Atalanta II vs Audace Cerignola: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams. Atalanta II shows solid form in their last five matches (2-3-0), remaining unbeaten and earning 1.8 points per match. The hosts hold the advantage in possession (53%) and have a higher xG at home (1.65 vs 1.31), suggesting more effective chance creation. However, Audace Cerignola boasts a better away record, with 40% wins and an impressive 33% clean sheets on the road. The visitors have slightly weaker recent form (1.4 PPG), but their away defense (averaging 1.2 goals conceded) is more solid than the hosts' attack suggests. Considering Atalanta II's high draw percentage at home (29%) and the tendency of both teams towards tight matches, a draw appears to be the most likely result.
Atalanta II vs Audace Cerignola: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atalanta II played Audace Cerignola in Serie C Group C (Italy). The match was played on 9 March 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Atalanta II: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Audace Cerignola: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atalanta II scores 1.37 and concedes 1.23 goals per match. Audace Cerignola scores 1.27 and concedes 1.27. League average: 2.47 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atalanta II 50%, Audace Cerignola 47%. Over 2.5: Atalanta II 37%, Audace Cerignola 50%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Atalanta II has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.48. Atalanta II: 12.9 shots per match, Audace Cerignola: 12.6.
Match halves
Atalanta II: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.70. Audace Cerignola: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.73.
Goals by minute
Atalanta II: 16-30 (10 goals). Audace Cerignola: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group C: 2.47 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams. Atalanta II shows solid form in their last five matches (2-3-0), remaining unbeaten and earning 1.8 points per match. The hosts hold the advantage in possession (53%) and have a higher xG at home (1.65 vs 1.31), suggesting more effective chance creation. However, Audace Cerignola boasts a better away record, with 40% wins and an impressive 33% clean sheets on the road. The visitors have slightly weaker recent form (1.4 PPG), but their away defense (averaging 1.2 goals conceded) is more solid than the hosts' attack suggests. Considering Atalanta II's high draw percentage at home (29%) and the tendency of both teams towards tight matches, a draw appears to be the most likely result.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atalanta II | Audace Cerignola | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atalanta II is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Atalanta II · 1.4 pts / match - Audace Cerignola
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atalanta II is 8% better for: goals scored per match.
1.37 goals / match - Atalanta II · 1.27 goals / match - Audace Cerignola
Atalanta II scores in 63% of matches (19 of 30 matches), while Audace Cerignola keeps a clean sheet in 37% (11 of 30 matches).
Audace Cerignola scores in 67% of matches (20 of 30 matches), while Atalanta II keeps a clean sheet in 20% (6 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atalanta II
Over / Under - Audace Cerignola
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atalanta II is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.4 pts / match - Atalanta II · 1.23 pts / match - Audace Cerignola
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atalanta II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Audace Cerignola - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atalanta II
Audace Cerignola
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).
Teams vs league
| Atalanta II | Liga | Audace Cerignola | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.60 | 2.47 | • 2.53 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 48% | • 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 37% | 46% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 30% | ▲ 37% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 66% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 79% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Atalanta II 1 - 0 - 0 Audace Cerignola. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Atalanta II vs Audace Cerignola?
The Serie C Group C match finished Atalanta II 3:2 Audace Cerignola. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Atalanta II vs Audace Cerignola?
Atalanta II score 1.37 goals per game on average and Audace Cerignola 1.27. The Serie C Group C average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Atalanta II's matches and 47% of Audace Cerignola's.
What form are Atalanta II and Audace Cerignola in?
Over the last 5 games Atalanta II have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Audace Cerignola 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atalanta II vs Audace Cerignola?
The statistical background for Atalanta II vs Audace Cerignola — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.