Athletic Carpi vs Sassari Torres: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates an evenly matched encounter with an advantage for a draw. Athletic Carpi is in poor form with just one win in their last five matches and an average of 0.8 points per game, while Sassari Torres is in better form with 1.6 points per game and two wins in their last five fixtures. The hosts have a high 50% draw rate at home, and the visitors have a significant 43% draw rate away, strongly suggesting a share of the points. Both teams have similar goal averages (1 goal per game each) and comparable xG statistics, confirming the balance of power. Sassari Torres is in better form, but Athletic Carpi is playing at home, where their goal difference stands at -1, which is better than the visitors' -4 away. Taking all factors into account, a draw is the most likely outcome of this match.
Athletic Carpi vs Sassari Torres: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Athletic Carpi played Sassari Torres in Serie C Group B (Italy). The match was played on 8 March 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Athletic Carpi: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Sassari Torres: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Athletic Carpi scores 0.90 and concedes 1.28 goals per match. Sassari Torres scores 0.83 and concedes 1.28. League average: 2.27 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Athletic Carpi 45%, Sassari Torres 52%. Over 2.5: Athletic Carpi 31%, Sassari Torres 34%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 39%.
xG, shots and style
Athletic Carpi has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.32. Athletic Carpi: 12.5 shots per match, Sassari Torres: 10.6.
Match halves
Athletic Carpi: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.55. Sassari Torres: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.38.
Goals by minute
Athletic Carpi: 76-90+ (9 goals). Sassari Torres: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group B: 2.27 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 39%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates an evenly matched encounter with an advantage for a draw. Athletic Carpi is in poor form with just one win in their last five matches and an average of 0.8 points per game, while Sassari Torres is in better form with 1.6 points per game and two wins in their last five fixtures. The hosts have a high 50% draw rate at home, and the visitors have a significant 43% draw rate away, strongly suggesting a share of the points. Both teams have similar goal averages (1 goal per game each) and comparable xG statistics, confirming the balance of power. Sassari Torres is in better form, but Athletic Carpi is playing at home, where their goal difference stands at -1, which is better than the visitors' -4 away. Taking all factors into account, a draw is the most likely outcome of this match.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Athletic Carpi | Sassari Torres | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sassari Torres is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Athletic Carpi · 1.6 pts / match - Sassari Torres
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Athletic Carpi is 8% better for: goals scored per match.
0.9 goals / match - Athletic Carpi · 0.83 goals / match - Sassari Torres
Athletic Carpi scores in 66% of matches (19 of 29 matches), while Sassari Torres keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 29 matches).
Sassari Torres scores in 59% of matches (17 of 29 matches), while Athletic Carpi keeps a clean sheet in 24% (7 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Athletic Carpi
Over / Under - Sassari Torres
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sassari Torres is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.93 pts / match - Athletic Carpi · 1.28 pts / match - Sassari Torres
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Athletic Carpi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Sassari Torres - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 17%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Athletic Carpi
Sassari Torres
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).
Teams vs league
| Athletic Carpi | Liga | Sassari Torres | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.17 | 2.27 | ▼ 2.10 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 50% | ▲ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 31% | 39% | ▼ 34% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 30% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 66% | 64% | ▲ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | • 72% | 71% | • 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Athletic Carpi 1 - 0 - 0 Sassari Torres. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Athletic Carpi vs Sassari Torres?
The Serie C Group B match finished Athletic Carpi 1:1 Sassari Torres. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Athletic Carpi vs Sassari Torres?
Athletic Carpi score 0.90 goals per game on average and Sassari Torres 0.83. The Serie C Group B average is 2.27 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Athletic Carpi's matches and 52% of Sassari Torres's.
What form are Athletic Carpi and Sassari Torres in?
Over the last 5 games Athletic Carpi have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Sassari Torres 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Athletic Carpi vs Sassari Torres?
The statistical background for Athletic Carpi vs Sassari Torres — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.