Atalanta vs Cremonese: match statistics
Atalanta is the clear favorite for this match, as confirmed by all key statistics. The hosts win 50% of their home games and boast an impressive +9 goal difference at their own stadium, averaging 1.5 goals scored while conceding just 0.75 per match. Cremonese exhibits very poor away form – they win only 25% of away matches, have failed to secure a single victory in their last 5 outings, and have a negative goal difference of -7. Particularly alarming for the visitors is their Failed To Score rate of 58% in away games and merely 2.83 shots on target per match, highlighting serious offensive issues. Atalanta also holds an edge in expected goals (xG 1.8 vs 0.95), underscoring the qualitative gap between the two sides. Taking all these factors into account, a home win is the most probable result, although Atalanta's sturdy defense and Cremonese's attacking frailties suggest it could be a relatively low-scoring victory.
Atalanta vs Cremonese: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atalanta played Cremonese in Serie A (Italy). The match was played on 9 February 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Atalanta: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Cremonese: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atalanta scores 1.30 and concedes 0.87 goals per match. Cremonese scores 0.87 and concedes 1.35. League average: 2.42 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atalanta 48%, Cremonese 43%. Over 2.5: Atalanta 30%, Cremonese 35%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Atalanta has higher xG: 1.56 vs 0.99. Atalanta: 14.1 shots per match, Cremonese: 8.6.
Match halves
Atalanta: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.70. Cremonese: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.48.
Goals by minute
Atalanta: 76-90+ (8 goals). Cremonese: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.42 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Atalanta is the clear favorite for this match, as confirmed by all key statistics. The hosts win 50% of their home games and boast an impressive +9 goal difference at their own stadium, averaging 1.5 goals scored while conceding just 0.75 per match. Cremonese exhibits very poor away form – they win only 25% of away matches, have failed to secure a single victory in their last 5 outings, and have a negative goal difference of -7. Particularly alarming for the visitors is their Failed To Score rate of 58% in away games and merely 2.83 shots on target per match, highlighting serious offensive issues. Atalanta also holds an edge in expected goals (xG 1.8 vs 0.95), underscoring the qualitative gap between the two sides. Taking all these factors into account, a home win is the most probable result, although Atalanta's sturdy defense and Cremonese's attacking frailties suggest it could be a relatively low-scoring victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atalanta | Cremonese | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atalanta is 450% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Atalanta · 0.4 pts / match - Cremonese
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atalanta is 49% better for: goals scored per match.
1.3 goals / match - Atalanta · 0.87 goals / match - Cremonese
Atalanta is 55% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.87 goals / match - Atalanta · 1.35 goals / match - Cremonese
Atalanta scores in 78% of matches (18 of 23 matches), while Cremonese keeps a clean sheet in 26% (6 of 23 matches).
Cremonese scores in 52% of matches (12 of 23 matches), while Atalanta keeps a clean sheet in 39% (9 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atalanta
Over / Under - Cremonese
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atalanta is 51% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.57 pts / match - Atalanta · 1.04 pts / match - Cremonese
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atalanta - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Cremonese - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atalanta
Cremonese
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Atalanta | Liga | Cremonese | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.17 | 2.42 | ▼ 2.22 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 48% | 46% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 30% | 46% | ▼ 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 32% | ▼ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 70% | 65% | • 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 76% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Atalanta 0 - 1 - 0 Cremonese. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Atalanta vs Cremonese?
The Serie A match finished Atalanta 2:1 Cremonese. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Atalanta vs Cremonese?
Atalanta score 1.30 goals per game on average and Cremonese 0.87. The Serie A average is 2.42 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Atalanta's matches and 43% of Cremonese's.
What form are Atalanta and Cremonese in?
Over the last 5 games Atalanta have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Cremonese 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atalanta vs Cremonese?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.