Athletic Carpi vs Pineto: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates balanced chances for both teams, suggesting a draw as the most likely outcome. Athletic Carpi shows weaker home form with only 20% wins at home and a high draw rate (53%), which reflects their defensive approach. Pineto demonstrates better overall form with 1.8 points per match in the last 5 games and balanced away statistics (33% wins, 33% draws, 33% losses). Both teams have an identical average of goals conceded away/home (1.07), and their FTS% indicator is 27% each, confirming similar offensive potential. Pineto's recent form (lwwlw) is better than Athletic Carpi's (wlldd), however, the away team's advantage is not dominant enough to clearly indicate their victory. Taking into account the hosts' tendency to draw and the balanced goal difference of both teams, I expect a draw.
Athletic Carpi vs Pineto: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Athletic Carpi played Pineto in Serie C Group B (Italy). The match was played on 21 March 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Athletic Carpi: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Pineto: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Athletic Carpi scores 0.94 and concedes 1.29 goals per match. Pineto scores 1.30 and concedes 1.23. League average: 2.28 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Athletic Carpi 48%, Pineto 50%. Over 2.5: Athletic Carpi 32%, Pineto 43%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 39%.
xG, shots and style
Athletic Carpi has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.30. Athletic Carpi: 12.3 shots per match, Pineto: 10.5.
Match halves
Athletic Carpi: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.58. Pineto: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.43.
Goals by minute
Athletic Carpi: 76-90+ (10 goals). Pineto: 0-15 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group B: 2.28 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 39%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates balanced chances for both teams, suggesting a draw as the most likely outcome. Athletic Carpi shows weaker home form with only 20% wins at home and a high draw rate (53%), which reflects their defensive approach. Pineto demonstrates better overall form with 1.8 points per match in the last 5 games and balanced away statistics (33% wins, 33% draws, 33% losses). Both teams have an identical average of goals conceded away/home (1.07), and their FTS% indicator is 27% each, confirming similar offensive potential. Pineto's recent form (lwwlw) is better than Athletic Carpi's (wlldd), however, the away team's advantage is not dominant enough to clearly indicate their victory. Taking into account the hosts' tendency to draw and the balanced goal difference of both teams, I expect a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Athletic Carpi | Pineto | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Pineto is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Athletic Carpi · 1.8 pts / match - Pineto
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Pineto is 38% better for: goals scored per match.
0.94 goals / match - Athletic Carpi · 1.3 goals / match - Pineto
Pineto is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.29 goals / match - Athletic Carpi · 1.23 goals / match - Pineto
Athletic Carpi scores in 68% of matches (21 of 31 matches), while Pineto keeps a clean sheet in 30% (9 of 30 matches).
Pineto scores in 80% of matches (24 of 30 matches), while Athletic Carpi keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 31 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Athletic Carpi
Over / Under - Pineto
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Pineto is 70% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.94 pts / match - Athletic Carpi · 1.6 pts / match - Pineto
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Athletic Carpi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Pineto - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 40%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (11 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Athletic Carpi
Pineto
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).
Teams vs league
| Athletic Carpi | Liga | Pineto | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.23 | 2.28 | ▲ 2.53 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 50% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 32% | 39% | ▲ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 29% | • 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 65% | 63% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 74% | 72% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Athletic Carpi 0 - 0 - 1 Pineto. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Athletic Carpi vs Pineto?
The Serie C Group B match finished Athletic Carpi 1:2 Pineto. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Athletic Carpi vs Pineto?
Athletic Carpi score 0.94 goals per game on average and Pineto 1.30. The Serie C Group B average is 2.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Athletic Carpi's matches and 50% of Pineto's.
What form are Athletic Carpi and Pineto in?
Over the last 5 games Athletic Carpi have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Pineto 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Athletic Carpi vs Pineto?
The statistical background for Athletic Carpi vs Pineto — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.