Athletic Club Bilbao vs Real Sociedad: match statistics
Athletic Club Bilbao shows inconsistent home form with a 50% win rate, but their last five matches overall have yielded only 1.2 points per game. Real Sociedad is in significantly better form, averaging 2.2 points per game in their last five matches and remaining unbeaten during this period. The hosts have an advantage with 30% clean sheets at home, while the visitors have failed to keep a single clean sheet away. The xG statistics are close (1.61 vs 1.55 for the visitors), suggesting a similar level of chance creation. Considering Real Sociedad's better current form, but the home advantage of the hosts and the fact that the visitors win only 20% of away matches, a draw seems the most likely outcome in this Basque derby.
Athletic Club Bilbao vs Real Sociedad: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Athletic Club Bilbao played Real Sociedad in La Liga (Spain). The match was played on 1 February 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Athletic Club Bilbao: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Real Sociedad: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Athletic Club Bilbao scores 0.95 and concedes 1.43 goals per match. Real Sociedad scores 1.38 and concedes 1.38. League average: 2.61 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Athletic Club Bilbao 43%, Real Sociedad 81%. Over 2.5: Athletic Club Bilbao 43%, Real Sociedad 57%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Athletic Club Bilbao has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.54. Athletic Club Bilbao: 13.8 shots per match, Real Sociedad: 13.3.
Match halves
Athletic Club Bilbao: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.43. Real Sociedad: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.90.
Goals by minute
Athletic Club Bilbao: 31-45+ (7 goals). Real Sociedad: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
La Liga: 2.61 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Athletic Club Bilbao shows inconsistent home form with a 50% win rate, but their last five matches overall have yielded only 1.2 points per game. Real Sociedad is in significantly better form, averaging 2.2 points per game in their last five matches and remaining unbeaten during this period. The hosts have an advantage with 30% clean sheets at home, while the visitors have failed to keep a single clean sheet away. The xG statistics are close (1.61 vs 1.55 for the visitors), suggesting a similar level of chance creation. Considering Real Sociedad's better current form, but the home advantage of the hosts and the fact that the visitors win only 20% of away matches, a draw seems the most likely outcome in this Basque derby.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Athletic Club Bilbao | Real Sociedad | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Real Sociedad is 1000% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Athletic Club Bilbao · 2.2 pts / match - Real Sociedad
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Real Sociedad is 45% better for: goals scored per match.
0.95 goals / match - Athletic Club Bilbao · 1.38 goals / match - Real Sociedad
Athletic Club Bilbao scores in 62% of matches (13 of 21 matches), while Real Sociedad keeps a clean sheet in 5% (1 of 21 matches).
Real Sociedad scores in 86% of matches (18 of 21 matches), while Athletic Club Bilbao keeps a clean sheet in 24% (5 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Athletic Club Bilbao
Over / Under - Real Sociedad
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Athletic Club Bilbao - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Real Sociedad - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 0% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Athletic Club Bilbao
Real Sociedad
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (La Liga).
Teams vs league
| Athletic Club Bilbao | Liga | Real Sociedad | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.38 | 2.61 | ▲ 2.76 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 53% | ▲ 81% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 49% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 26% | ▼ 5% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 66% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 83% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Athletic Club Bilbao 0 - 0 - 1 Real Sociedad. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Athletic Club Bilbao vs Real Sociedad?
The La Liga match finished Athletic Club Bilbao 1:1 Real Sociedad. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Athletic Club Bilbao vs Real Sociedad?
Athletic Club Bilbao score 0.95 goals per game on average and Real Sociedad 1.38. The La Liga average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Athletic Club Bilbao's matches and 81% of Real Sociedad's.
What form are Athletic Club Bilbao and Real Sociedad in?
Over the last 5 games Athletic Club Bilbao have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Real Sociedad 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Athletic Club Bilbao vs Real Sociedad?
The statistical background for Athletic Club Bilbao vs Real Sociedad — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.