Astana vs Ordabasy: match statistics
Astana vs Ordabasy: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Astana play Ordabasy in Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). The match date is 11 April 2026 at 17:00. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Astana: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Ordabasy: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Astana scores 1.47 and concedes 1.12 goals per match. Ordabasy scores 1.83 and concedes 0.72. League average: 2.31 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Astana 47%, Ordabasy 56%. Over 2.5: Astana 47%, Ordabasy 50%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots and style
Ordabasy has higher xG: 1.88 vs 1.75. Astana: 15.5 shots per match, Ordabasy: 16.7.
Match halves
Astana: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.71. Ordabasy: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 1.11.
Goals by minute
Astana: 46-60 (7 goals). Ordabasy: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kazakhstan Premier League: 2.31 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Match description
Astana shows strong home metrics: on average 17.5 shots and 9 shots on target per match, xG 2.12 and 3.0 goals scored per match, with just 0.5 goals conceded on average. Ordabasy away records only 8 shots and 4 on target, xG 1.07 and 2.0 goals per match, but their shot conversion is 25% versus Astana’s 17%, which increases the value of their limited chances. In the last 5 matches Astana scored 8 goals and averages 2.0 points per match, while Ordabasy scored 11 goals and averages 2.2 points per match, indicating better recent efficiency for the visitors. Defensively the hosts are solid at home (50% clean sheets and xG against 0.69), whereas Ordabasy officially haven’t conceded away (0.0 goals conceded) but have a higher xG against 1.23, suggesting their clean sheets may have been partly down to luck. Considering Astana’s significantly higher volume of chances and superior xG (2.12 vs 1.07) plus a possession edge (58% vs 51%), I tip a home win; probability distribution: 60% Astana, 22% draw, 18% Ordabasy.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Astana | Ordabasy | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ordabasy is 20% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Astana · 2.4 pts / match - Ordabasy
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ordabasy is 24% better for: goals scored per match.
1.47 goals / match - Astana · 1.83 goals / match - Ordabasy
Ordabasy is 56% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.12 goals / match - Astana · 0.72 goals / match - Ordabasy
Astana scores in 71% of matches (12 of 17 matches), while Ordabasy keeps a clean sheet in 44% (8 of 18 matches).
Ordabasy scores in 94% of matches (17 of 18 matches), while Astana keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Astana
Over / Under — Ordabasy
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ordabasy is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.59 pts / match - Astana · 1.67 pts / match - Ordabasy
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Astana - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ordabasy - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 72%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Astana
Ordabasy
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Astana | Liga | Ordabasy | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.59 | 2.31 | ▲ 2.56 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 52% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 47% | 42% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | • 29% | 29% | ▲ 44% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 62% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | • 71% | 70% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Astana 1 - 0 - 1 Ordabasy. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Astana vs Ordabasy?
The Kazakhstan Premier League match finished Astana 1:1 Ordabasy. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Astana and Ordabasy?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Astana won 1, Ordabasy won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Astana vs Ordabasy?
Astana score 1.47 goals per game on average and Ordabasy 1.83. The Kazakhstan Premier League average is 2.31 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Astana's matches and 56% of Ordabasy's.
What form are Astana and Ordabasy in?
Over the last 5 games Astana have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Ordabasy 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Astana vs Ordabasy?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.