Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF vs União Santarém: match statistics
Académica de Coimbra presents significantly better home form with 60% of matches won at home and an impressive goal difference of +10. The hosts score an average of 1.7 goals per home match with an xG of 1.47, evidencing an effective offense. União Santarém has weaker away statistics, scoring only 0.9 goals per match with an xG of 0.98 and failing to score in 50% of matches. Académica's advantage in possession (54% vs 44%) and higher number of shots (10.5 vs 6.2) further supports the forecast of a home victory. Recent form of both teams is balanced; however, Académica's home stats and União Santarém's away stats clearly favor the hosts. The expected result is a win for Académica, with a possibility of a draw considering the visitors' solid defense.
Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF vs União Santarém: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF played União Santarém in Liga 3 (Portugal). The match was played on 28 February 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. União Santarém: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF scores 1.60 and concedes 1.05 goals per match. União Santarém scores 0.85 and concedes 0.80. League average: 2.18 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF 55%, União Santarém 40%. Over 2.5: Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF 35%, União Santarém 25%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 37%.
xG, shots and style
Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF has higher xG: 1.36 vs 1.02. Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF: 9.8 shots per match, União Santarém: 6.5.
Match halves
Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.90. União Santarém: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF: 31-45+ (7 goals). União Santarém: 46-60 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 3: 2.18 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 37%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Académica de Coimbra presents significantly better home form with 60% of matches won at home and an impressive goal difference of +10. The hosts score an average of 1.7 goals per home match with an xG of 1.47, evidencing an effective offense. União Santarém has weaker away statistics, scoring only 0.9 goals per match with an xG of 0.98 and failing to score in 50% of matches. Académica's advantage in possession (54% vs 44%) and higher number of shots (10.5 vs 6.2) further supports the forecast of a home victory. Recent form of both teams is balanced; however, Académica's home stats and União Santarém's away stats clearly favor the hosts. The expected result is a win for Académica, with a possibility of a draw considering the visitors' solid defense.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF | União Santarém | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 52% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
União Santarém is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF · 1.6 pts / match - União Santarém
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF is 88% better for: goals scored per match.
1.6 goals / match - Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF · 0.85 goals / match - União Santarém
União Santarém is 31% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.05 goals / match - Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF · 0.8 goals / match - União Santarém
Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF scores in 80% of matches (16 of 20 matches), while União Santarém keeps a clean sheet in 35% (7 of 20 matches).
União Santarém scores in 60% of matches (12 of 20 matches), while Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF
Over / Under - União Santarém
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
União Santarém is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / match - Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF · 1.45 pts / match - União Santarém
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
União Santarém - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF
União Santarém
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).
Teams vs league
| Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF | Liga | União Santarém | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.65 | 2.18 | ▼ 1.65 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 55% | 46% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 35% | 37% | ▼ 25% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 30% | 33% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | • 65% | 65% | ▼ 45% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 73% | ▲ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Associação Académica de Coimbra OAFGoalMarcos Paulo Gelmini GomesAssist: Carlos Eduardo Ferreira Batista
- Associação Académica de Coimbra OAFSubstitutionOn: Jean Carlos Sinisterra AnguloOff: Leandro Miguel Pereira Da Silva
- Associação Académica de Coimbra OAFGoalBeni Yvan Roy Loussakou SouzaAssist: Ricardo Jorge Martins Teixeira
- União SantarémSubstitutionOn: Miguel Filipe Santos Baião RodeiaOff: Miguel Fernando Pereira Rodrigues
- Associação Académica de Coimbra OAFSubstitutionOn: Pedro Antonio Rei JesusOff: Jean Carlos Sinisterra Angulo
- Associação Académica de Coimbra OAFSubstitutionOn: Rodrigo Coelho FernandesOff: Bruno Miguel Vicente dos Santos
- Associação Académica de Coimbra OAFSubstitutionOn: Camilo José Triana FragozoOff: Daniel João Santos Candeias
- Associação Académica de Coimbra OAFSubstitutionOn: Marco João Costa BaixinhoOff: Marcos Paulo Gelmini Gomes
- Associação Académica de Coimbra OAFSubstitutionOn: António Manuel Pereira XavierOff: Beni Yvan Roy Loussakou Souza
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF 1 - 1 - 0 União Santarém. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF vs União Santarém?
The Liga 3 match finished Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF 3:1 União Santarém. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF and União Santarém?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF won 1, União Santarém won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF vs União Santarém?
Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF score 1.60 goals per game on average and União Santarém 0.85. The Liga 3 average is 2.18 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 37% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF's matches and 40% of União Santarém's.
What form are Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF and União Santarém in?
Over the last 5 games Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and União Santarém 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF vs União Santarém?
The statistical background for Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF vs União Santarém — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.