Athletic Carpi vs Bra: match statistics
Athletic Carpi appears to have the advantage in this match, despite poor form in their last five games. The hosts can boast a better goal difference at home (-2) compared to Bra away (-11), as well as a higher shooting accuracy (7% vs 12% with fewer shots). Bra has not won any away match this season (0% Win%), which is a key factor in favor of the hosts. The high percentage of draws for Carpi at home (54%) and Bra away (42%) suggests that a draw is a realistic scenario. The advantage in ball possession (50% vs 43%) and better xG statistics (1.48 vs 0.91) further support the forecast in favor of the hosts. Taking all factors into account, Athletic Carpi should secure three points, although it will not be an easy victory.
Athletic Carpi vs Bra: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Athletic Carpi played Bra in Serie C Group B (Italy). The match was played on 22 February 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Athletic Carpi: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Bra: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Athletic Carpi scores 0.88 and concedes 1.19 goals per match. Bra scores 1.08 and concedes 1.46. League average: 2.26 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Athletic Carpi 42%, Bra 69%. Over 2.5: Athletic Carpi 23%, Bra 46%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 38%.
xG, shots and style
Athletic Carpi has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.02. Athletic Carpi: 12.2 shots per match, Bra: 8.2.
Match halves
Athletic Carpi: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.50. Bra: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.58.
Goals by minute
Athletic Carpi: 76-90+ (7 goals). Bra: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group B: 2.26 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 38%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Athletic Carpi appears to have the advantage in this match, despite poor form in their last five games. The hosts can boast a better goal difference at home (-2) compared to Bra away (-11), as well as a higher shooting accuracy (7% vs 12% with fewer shots). Bra has not won any away match this season (0% Win%), which is a key factor in favor of the hosts. The high percentage of draws for Carpi at home (54%) and Bra away (42%) suggests that a draw is a realistic scenario. The advantage in ball possession (50% vs 43%) and better xG statistics (1.48 vs 0.91) further support the forecast in favor of the hosts. Taking all factors into account, Athletic Carpi should secure three points, although it will not be an easy victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Athletic Carpi | Bra | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Bra is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Athletic Carpi · 1 pts / match - Bra
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bra is 23% better for: goals scored per match.
0.88 goals / match - Athletic Carpi · 1.08 goals / match - Bra
Athletic Carpi is 23% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.19 goals / match - Athletic Carpi · 1.46 goals / match - Bra
Athletic Carpi scores in 65% of matches (17 of 26 matches), while Bra keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 26 matches).
Bra scores in 81% of matches (21 of 26 matches), while Athletic Carpi keeps a clean sheet in 27% (7 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Athletic Carpi
Over / Under - Bra
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bra is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Athletic Carpi · 1.35 pts / match - Bra
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Athletic Carpi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Bra - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 19%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Athletic Carpi
Bra
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).
Teams vs league
| Athletic Carpi | Liga | Bra | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.08 | 2.26 | ▲ 2.54 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 48% | ▲ 69% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 23% | 38% | ▲ 46% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 27% | 30% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | • 65% | 64% | ▲ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 71% | ▲ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Athletic Carpi 1 - 0 - 0 Bra. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Athletic Carpi vs Bra?
The Serie C Group B match finished Athletic Carpi 2:1 Bra. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Athletic Carpi vs Bra?
Athletic Carpi score 0.88 goals per game on average and Bra 1.08. The Serie C Group B average is 2.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Athletic Carpi's matches and 69% of Bra's.
What form are Athletic Carpi and Bra in?
Over the last 5 games Athletic Carpi have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Bra 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Athletic Carpi vs Bra?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Athletic Carpi vs Bra: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.