Astana vs Kairat: match statistics
Astana vs Kairat: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Astana played Kairat in Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). The match was played on 17 September 2026. Venue: Astana Arena. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Astana: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Kairat: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Astana scores 1.71 and concedes 1.04 goals per match. Kairat scores 2.04 and concedes 0.76. League average: 2.49 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Astana 50%, Kairat 52%. Over 2.5: Astana 50%, Kairat 60%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
xG is very similar for both teams. Astana: 15.4 shots per match, Kairat: 15.7.
Match halves
Astana: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.79. Kairat: half-time lead 48%, second-half goals 0.96.
Goals by minute
Astana: 46-60 (10 goals). Kairat: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kazakhstan Premier League: 2.49 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-1. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Astana have been exceptionally effective at home: they have won 92% of their home matches, remain unbeaten there, and average 2.50 goals per game. The hosts also create more chances than Kairat do away from home, averaging 18.08 shots, 7.75 shots on target and an xG of 2.07, compared with the visitors’ 14.62 shots, 5.62 attempts on target and xG of 1.63. Astana’s defence concedes just 0.67 goals per home match, while Kairat average 1.85 goals away from home, setting up a demanding test for the visitors. Kairat have the better overall season record, with 17 wins and just 1 defeat, but their last five matches have produced 3 wins and 2 defeats, whereas Astana have recorded 3 wins and a draw. Home advantage, superior chance creation and an outstanding home record all point towards a narrow Astana victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Astana defend extremely effectively at home, conceding an average of just 0.45 goals per match and keeping a clean sheet in 64% of games, which significantly limits Kairat’s chances of scoring. The hosts are also highly productive in attack, averaging 2.36 goals, 1.85 xG and 6.64 shots on target per match, so a one-sided victory remains a realistic scenario. Astana’s seasonal BTTS rate is just 36%, compared with Kairat’s 62%, and this difference is further reinforced by the fact that the visitors have not recorded BTTS in any of their last 5 matches. Kairat do average 1.85 goals per game this season, but their last 5 matches produced only 1.19 xG per game, while Astana’s defence ranks among the strongest. The “No” selection is therefore more likely, as at least one team—above all Kairat—faces a substantial risk of ending the match without scoring.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Astana score an average of 2.36 goals per home game, while Kairat average 1.85 goals away from home, creating a solid foundation for at least two goals. Both teams regularly exceed the 1.5-goal line: this occurs in 82% of Astana’s matches and 77% of Kairat’s. The hosts generate an average of 1.85 xG, while the visitors record 1.63 xG, and both teams also take more than 14 shots per game. The last five matches further support a goals-based scenario, with Astana scoring 10 goals and Kairat 8, while conceding 5 and 6 respectively. The strongest option is Over 1.5 goals, as the high consistency of both attacks provides a clearer edge than the more demanding 2.5 and 3.5 lines.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Astana win 73% of their home matches and are yet to suffer a defeat, while their average of 2.36 goals scored is well above the 0.45 goals conceded. The hosts were leading at the break in 6 of 11 matches (55%), conceding an average of just 0.09 goals before half-time, whereas Kairat concede 0.38 goals in this period away from home. Astana’s advantage is also evident in the quality of chances created: their average xG stands at 1.85 compared with Kairat’s 1.63, while shots on target average 6.64 versus 5.62. After the break, the hosts score an average of 1.36 goals and win this period in 64% of matches, whereas Kairat score just 0.69 goals during this phase. Kairat remain a threat, so half-time draw variants are also relevant, but the scenario of Astana leading at the break and securing a full-time victory has the strongest support in the data.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Astana | Kairat | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Kairat is 20% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Astana · 2.4 pts / match - Kairat
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kairat is 19% better for: goals scored per match.
1.71 goals / match - Astana · 2.04 goals / match - Kairat
Kairat is 37% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.04 goals / match - Astana · 0.76 goals / match - Kairat
Astana scores in 75% of matches (18 of 24 matches), while Kairat keeps a clean sheet in 48% (12 of 25 matches).
Kairat scores in 92% of matches (23 of 25 matches), while Astana keeps a clean sheet in 29% (7 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Astana
Over / Under - Kairat
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Astana - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 54%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Kairat - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 48% of matches and wins 68%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Astana
Kairat
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Astana | Liga | Kairat | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.75 | 2.49 | ▲ 2.80 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 54% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 48% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 27% | ▲ 48% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 66% | ▲ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | • 75% | 75% | • 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Astana 0 - 2 - 1 Kairat. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Astana vs Kairat?
The Kazakhstan Premier League match finished Astana 1:0 Kairat. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Astana and Kairat?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Astana won 0, Kairat won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Astana vs Kairat?
Astana score 1.71 goals per game on average and Kairat 2.04. The Kazakhstan Premier League average is 2.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Astana's matches and 52% of Kairat's.
What form are Astana and Kairat in?
Over the last 5 games Astana have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Kairat 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Astana vs Kairat?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.