Astana vs Tobol: match statistics
Astana demonstrates a decisive advantage in all key home statistics. The hosts occupy a high 2nd position in the table and boast a perfect 100% win rate at home, without losing a single match. Their offense is impressive – averaging 4 goals per home match with an xG of 2.35, while their defense shows solidity, conceding on average only 1 goal. Tobol finds itself in a dramatic situation in 14th place with a catastrophic away record – 0% wins, 100% losses, and a goal difference of -3. The visitors concede on average as many as 4 goals per away match with a poor efficiency of 8%, which, combined with the hosts' form, makes Astana's victory highly likely.
Astana vs Tobol: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Astana played Tobol in Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). The match was played on 20 March 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Astana: 1-1-0, 2.00 points/match. Tobol: 0-1-1, 0.50 points/match.
Goal statistics
Astana scores 2.00 and concedes 0.50 goals per match. Tobol scores 1.50 and concedes 3.00. League average: 2.32 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Astana 50%, Tobol 100%. Over 2.5: Astana 50%, Tobol 100%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 37%.
xG, shots and style
Astana has higher xG: 1.75 vs 1.38. Astana: 15.0 shots per match, Tobol: 11.5.
Match halves
Astana: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.50. Tobol: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.50.
Goals by minute
Astana: 0-15 (1 goals). Tobol: 46-60 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kazakhstan Premier League: 2.32 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 37%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 4.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Astana demonstrates a decisive advantage in all key home statistics. The hosts occupy a high 2nd position in the table and boast a perfect 100% win rate at home, without losing a single match. Their offense is impressive – averaging 4 goals per home match with an xG of 2.35, while their defense shows solidity, conceding on average only 1 goal. Tobol finds itself in a dramatic situation in 14th place with a catastrophic away record – 0% wins, 100% losses, and a goal difference of -3. The visitors concede on average as many as 4 goals per away match with a poor efficiency of 8%, which, combined with the hosts' form, makes Astana's victory highly likely.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Astana | Tobol | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 57% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Astana is 300% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Astana · 0.5 pts / match - Tobol
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Astana is 33% better for: goals scored per match.
2 goals / match - Astana · 1.5 goals / match - Tobol
Astana is 500% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.5 goals / match - Astana · 3 goals / match - Tobol
Astana scores in 50% of matches (1 of 2 matches), while Tobol keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 matches).
Tobol scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while Astana keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Astana
Over / Under - Tobol
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Astana is 300% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / match - Astana · 0.5 pts / match - Tobol
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Astana - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Tobol - second-half results
Concedes 2.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 50% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 50% |
| No goal | 50% | 50% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 2.5 |
| Average goals in match | 0.5 | 4.0 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 100% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 0% |
| No goal | 100% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 76-90 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Astana
Tobol
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Astana | Liga | Tobol | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.50 | 2.32 | ▲ 4.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 58% | ▲ 100% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 37% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 29% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 58% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 68% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Astana 1 - 0 - 1 Tobol. Average goals 4.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Astana vs Tobol?
The Kazakhstan Premier League match finished Astana 2:0 Tobol. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Astana and Tobol?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Astana won 1, Tobol won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Astana vs Tobol?
Astana score 2.00 goals per game on average and Tobol 1.50. The Kazakhstan Premier League average is 2.32 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 37% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Astana's matches and 100% of Tobol's.
What form are Astana and Tobol in?
Over the last 5 games Astana have a 1-1-0 record (2.00 points per game) and Tobol 0-1-1 (0.50 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Astana vs Tobol?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.