Ashdod vs Ironi Tiberias: match statistics
Ashdod vs Ironi Tiberias: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ashdod played Ironi Tiberias in Israeli Premier League (Israel). The match was played on 3 May 2026. Final score: 0:3.
Current form
Ashdod: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Ironi Tiberias: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ashdod scores 1.21 and concedes 1.90 goals per match. Ironi Tiberias scores 1.21 and concedes 1.83. League average: 2.99 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ashdod 66%, Ironi Tiberias 48%. Over 2.5: Ashdod 59%, Ironi Tiberias 45%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Ashdod has higher xG: 1.34 vs 1.31. Ashdod: 11.9 shots per match, Ironi Tiberias: 10.6.
Match halves
Ashdod: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.69. Ironi Tiberias: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.76.
Goals by minute
Ashdod: 76-90+ (10 goals). Ironi Tiberias: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Israeli Premier League: 2.99 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I project a draw: both teams show low win rates and high draw shares — Ashdod wins only 14% of home matches and records 29% draws, while Ironi Tiberias wins 13% of away games with 33% draws. Recent form (last 5) favors the visitors: Ashdod has failed to win any of their last five (0-2-3) and averages 0.4 points per game, whereas Tiberias is 1-3-1 and averages 1.2 points per game. Offensively the hosts look quantitatively stronger — Ashdod scores 1.43 goals at home with 11.21 shots and 3.43 on target per game, while Tiberias away averages 1.07 goals with 9.27 shots and 3.53 on target. Both defenses are nonetheless vulnerable: Ashdod concedes 2.29 goals at home, Tiberias concedes 2.13 away, and xG against is 1.68 for Ashdod versus 1.95 for Tiberias, indicating the visitors allow more high-quality chances. Given Ashdod’s much lower share of matches without scoring (14% vs Tiberias’ 40% away) combined with the hosts’ poor form and high home loss rate (57%), a split of the points appears the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The case for a BTTS - Yes scenario is supported by league and recent signals: the league has BTTS at 56%, Ashdod has BTTS 80% in the last 5 matches, and Ironi Tiberias has season BTTS 53%. Seasonal goals averages show Ashdod scores 1.36 and concedes 1.5 goals per game, while Ironi scores 1.07 and concedes 2.13, indicating both teams regularly create and concede goals. xG and shot stats confirm this: Ashdod generates 1.45 xG with an average of 4.64 shots on target per game, Ironi has 1.17 xG and 3.53 shots on target, and opponent xG is 1.72 (Ashdod) versus 1.95 (Ironi), meaning both sides give opponents chances. The counterpoint is Ashdod has 43% clean sheets this season (compared to Ironi only 13%) and the league has 54% matches with a clean sheet, but in the last 5 Ashdod conceded on average 1.6 goals with 80% BTTS, and Ironi conceded 0.8 with 40% BTTS, which together tips the balance toward both teams scoring. Based on this, I assess BTTS probability at 62% (Yes) versus 38% (No) and recommend a 'yes' bet as the strongest signal from the data.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I project 1.70 goals for Ashdod (attacking xG 1.45 + Ironi defensive xG 1.95, average = 1.70) and 1.45 for Ironi Tiberias (attacking xG 1.17 + Ashdod defensive xG 1.72, average = 1.45), totaling 3.15 expected goals. A Poisson model with lambda = 3.15 yields ~82% probability for Over 1.5 goals, ~61% for Over 2.5 and ~39% for Over 3.5, which aligns with seasonal over 1.5 rates: Ashdod 79% and visitors 93%. Additionally, Ironi concedes 2.13 goals per game on average, Ashdod averages 12.07 shots with a conversion rate of ~11%, and both teams have scored 35 goals this season, confirming offensive pressure and the visitors' defensive vulnerability (Ironi conceded 53 goals). Although Ashdod has 43% clean sheets on the season, in the last 5 matches the home team scored 5 and conceded 8, while the visitors scored 5 and conceded 4, which together reinforce the goals forecast. As a result, the strongest and most reliable signal from the data is an Over 1.5 bet (recommended), while Over 2.5 has moderate support (~61%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back X/1 (draw at half-time, home win at full-time). Ashdod have superior offensive metrics: on average 1.36 goals scored per match versus 1.07 for Ironi Tiberias and a higher xG of 1.45 compared to 1.17; the hosts also register more shots (12.07 vs 9.27) and more shots on target (4.64 vs 3.53). First-half statistics support a draw — in their last 5 home matches Ashdod were level at the break in 100% of cases, and the average first-half goals over the last 5 matches is 0.8 (0.4 for the home side and 1.0 for the visitors). In the second half Ashdod’s superiority is pronounced: the hosts score on average 0.86 goals after the break, while Ironi concede on average 1.13 goals in second halves as the away team, which increases the likelihood that the hosts will overturn a lead at the break. Additionally, Ironi Tiberias concede 2.13 goals per match on the season, have only a 13% clean sheet rate away and just 13% away wins; for these reasons I assess the X/1 scenario as the most likely and assign it roughly a 33% probability.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ashdod | Ironi Tiberias | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ironi Tiberias is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Ashdod · 1.2 pts / match - Ironi Tiberias
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ashdod scores in 72% of matches (21 of 29 matches), while Ironi Tiberias keeps a clean sheet in 28% (8 of 29 matches).
Ironi Tiberias scores in 69% of matches (20 of 29 matches), while Ashdod keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ashdod
Over / Under - Ironi Tiberias
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ashdod is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.97 pts / match - Ashdod · 0.86 pts / match - Ironi Tiberias
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ashdod - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ironi Tiberias - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ashdod
Ironi Tiberias
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Israeli Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Ashdod | Liga | Ironi Tiberias | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.10 | 2.99 | • 3.03 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 66% | 56% | ▼ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 57% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 27% | • 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 66% | • 66% |
| Goal after half-time | • 79% | 78% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Ashdod 0 - 2 - 0 Ironi Tiberias. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ashdod vs Ironi Tiberias?
The Israeli Premier League match finished Ashdod 0:3 Ironi Tiberias. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Ashdod and Ironi Tiberias?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Ashdod won 0, Ironi Tiberias won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Ashdod vs Ironi Tiberias?
Ashdod score 1.21 goals per game on average and Ironi Tiberias 1.21. The Israeli Premier League average is 2.99 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 66% of Ashdod's matches and 48% of Ironi Tiberias's.
What form are Ashdod and Ironi Tiberias in?
Over the last 5 games Ashdod have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Ironi Tiberias 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ashdod vs Ironi Tiberias?
The statistical background for Ashdod vs Ironi Tiberias — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.