Atalanta vs Napoli: match statistics
Atalanta demonstrates solid home form with a 54% win rate at home and an impressive goal difference of +10 in home matches. The hosts score an average of 1.54 goals per game while conceding only 0.77, and their xG (1.88) significantly exceeds their opponents' xG (1.13), indicating dominance in their style of play. Napoli, despite a good position in the table, struggles away from home – with a 38% loss rate and only 1.31 goals scored on average against 1.08 conceded. The form from the last five matches also favors the hosts – Atalanta has earned 2.0 points per match compared to Napoli's 1.6. Considering Atalanta's home advantage and Napoli's weaker away form, I predict a home win, although the evenly matched level of both teams suggests that a draw is also a realistic scenario.
Atalanta vs Napoli: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atalanta played Napoli in Serie A (Italy). The match was played on 22 February 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Atalanta: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Napoli: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atalanta scores 1.36 and concedes 0.84 goals per match. Napoli scores 1.52 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.43 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atalanta 48%, Napoli 48%. Over 2.5: Atalanta 32%, Napoli 52%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Atalanta has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.50. Atalanta: 14.6 shots per match, Napoli: 13.1.
Match halves
Atalanta: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.68. Napoli: half-time lead 48%, second-half goals 0.72.
Goals by minute
Atalanta: 31-45+ (8 goals). Napoli: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.43 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Atalanta demonstrates solid home form with a 54% win rate at home and an impressive goal difference of +10 in home matches. The hosts score an average of 1.54 goals per game while conceding only 0.77, and their xG (1.88) significantly exceeds their opponents' xG (1.13), indicating dominance in their style of play. Napoli, despite a good position in the table, struggles away from home – with a 38% loss rate and only 1.31 goals scored on average against 1.08 conceded. The form from the last five matches also favors the hosts – Atalanta has earned 2.0 points per match compared to Napoli's 1.6. Considering Atalanta's home advantage and Napoli's weaker away form, I predict a home win, although the evenly matched level of both teams suggests that a draw is also a realistic scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atalanta | Napoli | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atalanta is 10% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Atalanta · 2 pts / match - Napoli
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Napoli is 12% better for: goals scored per match.
1.36 goals / match - Atalanta · 1.52 goals / match - Napoli
Atalanta is 19% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.84 goals / match - Atalanta · 1 goals / match - Napoli
Atalanta scores in 80% of matches (20 of 25 matches), while Napoli keeps a clean sheet in 36% (9 of 25 matches).
Napoli scores in 76% of matches (19 of 25 matches), while Atalanta keeps a clean sheet in 40% (10 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atalanta
Over / Under - Napoli
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Napoli is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.68 pts / match - Atalanta · 1.76 pts / match - Napoli
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atalanta - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Napoli - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 48% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atalanta
Napoli
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Atalanta | Liga | Napoli | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.20 | 2.43 | • 2.52 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 48% | 46% | ▲ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 32% | 46% | ▲ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 32% | ▲ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 72% | 65% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 77% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Atalanta 0 - 0 - 1 Napoli. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Atalanta vs Napoli?
The Serie A match finished Atalanta 2:1 Napoli. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Atalanta vs Napoli?
Atalanta score 1.36 goals per game on average and Napoli 1.52. The Serie A average is 2.43 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Atalanta's matches and 48% of Napoli's.
What form are Atalanta and Napoli in?
Over the last 5 games Atalanta have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Napoli 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atalanta vs Napoli?
The statistical background for Atalanta vs Napoli — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.