Astana vs Zhenys: match statistics
Astana vs Zhenys: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Astana played Zhenys in Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). The match was played on 3 July 2026. Venue: Astana Arena. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Astana: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Zhenys: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Astana scores 1.40 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. Zhenys scores 0.87 and concedes 1.20. League average: 2.28 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Astana 47%, Zhenys 47%. Over 2.5: Astana 47%, Zhenys 40%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots and style
Astana has higher xG: 1.66 vs 1.24. Astana: 14.4 shots per match, Zhenys: 10.3.
Match halves
Astana: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.67. Zhenys: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Astana: 16-30 (6 goals). Zhenys: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kazakhstan Premier League: 2.28 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I assess the win probability in favor of Astana: they win 86% of home matches, have not lost at home (0% defeats) and possess a +12 home goal difference. The hosts score 2.29 goals per home game with average xG 1.85, produce 15.43 shots and 7.43 shots on target, while Zhenys scores only 0.86 goals on the road, averages 10.14 shots and 3.86 on target, and has a lower finishing rate of 8% with average xG 1.26. Defensively Astana also looks stronger — they concede 0.57 goals per home game and keep a clean sheet in 43% of home matches, whereas Zhenys concedes 1.57 goals away and records only 29% of matches without conceding. Additionally, the hosts have never failed to score at home (0% of home matches without a goal), while the visitors fail to score in 43% of their away games; in the last 5 matches Astana has scored 8 goals and averaged 1.6 points per game, and Zhenys scored 5 goals and averaged 1.0 points per game. Considering the superiority in chance volume (15.43 vs 10.14 shots), finishing efficiency (15% vs 8%) and defensive record (0.57 vs 1.57 goals conceded), I expect a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
A strong 'No' signal comes from the home side: Astana have only 38% BTTS at home and as many as 50% clean sheets, which reduces the likelihood of both teams scoring. Visitors Zhenys register 57% BTTS away and 60% in their last 5 matches, and their season averages for goals scored and conceded are 0.86 and 1.57, indicating they often score but also concede fairly frequently. Overall league BTTS tendency is 52%, but the league has a low goals average of 2.26, and the season scoring averages for both teams are 0.88 (Astana) and 0.86 (Zhenys), which favors a low-scoring scenario. In the last 5 matches Astana average 1.6 goals with xG 1.74, while Zhenys have 1.0 goals and xG 1.44 — the hosts create more chances, but their defensive efficiency (50% CS) further limits BTTS risk. Considering the home defensive edge and mixed signals from the visitors, I prefer 'No' with 58% for 'No' and 42% for 'Yes' as most consistent with the provided data.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I estimate 1.25 expected goals for Astana (xG for attack 1.23 and xG against opponents 1.27 averaging 1.25) and 1.27 for Zhenys (xG for attack 1.26 and xG against hosts 1.28), yielding a total of 2.52 expected goals. This 2.52 is clearly above the league average of 2.26 and well above both teams’ season actual goals scored averages (0.88 for Astana and 0.86 for Zhenys, total 1.74), indicating more chances than long-term averages suggest. Season over 1.5 rates are 50% for Astana and 71% for Zhenys; Astana’s strong form over the last 5 matches (recent xG 1.74 at home vs 1.44 away) reinforces the over 1.5 signal, so I rate over 1.5 at ~87%. The 2.5 line is more balanced (season over2.5: 25% Astana vs 57% Zhenys; league 42%), which together with the 2.52 expected goals gives a moderate edge to over 2.5 (≈58%), while over 3.5 looks unlikely (season over3.5 13% and 29%). Therefore the best value to play is over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Astana has a clear advantage in the final outcome: they average 1.5 points per match versus 0.86 for Zhenys and record 38% wins compared to 14% for the visitors, which increases the likelihood of a home victory after 90 minutes. At the same time the first half is low-scoring — Astana averages 0.38 goals by half-time and concedes 0.13, keeping a half-time clean sheet in 88% of home matches; Zhenys score 0.29 and concede 0.71, so a draw at the break (often 0-0) is realistic. xG is similar: 1.23 for Astana versus 1.26 for Zhenys, indicating comparable chance quality, but the home side’s first-half defensive performance gives them an edge in the decisive phase of the match. In the last five matches Astana led at the break in 60% of games and averaged 0.8 goals by half-time, confirming that the hosts have the potential to score the winning goal after the interval; therefore I recommend the Half-Time/Full-Time scenario draw at half-time and home win at full-time (X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Astana | Zhenys | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Astana is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Astana · 1 pts / match - Zhenys
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Astana is 61% better for: goals scored per match.
1.4 goals / match - Astana · 0.87 goals / match - Zhenys
Astana is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.13 goals / match - Astana · 1.2 goals / match - Zhenys
Astana scores in 67% of matches (10 of 15 matches), while Zhenys keeps a clean sheet in 40% (6 of 15 matches).
Zhenys scores in 67% of matches (10 of 15 matches), while Astana keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Astana
Over / Under - Zhenys
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Astana is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.53 pts / match - Astana · 1.13 pts / match - Zhenys
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Astana - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Zhenys - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Astana
Zhenys
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Astana | Liga | Zhenys | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.53 | 2.28 | ▼ 2.07 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 51% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 47% | 42% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 27% | 30% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 61% | ▼ 53% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 73% | 69% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Astana 1 - 1 - 1 Zhenys. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Astana vs Zhenys?
The Kazakhstan Premier League match finished Astana 1:0 Zhenys. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Astana and Zhenys?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Astana won 1, Zhenys won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Astana vs Zhenys?
Astana score 1.40 goals per game on average and Zhenys 0.87. The Kazakhstan Premier League average is 2.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Astana's matches and 47% of Zhenys's.
What form are Astana and Zhenys in?
Over the last 5 games Astana have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Zhenys 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Astana vs Zhenys?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.