Athletic Carpi vs Cittadella: match statistics
Athletic Carpi vs Cittadella: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Athletic Carpi played Cittadella in Serie C Group A (Italy). The match was played on 13 September 2026. Venue: Stadio Sandro Cabassi. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Athletic Carpi: 1-1-1, 1.33 points/match. Cittadella: 3-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Athletic Carpi scores 1.67 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Cittadella scores 1.67 and concedes 0.33. League average: 2.00 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Athletic Carpi 67%, Cittadella 33%. Over 2.5: Athletic Carpi 67%, Cittadella 33%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 37%.
xG, shots and style
Cittadella has higher xG: 1.87 vs 1.71. Athletic Carpi: 12.0 shots per match, Cittadella: 15.3.
Match halves
Athletic Carpi: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 0.33. Cittadella: half-time lead 100%, second-half goals 0.33.
Goals by minute
Athletic Carpi: 16-30 (3 goals). Cittadella: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group A: 2.00 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 37%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Cittadella remain unbeaten this season, having won all 3 of their matches so far. Across their last five games, they have recorded 4 wins and a draw, scoring 11 goals and conceding just 4. Athletic Carpi have been more inconsistent: they have scored 9 goals in their last five matches but also conceded 9, while their average of 3 goals conceded at home points to major defensive issues. The hosts create plenty of chances, averaging 15 shots, 9 shots on target and an xG of 2.01 at home, but they also allow opponents an xG of 2.02. Cittadella are yet to concede away from home and have kept a clean sheet in 100% of their away matches, with opponents averaging an xG of 1.47, giving them a significant defensive edge. Although Carpi can pose a threat thanks to their high 20% conversion rate, the visitors’ more consistent form and considerably more reliable defence point towards an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The signal for both teams to score is reinforced by their current form: BTTS landed in 80% of Athletic Carpi’s last 5 matches and in 60% of Cittadella’s. During this period, the hosts averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded, while the visitors scored 2.2 goals per match and conceded just 0.8. Cittadella have an extremely solid defensive record this season, averaging 0.0 goals conceded and recording a 100% clean-sheet rate, which clearly limits confidence in the pick; however, their recent xG against stands at 1.27. Athletic Carpi create plenty of chances at home, recording an xG of 2.07, with an average of 17.5 shots and 7 shots on target, so they should find a way to score. BTTS - Yes is only slightly preferred, as both teams’ attacking form over their last five matches outweighs the visitors’ very small sample of seasonal clean sheets.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Over 1.5 is strongly supported by current form: in their last 5 matches, Athletic Carpi averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded, producing 3.6 goals per game. Over the same period, Cittadella scored 2.2 goals per match, while its games averaged 3.0 goals. The attacking potential is also reflected in the xG figures: 1.91 for the hosts and 1.92 for the visitors across their last five appearances, with Carpi recording 1.75 xG conceded. Both teams saw Over 2.5 land in 60% of their last five matches, but Cittadella's excellent defensive record to date, with an average of 0.0 goals conceded, limits confidence in the higher lines. Therefore, the safest and strongest selection is Over 1.5, with a projected 2.70 goals offering a clear edge.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Cittadella are showing clearly superior current form: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches, averaging 2.2 goals scored and conceding just 0.8, while Athletic Carpi have allowed opponents 1.8 goals per game. The visitors led at the break in 80% of their last five matches, compared with just 40% for Carpi, and their average of 1.4 goals before half-time exceeds the hosts’ 0.8. Cittadella’s advantage is also evident after the interval: they have not conceded a single goal in the second half across their last five matches and won the second half in 60% of them. Athletic Carpi have stronger home-season metrics, including an xG of 2.07 and 7 shots on target per match compared with the visitors’ 1.48 and 4, but Cittadella’s recent attacking efficiency and defensive solidity provide stronger support for an HT/FT scenario in which they lead at the break and secure the full-time win.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Athletic Carpi | Cittadella | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 47% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cittadella is 126% better for: last-5 form.
1.33 pts / match - Athletic Carpi · 3 pts / match - Cittadella
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cittadella is 506% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - Athletic Carpi · 0.33 goals / match - Cittadella
Athletic Carpi scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Cittadella keeps a clean sheet in 67% (2 of 3 matches).
Cittadella scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Athletic Carpi keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Athletic Carpi
Over / Under - Cittadella
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cittadella is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / match - Athletic Carpi · 3 pts / match - Cittadella
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Athletic Carpi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 33%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Cittadella - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 100% of matches and wins 100%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.33 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.3 | 0.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.3 | 1.3 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 67% |
| 2 goals | 67% | 33% |
| 3 goals | 67% | 33% |
| Clean sheet | 33% | 33% |
| No goal | 0% | 67% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 3.00 | 1.67 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.3 | 0.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.7 | 0.3 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 33% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 33% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 100% |
| No goal | 0% | 67% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Athletic Carpi
Cittadella
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Athletic Carpi | Liga | Cittadella | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.67 | 2.00 | • 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 47% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 37% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | • 33% | 33% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 50% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 67% | 63% | ▼ 33% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
FAQ
What was the result of Athletic Carpi vs Cittadella?
The Serie C Group A match finished Athletic Carpi 1:2 Cittadella. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Athletic Carpi vs Cittadella?
Athletic Carpi score 1.67 goals per game on average and Cittadella 1.67. The Serie C Group A average is 2.00 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 37% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Athletic Carpi's matches and 33% of Cittadella's.
What form are Athletic Carpi and Cittadella in?
Over the last 5 games Athletic Carpi have a 1-1-1 record (1.33 points per game) and Cittadella 3-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Athletic Carpi vs Cittadella?
The statistical background for Athletic Carpi vs Cittadella — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


