Atalanta vs Roma: match statistics
This fixture promises to be a tightly contested affair. At home, Atalanta displays a high draw rate (44%), averaging 2.22 goals per game with a solid 1.8 xG, highlighting their offensive potential. Roma boasts an impressive 63% win rate on the road but is characterized by a complete absence of draws (0%), having dropped points in two of their last eight away fixtures. Both sides hold identical form over their last 5 matches (1.8 PPG) and boast similar scoring averages. The xG statistics (1.8 vs 1.5) and possession figures (56% vs 57%) are comparable, suggesting tactical parity. Given Atalanta's tendency to draw at home and the balanced form of both squads, a share of the spoils is the most probable scenario, with a slight edge to the hosts due to home-field advantage.
Atalanta vs Roma: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atalanta played Roma in Serie A (Italy). The match was played on 3 January 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Atalanta: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Roma: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atalanta scores 1.18 and concedes 1.12 goals per match. Roma scores 1.18 and concedes 0.65. League average: 2.32 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atalanta 59%, Roma 29%. Over 2.5: Atalanta 35%, Roma 29%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Atalanta has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.57. Atalanta: 14.5 shots per match, Roma: 13.4.
Match halves
Atalanta: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.65. Roma: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.59.
Goals by minute
Atalanta: 31-45+ (6 goals). Roma: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.32 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
This fixture promises to be a tightly contested affair. At home, Atalanta displays a high draw rate (44%), averaging 2.22 goals per game with a solid 1.8 xG, highlighting their offensive potential. Roma boasts an impressive 63% win rate on the road but is characterized by a complete absence of draws (0%), having dropped points in two of their last eight away fixtures. Both sides hold identical form over their last 5 matches (1.8 PPG) and boast similar scoring averages. The xG statistics (1.8 vs 1.5) and possession figures (56% vs 57%) are comparable, suggesting tactical parity. Given Atalanta's tendency to draw at home and the balanced form of both squads, a share of the spoils is the most probable scenario, with a slight edge to the hosts due to home-field advantage.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atalanta | Roma | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atalanta is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Atalanta · 1.2 pts / match - Roma
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Roma is 72% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.12 goals / match - Atalanta · 0.65 goals / match - Roma
Atalanta scores in 76% of matches (13 of 17 matches), while Roma keeps a clean sheet in 41% (7 of 17 matches).
Roma scores in 71% of matches (12 of 17 matches), while Atalanta keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atalanta
Over / Under - Roma
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Roma is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.29 pts / match - Atalanta · 1.59 pts / match - Roma
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atalanta - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Roma - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 65%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atalanta
Roma
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Atalanta | Liga | Roma | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.29 | 2.32 | ▼ 1.82 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 47% | ▼ 29% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 35% | 43% | ▼ 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 32% | ▲ 41% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 64% | • 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 74% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Atalanta vs Roma?
The Serie A match finished Atalanta 1:0 Roma. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Atalanta vs Roma?
Atalanta score 1.18 goals per game on average and Roma 1.18. The Serie A average is 2.32 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Atalanta's matches and 29% of Roma's.
What form are Atalanta and Roma in?
Over the last 5 games Atalanta have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Roma 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atalanta vs Roma?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.