Aston Villa vs Manchester City: match statistics
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Aston Villa vs Manchester City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Aston Villa play Manchester City in Premier League (England). The match date is 24 October 2026. Venue: Villa Park.
Current form
Aston Villa: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Manchester City: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Aston Villa scores 1.00 and concedes 1.57 goals per match. Manchester City scores 2.71 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.90 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Aston Villa 43%, Manchester City 57%. Over 2.5: Aston Villa 57%, Manchester City 71%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Manchester City has higher xG: 1.71 vs 1.25. Aston Villa: 11.9 shots per match, Manchester City: 14.6.
Match halves
Aston Villa: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.57. Manchester City: half-time lead 57%, second-half goals 1.71.
Goals by minute
Aston Villa: 31-45+ (2 goals). Manchester City: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League: 2.90 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Aston Villa | Manchester City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 26% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.51 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Manchester City is 88% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Aston Villa · 3 pts / match - Manchester City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Manchester City is 171% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Aston Villa · 2.71 goals / match - Manchester City
Manchester City is 57% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.57 goals / match - Aston Villa · 1 goals / match - Manchester City
Aston Villa scores in 57% of matches (4 of 7 matches), while Manchester City keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 matches).
Manchester City scores in 100% of matches (7 of 7 matches), while Aston Villa keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Aston Villa
Over / Under - Manchester City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Manchester City is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.43 pts / match - Aston Villa · 2 pts / match - Manchester City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Aston Villa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Manchester City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 57% of matches and wins 100%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Aston Villa
Manchester City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Aston Villa | Liga | Manchester City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.57 | 2.90 | ▲ 3.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 53% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 54% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 27% | ▲ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 61% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 57% | 83% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Aston Villa 2 - 0 - 0 Manchester City. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
When do Aston Villa and Manchester City play?
Aston Villa face Manchester City on 24 October 2026 in Premier League at Villa Park. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Aston Villa and Manchester City?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Aston Villa won 2, Manchester City won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Aston Villa vs Manchester City?
Aston Villa score 1.00 goals per game on average and Manchester City 2.71. The Premier League average is 2.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Aston Villa's matches and 57% of Manchester City's.
What form are Aston Villa and Manchester City in?
Over the last 5 games Aston Villa have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Manchester City 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aston Villa vs Manchester City?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Aston Villa vs Manchester City: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.