Aston Villa vs Brentford: match statistics
Aston Villa displays impressive home form with a 73% win rate at home and only 18% losses, making them the clear favorite for this match. The hosts have a positive goal difference of +9 in home games, while Brentford away records a negative goal difference of -8 and an alarming 73% loss rate. Villa in their last five matches has averaged 2.4 points per game and scored 8 goals, conceding only 4, which shows defensive solidity. Brentford despite a recent good run of three wins, away wins only 27% of matches and has not recorded a single draw, suggesting they either win or lose. xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.45 vs 1.19), and the advantage in possession and shot accuracy further supports an Aston Villa victory.
Aston Villa vs Brentford: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Aston Villa played Brentford in Premier League (England). The match was played on 1 February 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Aston Villa: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Brentford: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Aston Villa scores 1.52 and concedes 1.09 goals per match. Brentford scores 1.52 and concedes 1.39. League average: 2.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Aston Villa 52%, Brentford 52%. Over 2.5: Aston Villa 57%, Brentford 52%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Aston Villa has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.28. Aston Villa: 12.0 shots per match, Brentford: 10.5.
Match halves
Aston Villa: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.96. Brentford: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.96.
Goals by minute
Aston Villa: 76-90+ (9 goals). Brentford: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League: 2.78 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Aston Villa displays impressive home form with a 73% win rate at home and only 18% losses, making them the clear favorite for this match. The hosts have a positive goal difference of +9 in home games, while Brentford away records a negative goal difference of -8 and an alarming 73% loss rate. Villa in their last five matches has averaged 2.4 points per game and scored 8 goals, conceding only 4, which shows defensive solidity. Brentford despite a recent good run of three wins, away wins only 27% of matches and has not recorded a single draw, suggesting they either win or lose. xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.45 vs 1.19), and the advantage in possession and shot accuracy further supports an Aston Villa victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Aston Villa | Brentford | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Aston Villa is 28% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.09 goals / match - Aston Villa · 1.39 goals / match - Brentford
Aston Villa scores in 70% of matches (16 of 23 matches), while Brentford keeps a clean sheet in 22% (5 of 23 matches).
Brentford scores in 70% of matches (16 of 23 matches), while Aston Villa keeps a clean sheet in 30% (7 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Aston Villa
Over / Under - Brentford
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Brentford is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.26 pts / match - Aston Villa · 1.39 pts / match - Brentford
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Aston Villa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 61%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Brentford - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Aston Villa
Brentford
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Aston Villa | Liga | Brentford | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.61 | 2.78 | ▲ 2.91 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 52% | 55% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 54% | ▼ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 26% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 72% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 81% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Aston Villa 0 - 0 - 1 Brentford. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Aston Villa vs Brentford?
The Premier League match finished Aston Villa 0:1 Brentford. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Aston Villa vs Brentford?
Aston Villa score 1.52 goals per game on average and Brentford 1.52. The Premier League average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Aston Villa's matches and 52% of Brentford's.
What form are Aston Villa and Brentford in?
Over the last 5 games Aston Villa have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Brentford 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aston Villa vs Brentford?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.