoli also dominate: they concede 0.5 goals per game at home and keep clean sheets in 63% of matches, while Vis Pesaro concede 1.0 goals away and keep 31% clean sheets; the difference in home goal difference (+22) versus away goal difference (+1) further favors Ascoli. Considering the higher shot conversion (13% vs 11%), greater shot volume, better xG and Ascoli’s 5-match winning run, I predict an Ascoli win; I assess the probabilities at roughly 68% for the home side, 20% for a draw and 12% for Vis Pesaro.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back 'no' (BTTS - No): 60% vs 40% for 'yes'. Ascoli in the last 5 matches has averaged 2.2 goals scored and only 0.4 conceded (11 scored and 2 conceded in 5), indicating strong defensive form and a propensity for a clean sheet. Over the season Ascoli has 38% clean sheets at home and a goal tally of 57 scored and 21 conceded, while Vis Pesaro has a season BTTS rate of 56% and seasonal averages of 1.06 goals scored and 1.00 conceded; however Vis Pesaro in the last 5 matches scored 6 and conceded 3, which does not conclusively indicate regularly breaking down Ascoli’s defense. Additionally the league features a high clean sheet rate (60%) and a league average goals of 2.26, and the combined seasonal average of both teams (0.94 + 1.06 = 2.0) is below that value, increasing the probability of No BTTS. Although Vis Pesaro has better conversion (11% vs 8%) and comparable recent xG (1.5 vs 1.46), Ascoli’s advantage in shots (12 vs 9.75) and shots on target (4.25 vs 3.0) and form 'wwwww' lead me to select 'no' (No Goal).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model estimates a total goal count around 2.90 (Ascoli 1.60 vs Vis Pesaro 1.30), based on xG: Ascoli xG_for 1.54 vs Vis Pesaro xG_against 1.58 and Vis Pesaro xG_for 1.29 vs Ascoli xG_against 1.57. In the last 5 matches Ascoli averaged 2.2 goals scored and 0.4 conceded (11:2 in five games), while Vis Pesaro averaged 1.2 scored and 0.6 conceded (6:3), which boosts the expected goals total. Seasonal stats show over 1.5 occurring frequently: 63% of Ascoli’s matches and 69% of Vis Pesaro’s matches finished >1.5 goals, and the league average is 2.26 goals per game. Based on xG, recent form and over percentages, the strongest signal is backing Over 1.5 (approx. 79% probability), while Over 2.5 also has moderate support (~55%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time appears most likely: Ascoli were level at the break in 6 matches (38%) and Vis Pesaro in 10 matches (63%), so I estimate the combined chance of a draw after 45 minutes at about 52%. In the second half the home side’s advantage increases — in the last 5 games Ascoli averaged 1.4 goals after the break versus 0.6 for Vis Pesaro, and Ascoli won 5 of their last 5 matches (100%). Additionally Ascoli generate higher xG (1.54 vs 1.29) and more shots on target (4.25 vs 3.0), which raises the probability of a turnaround after the break. Ascoli led at the break in 7 matches (44%) and kept a clean sheet at half-time in 81% of games, indicating a low tempo first half but a home advantage in the second half; therefore I select the draw/Ascoli (X/1) HT/FT scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ascoli | Vis Pesaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ascoli is 50% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / match - Ascoli · 2 pts / match - Vis Pesaro
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ascoli is 78% better for: goals scored per match.
1.78 goals / match - Ascoli · 1 goals / match - Vis Pesaro
Ascoli is 42% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.66 goals / match - Ascoli · 0.94 goals / match - Vis Pesaro
Ascoli scores in 78% of matches (25 of 32 matches), while Vis Pesaro keeps a clean sheet in 34% (11 of 32 matches).
Vis Pesaro scores in 69% of matches (22 of 32 matches), while Ascoli keeps a clean sheet in 50% (16 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ascoli
Over / Under - Vis Pesaro
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ascoli is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.72 pts / match - Ascoli · 1.44 pts / match - Vis Pesaro
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ascoli - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Vis Pesaro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (17 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ascoli
Vis Pesaro
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).
Teams vs league
| Ascoli | Liga | Vis Pesaro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.44 | 2.26 | ▼ 1.94 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 49% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 47% | 39% | ▼ 34% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 30% | ▲ 34% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 63% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | • 72% | 72% | ▼ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ascoli 0 - 1 - 0 Vis Pesaro. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ascoli vs Vis Pesaro?
The Serie C Group B match finished Ascoli 2:1 Vis Pesaro. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ascoli vs Vis Pesaro?
Ascoli score 1.78 goals per game on average and Vis Pesaro 1.00. The Serie C Group B average is 2.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Ascoli's matches and 50% of Vis Pesaro's.
What form are Ascoli and Vis Pesaro in?
Over the last 5 games Ascoli have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Vis Pesaro 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ascoli vs Vis Pesaro?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.