Atalanta vs Fiorentina: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Atalanta play Fiorentina in Serie A (Italy). The match date is 30 November 2025 at 18:00. Final score: 2:0.

Current form

Atalanta: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Fiorentina: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Atalanta scores 1.34 and concedes 0.95 goals per match. Fiorentina scores 1.08 and concedes 1.32. League average: 2.43 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Atalanta 53%, Fiorentina 58%. Over 2.5: Atalanta 37%, Fiorentina 50%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 46%.

xG, shots and style

Atalanta has higher xG: 1.64 vs 1.34. Atalanta: 14.8 shots per match, Fiorentina: 12.9.

Match halves

Atalanta: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.71. Fiorentina: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.63.

Goals by minute

Atalanta: 76-90+ (13 goals). Fiorentina: 46-60 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie A: 2.43 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 46%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

48Possession (%)52
AtalantaFiorentina
21Shots15
AtalantaFiorentina
9Shots on target3
AtalantaFiorentina
2.3xG1.37
AtalantaFiorentina
4Corners5
AtalantaFiorentina
48Dangerous attacks29
AtalantaFiorentina
15Fouls10
AtalantaFiorentina
1Cards3
AtalantaFiorentina

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

AtalantaFiorentina
1.34Goals scored / match1.08
AtalantaFiorentina
0.95Goals conceded / match1.32
AtalantaFiorentina
55%Average possession51%
AtalantaFiorentina
4.61Shots on target / match3.45
AtalantaFiorentina

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.79Shots per match12.87
AtalantaFiorentina
4.61Shots on target3.45
AtalantaFiorentina
9.1%Shot conversion8.4%
AtalantaFiorentina
55%Possession51%
AtalantaFiorentina
1.64xG for1.34
AtalantaFiorentina
1.33xG against1.49
AtalantaFiorentina

Shooting quality

Atalanta: DominantFiorentina: Balanced
AtalantaFiorentina
Accuracy (shots on target)31%27%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Fiorentina is 20% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Atalanta · 1.2 pts / match - Fiorentina

Atalanta
LDWLD
Season result split
39% W37% R24% P
Season (W-D-L)
15-14-9
1.55 pts / match · goal difference +15
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
9-6-4
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
DWLDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.63Opponent xG: 1.33BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Fiorentina
DLDWD
Season result split
24% W39% R37% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-15-14
1.11 pts / match · goal difference -9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-6-8
Last 5 away
3-1-1
WWDLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.25Opponent xG: 1.75BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Atalanta is 24% better for: goals scored per match.

1.34 goals / match - Atalanta · 1.08 goals / match - Fiorentina

Atalanta is 39% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.95 goals / match - Atalanta · 1.32 goals / match - Fiorentina

Atalanta scoring profile: very strong

Atalanta scores in 79% of matches (30 of 38 matches), while Fiorentina keeps a clean sheet in 26% (10 of 38 matches).

Fiorentina scoring profile: strong

Fiorentina scores in 71% of matches (27 of 38 matches), while Atalanta keeps a clean sheet in 34% (13 of 38 matches).

51Goals scored (season)41
AtalantaFiorentina
36Goals conceded (season)50
AtalantaFiorentina
2.29Average goals in match2.39
AtalantaFiorentina
6Goals scored (last 5)3
AtalantaFiorentina
7Goals conceded (last 5)5
AtalantaFiorentina

How often they score at least...

79%1 goal71%
AtalantaFiorentina
37%2 goals24%
AtalantaFiorentina
13%3 goals5%
AtalantaFiorentina
5%4 goals5%
AtalantaFiorentina

How often they concede at least...

66%1 goal74%
AtalantaFiorentina
18%2 goals42%
AtalantaFiorentina
11%3 goals13%
AtalantaFiorentina
0%4 goals3%
AtalantaFiorentina

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

45%
League average

Goal patterns

11%BTTS at half-time8%
AtalantaFiorentina
0%BTTS in both halves3%
AtalantaFiorentina
24%Scored in both halves13%
AtalantaFiorentina

BTTS and goal count

26%Min. 3 goals and BTTS42%
AtalantaFiorentina
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
AtalantaFiorentina
60%BTTS - last 520%
AtalantaFiorentina

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

74%Min. 1 goal before half-time66%
AtalantaFiorentina
26%Min. 2 goals before half-time21%
AtalantaFiorentina
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
AtalantaFiorentina

2nd half

74%Min. 1 goal after half-time76%
AtalantaFiorentina
34%Min. 2 goals after half-time45%
AtalantaFiorentina
8%Min. 3 goals after half-time18%
AtalantaFiorentina

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Atalanta is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.47 pts / match - Atalanta · 1.16 pts / match - Fiorentina

Atalanta - half-time state
37% leading37% draw26% trailing
Fiorentina - half-time state
26% leading37% draw37% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.47Points per match (1st half)1.16
AtalantaFiorentina
0.63Goals scored (1st half)0.45
AtalantaFiorentina
0.47Goals conceded (1st half)0.53
AtalantaFiorentina
1.11Average goals (1st half)0.97
AtalantaFiorentina
63%Clean sheet before half-time61%
AtalantaFiorentina
53%No goal before half-time66%
AtalantaFiorentina

After half-time (2nd half)

1.53Points per match (2nd half)1.18
AtalantaFiorentina
0.71Goals scored (2nd half)0.63
AtalantaFiorentina
0.47Goals conceded (2nd half)0.79
AtalantaFiorentina
1.18Average goals (2nd half)1.42
AtalantaFiorentina
58%Clean sheet after half-time37%
AtalantaFiorentina
45%No goal after half-time50%
AtalantaFiorentina

Atalanta - second-half results

37% W42% R21% P
56
Half-time points
24
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
58
Second-half points
+9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.47
PPG before half-time
Lead holding105%

Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Fiorentina - second-half results

24% W47% R29% P
44
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
45
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.16
PPG before half-time
Lead holding92%

Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 24%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Atalanta - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.200.80
Goals scored / match0.80.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match1.41.2
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+1-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Fiorentina - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.00
Goals scored / match0.40.2
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match1.00.6
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-1-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Atalanta
ScoredConceded
8
3
0-15
5
8
16-30
11
7
31-45
8
4
46-60
6
5
61-75
13
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Fiorentina
ScoredConceded
4
8
0-15
7
6
16-30
6
6
31-45
10
10
46-60
7
8
61-75
7
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.35
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
97%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
56%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-15%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Atalanta

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.31
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-17.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.30
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.38
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
105%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
83%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.55
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Fiorentina

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.15
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.26
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.17
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
94%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
103%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.09
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

AtalantaLigaFiorentina
Average goals in match 2.292.43 2.39
Both teams scored 53%45% 58%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 37%46% 50%
Clean sheets 34%32% 26%
Goal before half-time 74%66% 66%
Goal after half-time 74%77% 76%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.43
Average goals per match
45%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.28
Home goals / match
1.15
Away goals / match
+11%
Home attack advantage
+10%
Home defence advantage
+4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Atalanta 0 - 1 - 0 Fiorentina. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Atalanta vs Fiorentina?

The Serie A match finished Atalanta 2:0 Fiorentina. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Atalanta vs Fiorentina?

Atalanta score 1.34 goals per game on average and Fiorentina 1.08. The Serie A average is 2.43 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Atalanta's matches and 58% of Fiorentina's.

What form are Atalanta and Fiorentina in?

Over the last 5 games Atalanta have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Fiorentina 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atalanta vs Fiorentina?

The statistical background for Atalanta vs Fiorentina — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.