Aston Villa vs Manchester United: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Aston Villa played Manchester United in Premier League (England). The match was played on 21 December 2025. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

Aston Villa: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Manchester United: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Aston Villa scores 1.56 and concedes 1.06 goals per match. Manchester United scores 1.88 and concedes 1.63. League average: 2.84 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Aston Villa 50%, Manchester United 75%. Over 2.5: Aston Villa 56%, Manchester United 69%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 57%.

xG, shots and style

Manchester United has higher xG: 1.82 vs 1.35. Aston Villa: 11.6 shots per match, Manchester United: 16.6.

Match halves

Aston Villa: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.94. Manchester United: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Aston Villa: 31-45+ (6 goals). Manchester United: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Premier League: 2.84 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 57%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

43Possession (%)57
Aston VillaManchester United
12Shots15
Aston VillaManchester United
4Shots on target6
Aston VillaManchester United
1.15xG1.86
Aston VillaManchester United
5Corners5
Aston VillaManchester United
16Dangerous attacks67
Aston VillaManchester United
11Fouls14
Aston VillaManchester United
1Cards2
Aston VillaManchester United

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Aston VillaManchester United
1.56Goals scored / match1.88
Aston VillaManchester United
1.06Goals conceded / match1.63
Aston VillaManchester United
53%Average possession54%
Aston VillaManchester United
4.25Shots on target / match5.69
Aston VillaManchester United

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.56Shots per match16.63
Aston VillaManchester United
4.25Shots on target5.69
Aston VillaManchester United
13.5%Shot conversion11.3%
Aston VillaManchester United
53%Possession54%
Aston VillaManchester United
1.35xG for1.82
Aston VillaManchester United
1.41xG against1.31
Aston VillaManchester United

Shooting quality

Aston Villa: Efficient finishingManchester United: Attacking
Aston VillaManchester United
Accuracy (shots on target)37%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Aston Villa is 88% better for: last-5 form.

3 pts / match - Aston Villa · 1.6 pts / match - Manchester United

Aston Villa
WWWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
63% W19% R19% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-3-3
2.06 pts / match · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
5-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-1-1
Last 5 at home
5-0-0
WWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.53Opponent xG: 1.55BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Manchester United
LWDWD
Season result split
44% W31% R25% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-5-4
1.63 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-3-2
Last 5 away
3-2-0
WDDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 2.31Opponent xG: 1.19BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Manchester United is 21% better for: goals scored per match.

1.56 goals / match - Aston Villa · 1.88 goals / match - Manchester United

Aston Villa is 54% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.06 goals / match - Aston Villa · 1.63 goals / match - Manchester United

Aston Villa scoring profile: very strong

Aston Villa scores in 69% of matches (11 of 16 matches), while Manchester United keeps a clean sheet in 6% (1 of 16 matches).

Manchester United scoring profile: very strong

Manchester United scores in 81% of matches (13 of 16 matches), while Aston Villa keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 matches).

25Goals scored (season)30
Aston VillaManchester United
17Goals conceded (season)26
Aston VillaManchester United
2.63Average goals in match3.5
Aston VillaManchester United
12Goals scored (last 5)11
Aston VillaManchester United
7Goals conceded (last 5)8
Aston VillaManchester United

How often they score at least...

69%1 goal81%
Aston VillaManchester United
50%2 goals63%
Aston VillaManchester United
25%3 goals25%
Aston VillaManchester United
13%4 goals19%
Aston VillaManchester United

How often they concede at least...

69%1 goal94%
Aston VillaManchester United
25%2 goals44%
Aston VillaManchester United
13%3 goals19%
Aston VillaManchester United
0%4 goals6%
Aston VillaManchester United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

75%
Manchester United - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.12 of 16 matches
53%
League average

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time19%
Aston VillaManchester United
6%BTTS in both halves6%
Aston VillaManchester United
44%Scored in both halves44%
Aston VillaManchester United

BTTS and goal count

44%Min. 3 goals and BTTS63%
Aston VillaManchester United
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
Aston VillaManchester United
80%BTTS - last 580%
Aston VillaManchester United

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time88%
Aston VillaManchester United
31%Min. 2 goals before half-time38%
Aston VillaManchester United
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
Aston VillaManchester United

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time81%
Aston VillaManchester United
56%Min. 2 goals after half-time69%
Aston VillaManchester United
6%Min. 3 goals after half-time38%
Aston VillaManchester United

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Manchester United is 42% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.19 pts / match - Aston Villa · 1.69 pts / match - Manchester United

Aston Villa - half-time state
25% leading44% draw31% trailing
Manchester United - half-time state
50% leading19% draw31% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.19Points per match (1st half)1.69
Aston VillaManchester United
0.63Goals scored (1st half)0.88
Aston VillaManchester United
0.63Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
Aston VillaManchester United
1.25Average goals (1st half)1.38
Aston VillaManchester United
50%Clean sheet before half-time56%
Aston VillaManchester United
50%No goal before half-time38%
Aston VillaManchester United

After half-time (2nd half)

1.75Points per match (2nd half)0.88
Aston VillaManchester United
0.94Goals scored (2nd half)1
Aston VillaManchester United
0.44Goals conceded (2nd half)1.13
Aston VillaManchester United
1.38Average goals (2nd half)2.13
Aston VillaManchester United
63%Clean sheet after half-time31%
Aston VillaManchester United
38%No goal after half-time38%
Aston VillaManchester United

Aston Villa - second-half results

44% W44% R13% P
19
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
28
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.19
PPG before half-time
Lead holding252%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Manchester United - second-half results

13% W50% R38% P
27
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.69
PPG before half-time
Lead holding88%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 44%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.6

Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Aston Villa - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.002.60
Goals scored / match0.81.6
Goals conceded / match1.00.4
Average goals in match1.82.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal40%0%
Goal difference-1+6
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
Manchester United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.60
Goals scored / match0.61.6
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match1.42.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-1+4
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Aston Villa
ScoredConceded
1
6
0-15
3
3
16-30
6
1
31-45
5
2
46-60
4
2
61-75
6
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Manchester United
ScoredConceded
4
2
0-15
4
3
16-30
6
3
31-45
5
6
46-60
3
4
61-75
8
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.06
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
108%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
63%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Aston Villa

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.56
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.35
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
97%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
86%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.94
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 4% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

Manchester United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.51
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.26
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.06
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.32
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
153%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
101%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.03
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).

Teams vs league

Aston VillaLigaManchester United
Average goals in match 2.632.84 3.50
Both teams scored 50%53% 75%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 56%57% 69%
Clean sheets 31%26% 6%
Goal before half-time 75%71% 88%
Goal after half-time 75%82% 81%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.84
Average goals per match
53%
Both teams scored
57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.61
Home goals / match
1.23
Away goals / match
+31%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defence advantage
+18%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
82%
1 goal
53%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Aston VillaGoalMorgan RogersAssist: John McGinn
  2. Manchester UnitedSubstitutionOn: Lisandro MartínezOff: Bruno Miguel Borges Fernandes
  3. Manchester UnitedYellow cardManuel Ugarte Ribeiro
  4. Manchester UnitedYellow cardJosé Diogo Dalot Teixeira
  5. Manchester UnitedSubstitutionOn: Shea LaceyOff: Leny Yoro
  6. Aston VillaYellow cardLamare Trenton Chansey Bogarde

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Michael OliverMatches officiated: 29
3.17Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 238%Home wins24%Draws38%Away wins

FAQ

What was the result of Aston Villa vs Manchester United?

The Premier League match finished Aston Villa 2:1 Manchester United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Aston Villa vs Manchester United?

Aston Villa score 1.56 goals per game on average and Manchester United 1.88. The Premier League average is 2.84 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Aston Villa's matches and 75% of Manchester United's.

What form are Aston Villa and Manchester United in?

Over the last 5 games Aston Villa have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Manchester United 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aston Villa vs Manchester United?

The statistical background for Aston Villa vs Manchester United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.