Italy - Serie AGewiss StadiumData current as of 21 October 2026

Atalanta vs Frosinone: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Atalanta vs Frosinone: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Atalanta play Frosinone in Serie A (Italy). The match date is 25 October 2026. Venue: Gewiss Stadium.

Current form

Atalanta: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Frosinone: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Atalanta scores 1.43 and concedes 1.57 goals per match. Frosinone scores 1.86 and concedes 1.29. League average: 2.96 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Atalanta 71%, Frosinone 43%. Over 2.5: Atalanta 71%, Frosinone 57%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 60%.

xG, shots and style

Frosinone has higher xG: 1.84 vs 1.46. Atalanta: 13.3 shots per match, Frosinone: 17.4.

Match halves

Atalanta: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.71. Frosinone: half-time lead 71%, second-half goals 0.43.

Goals by minute

Atalanta: 0-15 (3 goals). Frosinone: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie A: 2.96 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 60%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.68)
(4.53)
(5.04)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.43Goals scored / match1.86
AtalantaFrosinone
1.57Goals conceded / match1.29
AtalantaFrosinone
46%Average possession43%
AtalantaFrosinone
4.57Shots on target / match5.57
AtalantaFrosinone

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.29Shots per match17.43
AtalantaFrosinone
4.57Shots on target5.57
AtalantaFrosinone
10.8%Shot conversion10.7%
AtalantaFrosinone
46%Possession43%
AtalantaFrosinone
1.46xG for1.84
AtalantaFrosinone
1.93xG against1.99
AtalantaFrosinone

Shooting quality

Atalanta: BalancedFrosinone: Attacking
AtalantaFrosinone
Accuracy (shots on target)34%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Frosinone is 233% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - Atalanta · 2 pts / match - Frosinone

Atalanta
LLLWL
Season result split
43% W0% D57% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-0-4
1.29 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-0-1
Last 5 at home
3-0-1
WWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.57Opponent xG: 1.96BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Frosinone
WDWLW
Season result split
57% W14% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-1-2
1.86 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Last 5 away
1-1-1
WDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 2.06Opponent xG: 1.92BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Frosinone is 30% better for: goals scored per match.

1.43 goals / match - Atalanta · 1.86 goals / match - Frosinone

Frosinone is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.57 goals / match - Atalanta · 1.29 goals / match - Frosinone

Atalanta scoring profile: very strong

Atalanta scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Frosinone keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 matches).

Frosinone scoring profile: very strong

Frosinone scores in 71% of matches (5 of 7 matches), while Atalanta keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).

10Goals scored (season)13
AtalantaFrosinone
11Goals conceded (season)9
AtalantaFrosinone
3Average goals in match3.14
AtalantaFrosinone
7Goals scored (last 5)10
AtalantaFrosinone
10Goals conceded (last 5)8
AtalantaFrosinone

How often they score at least...

86%1 goal71%
AtalantaFrosinone
43%2 goals57%
AtalantaFrosinone
14%3 goals43%
AtalantaFrosinone
0%4 goals14%
AtalantaFrosinone

How often they concede at least...

86%1 goal71%
AtalantaFrosinone
57%2 goals43%
AtalantaFrosinone
14%3 goals14%
AtalantaFrosinone
0%4 goals0%
AtalantaFrosinone

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

29%BTTS at half-time14%
AtalantaFrosinone
0%BTTS in both halves0%
AtalantaFrosinone
14%Scored in both halves43%
AtalantaFrosinone

BTTS and goal count

71%Min. 3 goals and BTTS29%
AtalantaFrosinone
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS29%
AtalantaFrosinone
80%BTTS - last 560%
AtalantaFrosinone

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
AtalantaFrosinone
43%Min. 2 goals before half-time71%
AtalantaFrosinone
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
AtalantaFrosinone

2nd half

86%Min. 1 goal after half-time71%
AtalantaFrosinone
43%Min. 2 goals after half-time14%
AtalantaFrosinone
29%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
AtalantaFrosinone

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Frosinone is 66% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.29 pts / match - Atalanta · 2.14 pts / match - Frosinone

Atalanta - half-time state
29% leading43% draw29% trailing
Frosinone - half-time state
71% leading0% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.29Points per match (1st half)2.14
AtalantaFrosinone
0.71Goals scored (1st half)1.43
AtalantaFrosinone
0.71Goals conceded (1st half)0.71
AtalantaFrosinone
1.43Average goals (1st half)2.14
AtalantaFrosinone
43%Clean sheet before half-time57%
AtalantaFrosinone
57%No goal before half-time29%
AtalantaFrosinone

After half-time (2nd half)

1.14Points per match (2nd half)1.14
AtalantaFrosinone
0.71Goals scored (2nd half)0.43
AtalantaFrosinone
0.86Goals conceded (2nd half)0.57
AtalantaFrosinone
1.57Average goals (2nd half)1
AtalantaFrosinone
29%Clean sheet after half-time57%
AtalantaFrosinone
43%No goal after half-time57%
AtalantaFrosinone

Atalanta - second-half results

29% W29% D43% L
9
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.29
PPG before half-time
Lead holding148%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Frosinone - second-half results

29% W29% D43% L
15
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.14
PPG before half-time
Lead holding80%

Leads at half-time in 71% of matches and wins 57%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Atalanta - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.80
Goals scored / match0.80.6
Goals conceded / match1.01.0
Average goals in match1.81.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-1-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
Frosinone - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.400.80
Goals scored / match1.60.4
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match2.41.2
1 goal100%80%
2 goals80%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+4-2
Half-time: 80% leading - 0% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 8

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Atalanta
ScoredConceded
3
0
0-15
1
3
16-30
1
2
31-45
1
2
46-60
2
1
61-75
2
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Frosinone
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
4
2
16-30
3
2
31-45
1
1
46-60
1
2
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.08
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
104%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
57%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
61%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Atalanta

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.47
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.33
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.36
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
92%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
112%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.69
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 30% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Frosinone

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.15
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.72
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.70
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
133%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
83%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.14
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-1.0
Late goals
8% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 23% come in the first quarter-hour.
8%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

AtalantaLigaFrosinone
Average goals in match• 3.002.96▲ 3.14
Both teams scored▲ 71%57%▼ 43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 71%60%▼ 57%
Clean sheets▼ 14%22%▲ 29%
Goal before half-time▲ 71%69%▲ 100%
Goal after half-time• 86%87%▼ 71%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.96
Average goals per match
57%
Both teams scored
60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.56
Home goals / match
1.40
Away goals / match
+11%
Home attack advantage
+10%
Home defence advantage
+11%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
9%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
87%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Atalanta and Frosinone play?

Atalanta face Frosinone on 25 October 2026 in Serie A at Gewiss Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Atalanta vs Frosinone?

Atalanta score 1.43 goals per game on average and Frosinone 1.86. The Serie A average is 2.96 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Atalanta's matches and 43% of Frosinone's.

What form are Atalanta and Frosinone in?

Over the last 5 games Atalanta have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Frosinone 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atalanta vs Frosinone?

The statistical background for Atalanta vs Frosinone — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.