Athletic Club Boise vs Sarasota Paradise: match statistics
Athletic Club Boise vs Sarasota Paradise: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Athletic Club Boise play Sarasota Paradise in USL League One (United States). The match date is 28 May 2026 at 03:00. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Athletic Club Boise: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Sarasota Paradise: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Athletic Club Boise scores 1.47 and concedes 1.41 goals per match. Sarasota Paradise scores 0.94 and concedes 1.56. League average: 2.86 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Athletic Club Boise 59%, Sarasota Paradise 50%. Over 2.5: Athletic Club Boise 59%, Sarasota Paradise 50%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 60%.
xG, shots and style
Athletic Club Boise has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.43. Athletic Club Boise: 13.7 shots per match, Sarasota Paradise: 12.2.
Match halves
Athletic Club Boise: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.88. Sarasota Paradise: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Athletic Club Boise: 76-90+ (6 goals). Sarasota Paradise: 46-60 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL League One: 2.86 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 60%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I predict a home win (1): Athletic Club Boise holds a clear statistical advantage — at home they average 2.00 goals scored per match and 1.75 xG, while Sarasota Paradise on the road score only 0.25 goals on average with 1.24 xG. The hosts create more high-quality chances: 15.4 average shots and 4.4 on target per match (conversion rate 13%), whereas the visitors average 9.5 shots and 2.75 on target with a conversion of just 3%. Defensively Boise concedes 1.00 goal per home match (opponent average xG 1.12), while Sarasota concedes 2.25 goals away (opponent xG 1.49) and have as much as 75% of away games without scoring and 100% away defeats. Form trends confirm the hosts' edge: in the last 5 matches Boise scored 9 goals and won 3 of 5, whereas Sarasota lost all 5 recent matches and conceded 12 goals (visitors' average points in this period = 0). Based on these concrete figures I assign Athletic Club Boise a 75% probability to win, 15% for a draw and 10% for an upset by Sarasota.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Athletic Club Boise | Sarasota Paradise | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Athletic Club Boise is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Athletic Club Boise · 1 pts / match - Sarasota Paradise
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Athletic Club Boise is 56% better for: goals scored per match.
1.47 goals / match - Athletic Club Boise · 0.94 goals / match - Sarasota Paradise
Athletic Club Boise is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.41 goals / match - Athletic Club Boise · 1.56 goals / match - Sarasota Paradise
Athletic Club Boise scores in 88% of matches (15 of 17 matches), while Sarasota Paradise keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
Sarasota Paradise scores in 67% of matches (12 of 18 matches), while Athletic Club Boise keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Athletic Club Boise
Over / Under — Sarasota Paradise
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Athletic Club Boise is 32% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.24 pts / match - Athletic Club Boise · 0.94 pts / match - Sarasota Paradise
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Athletic Club Boise - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Sarasota Paradise - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Athletic Club Boise
Sarasota Paradise
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL League One).
Teams vs league
| Athletic Club Boise | Liga | Sarasota Paradise | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.88 | 2.86 | ▼ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 55% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 59% | 60% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 26% | ▲ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 72% | ▼ 44% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 80% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Athletic Club Boise 1 - 0 - 0 Sarasota Paradise. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Athletic Club Boise vs Sarasota Paradise?
The USL League One match finished Athletic Club Boise 0:2 Sarasota Paradise. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Athletic Club Boise vs Sarasota Paradise?
Athletic Club Boise score 1.47 goals per game on average and Sarasota Paradise 0.94. The USL League One average is 2.86 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Athletic Club Boise's matches and 50% of Sarasota Paradise's.
What form are Athletic Club Boise and Sarasota Paradise in?
Over the last 5 games Athletic Club Boise have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Sarasota Paradise 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Athletic Club Boise vs Sarasota Paradise?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Athletic Club Boise vs Sarasota Paradise: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.