Italy - Serie C Group AStadio Sandro CabassiData current as of 19 September 2026

Athletic Carpi vs Cittadella: match statistics

Athletic Carpi crest
Athletic Carpi
1 : 2half-time 1:0
Cittadella crest
Cittadella

Athletic Carpi vs Cittadella: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Athletic Carpi played Cittadella in Serie C Group A (Italy). The match was played on 13 September 2026. Venue: Stadio Sandro Cabassi. Final score: 1:2.

Current form

Athletic Carpi: 1-1-1, 1.33 points/match. Cittadella: 3-0-0, 3.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Athletic Carpi scores 1.67 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Cittadella scores 1.67 and concedes 0.33. League average: 2.00 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Athletic Carpi 67%, Cittadella 33%. Over 2.5: Athletic Carpi 67%, Cittadella 33%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 37%.

xG, shots and style

Cittadella has higher xG: 1.87 vs 1.71. Athletic Carpi: 12.0 shots per match, Cittadella: 15.3.

Match halves

Athletic Carpi: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 0.33. Cittadella: half-time lead 100%, second-half goals 0.33.

Goals by minute

Athletic Carpi: 16-30 (3 goals). Cittadella: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie C Group A: 2.00 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 37%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Cittadella remain unbeaten this season, having won all 3 of their matches so far. Across their last five games, they have recorded 4 wins and a draw, scoring 11 goals and conceding just 4. Athletic Carpi have been more inconsistent: they have scored 9 goals in their last five matches but also conceded 9, while their average of 3 goals conceded at home points to major defensive issues. The hosts create plenty of chances, averaging 15 shots, 9 shots on target and an xG of 2.01 at home, but they also allow opponents an xG of 2.02. Cittadella are yet to concede away from home and have kept a clean sheet in 100% of their away matches, with opponents averaging an xG of 1.47, giving them a significant defensive edge. Although Carpi can pose a threat thanks to their high 20% conversion rate, the visitors’ more consistent form and considerably more reliable defence point towards an away win.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

The signal for both teams to score is reinforced by their current form: BTTS landed in 80% of Athletic Carpi’s last 5 matches and in 60% of Cittadella’s. During this period, the hosts averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded, while the visitors scored 2.2 goals per match and conceded just 0.8. Cittadella have an extremely solid defensive record this season, averaging 0.0 goals conceded and recording a 100% clean-sheet rate, which clearly limits confidence in the pick; however, their recent xG against stands at 1.27. Athletic Carpi create plenty of chances at home, recording an xG of 2.07, with an average of 17.5 shots and 7 shots on target, so they should find a way to score. BTTS - Yes is only slightly preferred, as both teams’ attacking form over their last five matches outweighs the visitors’ very small sample of seasonal clean sheets.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

Over 1.5 is strongly supported by current form: in their last 5 matches, Athletic Carpi averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded, producing 3.6 goals per game. Over the same period, Cittadella scored 2.2 goals per match, while its games averaged 3.0 goals. The attacking potential is also reflected in the xG figures: 1.91 for the hosts and 1.92 for the visitors across their last five appearances, with Carpi recording 1.75 xG conceded. Both teams saw Over 2.5 land in 60% of their last five matches, but Cittadella's excellent defensive record to date, with an average of 0.0 goals conceded, limits confidence in the higher lines. Therefore, the safest and strongest selection is Over 1.5, with a projected 2.70 goals offering a clear edge.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

Cittadella are showing clearly superior current form: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches, averaging 2.2 goals scored and conceding just 0.8, while Athletic Carpi have allowed opponents 1.8 goals per game. The visitors led at the break in 80% of their last five matches, compared with just 40% for Carpi, and their average of 1.4 goals before half-time exceeds the hosts’ 0.8. Cittadella’s advantage is also evident after the interval: they have not conceded a single goal in the second half across their last five matches and won the second half in 60% of them. Athletic Carpi have stronger home-season metrics, including an xG of 2.07 and 7 shots on target per match compared with the visitors’ 1.48 and 4, but Cittadella’s recent attacking efficiency and defensive solidity provide stronger support for an HT/FT scenario in which they lead at the break and secure the full-time win.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 2
2nd half

Match statistics

42Possession (%)58
Athletic CarpiCittadella
8Shots22
Athletic CarpiCittadella
5Shots on target6
Athletic CarpiCittadella
1.2xG2.55
Athletic CarpiCittadella
2Corners7
Athletic CarpiCittadella
48Dangerous attacks105
Athletic CarpiCittadella
12Fouls13
Athletic CarpiCittadella
2Cards1
Athletic CarpiCittadella

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Athletic CarpiCittadella
1.67Goals scored / match1.67
Athletic CarpiCittadella
2Goals conceded / match0.33
Athletic CarpiCittadella
44%Average possession49%
Athletic CarpiCittadella
5.67Shots on target / match6
Athletic CarpiCittadella

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12Shots per match15.33
Athletic CarpiCittadella
5.67Shots on target6
Athletic CarpiCittadella
13.9%Shot conversion10.9%
Athletic CarpiCittadella
44%Possession49%
Athletic CarpiCittadella
1.71xG for1.87
Athletic CarpiCittadella
1.82xG against1.14
Athletic CarpiCittadella

Shooting quality

Athletic Carpi: Counter-attackingCittadella: Attacking
Athletic CarpiCittadella
Accuracy (shots on target)47%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Cittadella is 126% better for: last-5 form.

1.33 pts / match - Athletic Carpi · 3 pts / match - Cittadella

Athletic Carpi
LDW
Season result split
33% W33% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-1
1.33 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-1
1.33 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-1-0
Last 5 at home
0-1-0
D
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.7Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.71Opponent xG: 1.82BTTS: 67%Over 2.5: 67%
Cittadella
WWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
100% W0% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-0-0
3.00 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Last 5 away
1-0-0
W
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.7Goals conceded: 0.3xG: 1.87Opponent xG: 1.14BTTS: 33%Over 2.5: 33%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Cittadella is 506% better for: goals conceded per match.

2 goals / match - Athletic Carpi · 0.33 goals / match - Cittadella

Athletic Carpi scoring profile: strong

Athletic Carpi scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Cittadella keeps a clean sheet in 67% (2 of 3 matches).

Cittadella scoring profile: very strong

Cittadella scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Athletic Carpi keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).

5Goals scored (season)5
Athletic CarpiCittadella
6Goals conceded (season)1
Athletic CarpiCittadella
3.67Average goals in match2
Athletic CarpiCittadella
5Goals scored (last 5)5
Athletic CarpiCittadella
6Goals conceded (last 5)1
Athletic CarpiCittadella

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal100%
Athletic CarpiCittadella
33%2 goals67%
Athletic CarpiCittadella
33%3 goals0%
Athletic CarpiCittadella
0%4 goals0%
Athletic CarpiCittadella

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal33%
Athletic CarpiCittadella
67%2 goals0%
Athletic CarpiCittadella
67%3 goals0%
Athletic CarpiCittadella
0%4 goals0%
Athletic CarpiCittadella

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

47%
League average

Goal patterns

67%BTTS at half-time33%
Athletic CarpiCittadella
33%BTTS in both halves0%
Athletic CarpiCittadella
33%Scored in both halves33%
Athletic CarpiCittadella

BTTS and goal count

67%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
Athletic CarpiCittadella
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Athletic CarpiCittadella
67%BTTS - last 533%
Athletic CarpiCittadella

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
Athletic CarpiCittadella
67%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
Athletic CarpiCittadella
67%Min. 3 goals before half-time33%
Athletic CarpiCittadella

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time33%
Athletic CarpiCittadella
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time0%
Athletic CarpiCittadella
33%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Athletic CarpiCittadella

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Cittadella is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2 pts / match - Athletic Carpi · 3 pts / match - Cittadella

Athletic Carpi - half-time state
67% leading0% draw33% trailing
Cittadella - half-time state
100% leading0% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2Points per match (1st half)3
Athletic CarpiCittadella
1.33Goals scored (1st half)1.33
Athletic CarpiCittadella
1Goals conceded (1st half)0.33
Athletic CarpiCittadella
2.33Average goals (1st half)1.67
Athletic CarpiCittadella
33%Clean sheet before half-time67%
Athletic CarpiCittadella
0%No goal before half-time0%
Athletic CarpiCittadella

After half-time (2nd half)

0.33Points per match (2nd half)1.67
Athletic CarpiCittadella
0.33Goals scored (2nd half)0.33
Athletic CarpiCittadella
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0
Athletic CarpiCittadella
1.33Average goals (2nd half)0.33
Athletic CarpiCittadella
33%Clean sheet after half-time100%
Athletic CarpiCittadella
67%No goal after half-time67%
Athletic CarpiCittadella

Athletic Carpi - second-half results

0% W33% D67% L
6
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
1
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding49%

Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 33%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Cittadella - second-half results

33% W67% D0% L
9
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
5
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
3.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 100% of matches and wins 100%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Athletic Carpi - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.000.33
Goals scored / match1.30.3
Goals conceded / match1.01.0
Average goals in match2.31.3
1 goal100%67%
2 goals67%33%
3 goals67%33%
Clean sheet33%33%
No goal0%67%
Goal difference+1-2
Half-time: 67% leading - 0% draw - 33% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 33% draw - 67% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 67% - Half-time goals total: 4
Cittadella - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match3.001.67
Goals scored / match1.30.3
Goals conceded / match0.30.0
Average goals in match1.70.3
1 goal100%33%
2 goals33%0%
3 goals33%0%
Clean sheet67%100%
No goal0%67%
Goal difference+3+1
Half-time: 100% leading - 0% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 33% won - 67% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 33% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Athletic Carpi
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
3
0
16-30
1
2
31-45
0
3
46-60
0
0
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Cittadella
ScoredConceded
3
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
1
1
31-45
0
0
46-60
0
0
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.83
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
142%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
100%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Athletic Carpi

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.11
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.18
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
139%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
250%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-1.0
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Cittadella

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.73
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.61
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.81
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
209%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
28%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-1.0
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 60% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).

Teams vs league

Athletic CarpiLigaCittadella
Average goals in match 3.672.00 2.00
Both teams scored 67%47% 33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 67%37% 33%
Clean sheets 33%33% 67%
Goal before half-time 100%50% 100%
Goal after half-time 67%63% 33%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.00
Average goals per match
47%
Both teams scored
37%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
33%
Clean sheets
1.20
Home goals / match
0.80
Away goals / match
+50%
Home attack advantage
+33%
Home defence advantage
+24%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
50%
1 goal
23%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
63%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Athletic CarpiYellow cardDavide Zagnoni
  2. Athletic CarpiGoalMartin MontipòAssist: Leonardo Morosini
  3. CittadellaYellow cardEmanuele Anastasia
  4. Athletic CarpiSubstitutionOn: Luca NesiOff: Giovanni Vaglica
  5. Athletic CarpiYellow cardAndrea Astrologo
  6. CittadellaGoalLorenzo PaolucciAssist: Diego Falcinelli
  7. Athletic CarpiSubstitutionOn: Niccolò BagattiOff: Federico Casarini
  8. CittadellaSubstitutionOn: Michael FabbroOff: Joseph Ekuban
  9. CittadellaSubstitutionOn: Giulio FrisennaOff: Andrea Barberis
  10. CittadellaGoalMirko Antonucci
  11. Athletic CarpiSubstitutionOn: Abdoulaye SallOff: Martin Montipò

FAQ

What was the result of Athletic Carpi vs Cittadella?

The Serie C Group A match finished Athletic Carpi 1:2 Cittadella. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Athletic Carpi vs Cittadella?

Athletic Carpi score 1.67 goals per game on average and Cittadella 1.67. The Serie C Group A average is 2.00 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 37% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Athletic Carpi's matches and 33% of Cittadella's.

What form are Athletic Carpi and Cittadella in?

Over the last 5 games Athletic Carpi have a 1-1-1 record (1.33 points per game) and Cittadella 3-0-0 (3.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Athletic Carpi vs Cittadella?

The statistical background for Athletic Carpi vs Cittadella — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.