Italy - Serie C Group AStadio Sandro CabassiData current as of 16 October 2026

Athletic Carpi vs Lumezzane: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Athletic Carpi vs Lumezzane: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Athletic Carpi play Lumezzane in Serie C Group A (Italy). The match date is 17 October 2026. Venue: Stadio Sandro Cabassi.

Current form

Athletic Carpi: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Lumezzane: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Athletic Carpi scores 1.22 and concedes 2.11 goals per match. Lumezzane scores 1.11 and concedes 1.22. League average: 2.28 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Athletic Carpi 67%, Lumezzane 56%. Over 2.5: Athletic Carpi 78%, Lumezzane 56%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 47%.

xG, shots and style

Lumezzane has higher xG: 2.02 vs 1.49. Athletic Carpi: 10.9 shots per match, Lumezzane: 15.0.

Match halves

Athletic Carpi: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.33. Lumezzane: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.33.

Goals by minute

Athletic Carpi: 16-30 (6 goals). Lumezzane: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie C Group A: 2.28 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 47%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.28)
(3.35)
(2.85)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Athletic CarpiLumezzane
1.22Goals scored / match1.11
Athletic CarpiLumezzane
2.11Goals conceded / match1.22
Athletic CarpiLumezzane
49%Average possession52%
Athletic CarpiLumezzane
4.11Shots on target / match5.78
Athletic CarpiLumezzane

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.89Shots per match15
Athletic CarpiLumezzane
4.11Shots on target5.78
Athletic CarpiLumezzane
11.2%Shot conversion7.4%
Athletic CarpiLumezzane
49%Possession52%
Athletic CarpiLumezzane
1.49xG for2.02
Athletic CarpiLumezzane
1.85xG against1.7
Athletic CarpiLumezzane

Shooting quality

Athletic Carpi: BalancedLumezzane: Attacking
Athletic CarpiLumezzane
Accuracy (shots on target)38%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.19

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Lumezzane is 300% better for: last-5 form.

0.4 pts / match - Athletic Carpi · 1.6 pts / match - Lumezzane

Athletic Carpi
DDLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
11% W33% D56% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-3-5
0.67 pts / match · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-2-2
Last 5 at home
0-2-2
DLDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.41Opponent xG: 1.73BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Lumezzane
DWLWD
Season result split
33% W33% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-3-3
1.33 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-2
Last 5 away
1-1-2
LLWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 2.13Opponent xG: 1.51BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Athletic Carpi is 10% better for: goals scored per match.

1.22 goals / match - Athletic Carpi · 1.11 goals / match - Lumezzane

Lumezzane is 73% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.11 goals / match - Athletic Carpi · 1.22 goals / match - Lumezzane

Athletic Carpi scoring profile: very strong

Athletic Carpi scores in 78% of matches (7 of 9 matches), while Lumezzane keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 matches).

Lumezzane scoring profile: very strong

Lumezzane scores in 67% of matches (6 of 9 matches), while Athletic Carpi keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 matches).

11Goals scored (season)10
Athletic CarpiLumezzane
19Goals conceded (season)11
Athletic CarpiLumezzane
3.33Average goals in match2.33
Athletic CarpiLumezzane
5Goals scored (last 5)6
Athletic CarpiLumezzane
11Goals conceded (last 5)5
Athletic CarpiLumezzane

How often they score at least...

78%1 goal67%
Athletic CarpiLumezzane
33%2 goals33%
Athletic CarpiLumezzane
11%3 goals11%
Athletic CarpiLumezzane
0%4 goals0%
Athletic CarpiLumezzane

How often they concede at least...

89%1 goal67%
Athletic CarpiLumezzane
89%2 goals56%
Athletic CarpiLumezzane
33%3 goals0%
Athletic CarpiLumezzane
0%4 goals0%
Athletic CarpiLumezzane

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

51%
League average

Goal patterns

44%BTTS at half-time56%
Athletic CarpiLumezzane
22%BTTS in both halves22%
Athletic CarpiLumezzane
22%Scored in both halves33%
Athletic CarpiLumezzane

BTTS and goal count

67%Min. 3 goals and BTTS56%
Athletic CarpiLumezzane
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Athletic CarpiLumezzane
60%BTTS - last 560%
Athletic CarpiLumezzane

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
Athletic CarpiLumezzane
67%Min. 2 goals before half-time56%
Athletic CarpiLumezzane
33%Min. 3 goals before half-time33%
Athletic CarpiLumezzane

2nd half

89%Min. 1 goal after half-time44%
Athletic CarpiLumezzane
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
Athletic CarpiLumezzane
11%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Athletic CarpiLumezzane

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Athletic Carpi is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.44 pts / match - Athletic Carpi · 1.22 pts / match - Lumezzane

Athletic Carpi - half-time state
44% leading11% draw44% trailing
Lumezzane - half-time state
22% leading56% draw22% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.44Points per match (1st half)1.22
Athletic CarpiLumezzane
0.89Goals scored (1st half)0.78
Athletic CarpiLumezzane
1.11Goals conceded (1st half)0.78
Athletic CarpiLumezzane
2Average goals (1st half)1.56
Athletic CarpiLumezzane
22%Clean sheet before half-time44%
Athletic CarpiLumezzane
33%No goal before half-time33%
Athletic CarpiLumezzane

After half-time (2nd half)

0.56Points per match (2nd half)1.11
Athletic CarpiLumezzane
0.33Goals scored (2nd half)0.33
Athletic CarpiLumezzane
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.44
Athletic CarpiLumezzane
1.33Average goals (2nd half)0.78
Athletic CarpiLumezzane
22%Clean sheet after half-time67%
Athletic CarpiLumezzane
67%No goal after half-time67%
Athletic CarpiLumezzane

Athletic Carpi - second-half results

11% W22% D67% L
13
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
5
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.44
PPG before half-time
Lead holding25%

Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 11%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Lumezzane - second-half results

11% W78% D11% L
11
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.22
PPG before half-time
Lead holding150%

Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Athletic Carpi - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.800.80
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match1.40.8
Average goals in match2.01.2
1 goal100%100%
2 goals80%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet0%20%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-4-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Lumezzane - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.40
Goals scored / match0.80.4
Goals conceded / match0.80.2
Average goals in match1.60.6
1 goal60%40%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Athletic Carpi
ScoredConceded
0
3
0-15
6
3
16-30
2
4
31-45
1
3
46-60
1
3
61-75
1
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Lumezzane
ScoredConceded
1
5
0-15
1
2
16-30
5
0
31-45
1
1
46-60
0
1
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.83
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
124%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
62%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
52%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Athletic Carpi

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.36
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.53
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.27
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.26
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
103%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
194%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.27
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.6
Late goals
9% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
9%

Lumezzane

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.32
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.43
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.91
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.48
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
102%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
103%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.27
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.5
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).

Teams vs league

Athletic CarpiLigaLumezzane
Average goals in match▲ 3.332.28• 2.33
Both teams scored▲ 67%51%▲ 56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 78%47%▲ 56%
Clean sheets▼ 11%33%• 33%
Goal before half-time▲ 100%61%▲ 67%
Goal after half-time▲ 89%71%▼ 44%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.28
Average goals per match
51%
Both teams scored
47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
33%
Clean sheets
1.19
Home goals / match
1.09
Away goals / match
+9%
Home attack advantage
+8%
Home defence advantage
+2%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Athletic Carpi and Lumezzane play?

Athletic Carpi face Lumezzane on 17 October 2026 in Serie C Group A at Stadio Sandro Cabassi. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Athletic Carpi vs Lumezzane?

Athletic Carpi score 1.22 goals per game on average and Lumezzane 1.11. The Serie C Group A average is 2.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Athletic Carpi's matches and 56% of Lumezzane's.

What form are Athletic Carpi and Lumezzane in?

Over the last 5 games Athletic Carpi have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Lumezzane 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Athletic Carpi vs Lumezzane?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Athletic Carpi vs Lumezzane: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.