Brazil - Serie BData current as of 02 November 2026

Athletic Club vs Ceará: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Athletic Club vs Ceará: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Athletic Club play Ceará in Serie B (Brazil). The match date is 2 November 2026.

Current form

Athletic Club: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Ceará: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Athletic Club scores 1.14 and concedes 1.14 goals per match. Ceará scores 1.06 and concedes 1.26. League average: 2.34 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Athletic Club 57%, Ceará 51%. Over 2.5: Athletic Club 40%, Ceará 37%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 43%.

xG, shots and style

Ceará has higher xG: 1.50 vs 1.26. Athletic Club: 12.0 shots per match, Ceará: 13.8.

Match halves

Athletic Club: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.63. Ceará: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.74.

Goals by minute

Athletic Club: 61-75 (9 goals). Ceará: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie B: 2.34 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 43%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.20)
(3.20)
(3.21)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Athletic ClubCeará
1.14Goals scored / match1.06
Athletic ClubCeará
1.14Goals conceded / match1.26
Athletic ClubCeará
44%Average possession50%
Athletic ClubCeará
3.43Shots on target / match4.26
Athletic ClubCeará

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12Shots per match13.77
Athletic ClubCeará
3.43Shots on target4.26
Athletic ClubCeará
9.5%Shot conversion7.7%
Athletic ClubCeará
44%Possession50%
Athletic ClubCeará
1.26xG for1.5
Athletic ClubCeará
1.69xG against1.47
Athletic ClubCeará

Shooting quality

Athletic Club: BalancedCeará: Balanced
Athletic ClubCeará
Accuracy (shots on target)29%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.25

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Ceará is 250% better for: last-5 form.

0.4 pts / match - Athletic Club · 1.4 pts / match - Ceará

Athletic Club
LLDDL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
29% W40% D31% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-14-11
1.26 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-6-5
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
LWDLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.61Opponent xG: 1.81BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Ceará
WWLDL
Season result split
31% W29% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-10-14
1.23 pts / match · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-6-8
Last 5 away
1-2-2
LDDWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.37Opponent xG: 1.67BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Athletic Club is 8% better for: goals scored per match.

1.14 goals / match - Athletic Club · 1.06 goals / match - Ceará

Athletic Club is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.14 goals / match - Athletic Club · 1.26 goals / match - Ceará

Athletic Club scoring profile: very strong

Athletic Club scores in 71% of matches (25 of 35 matches), while Ceará keeps a clean sheet in 20% (7 of 35 matches).

Ceará scoring profile: strong

Ceará scores in 66% of matches (23 of 35 matches), while Athletic Club keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 35 matches).

40Goals scored (season)37
Athletic ClubCeará
40Goals conceded (season)44
Athletic ClubCeará
2.29Average goals in match2.31
Athletic ClubCeará
4Goals scored (last 5)4
Athletic ClubCeará
7Goals conceded (last 5)5
Athletic ClubCeará

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal66%
Athletic ClubCeará
29%2 goals31%
Athletic ClubCeará
9%3 goals6%
Athletic ClubCeará
3%4 goals3%
Athletic ClubCeará

How often they concede at least...

74%1 goal80%
Athletic ClubCeará
31%2 goals37%
Athletic ClubCeará
6%3 goals9%
Athletic ClubCeará
3%4 goals0%
Athletic ClubCeará

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

47%
League average

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time11%
Athletic ClubCeará
6%BTTS in both halves0%
Athletic ClubCeará
20%Scored in both halves6%
Athletic ClubCeará

BTTS and goal count

34%Min. 3 goals and BTTS37%
Athletic ClubCeará
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Athletic ClubCeará
60%BTTS - last 520%
Athletic ClubCeará

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

63%Min. 1 goal before half-time60%
Athletic ClubCeará
26%Min. 2 goals before half-time17%
Athletic ClubCeará
9%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%
Athletic ClubCeará

2nd half

77%Min. 1 goal after half-time80%
Athletic ClubCeará
40%Min. 2 goals after half-time40%
Athletic ClubCeará
11%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
Athletic ClubCeará

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Athletic Club is 45% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.29 pts / match - Athletic Club · 0.89 pts / match - Ceará

Athletic Club - half-time state
26% leading51% draw23% trailing
Ceará - half-time state
14% leading46% draw40% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.29Points per match (1st half)0.89
Athletic ClubCeará
0.51Goals scored (1st half)0.31
Athletic ClubCeará
0.46Goals conceded (1st half)0.54
Athletic ClubCeará
0.97Average goals (1st half)0.86
Athletic ClubCeará
60%Clean sheet before half-time51%
Athletic ClubCeará
57%No goal before half-time77%
Athletic ClubCeará

After half-time (2nd half)

1.23Points per match (2nd half)1.4
Athletic ClubCeará
0.63Goals scored (2nd half)0.74
Athletic ClubCeará
0.69Goals conceded (2nd half)0.71
Athletic ClubCeará
1.31Average goals (2nd half)1.46
Athletic ClubCeará
49%Clean sheet after half-time49%
Athletic ClubCeará
51%No goal after half-time51%
Athletic ClubCeará

Athletic Club - second-half results

29% W37% D34% L
45
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
43
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.29
PPG before half-time
Lead holding112%

Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Ceará - second-half results

37% W29% D34% L
31
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-8
Goal difference (1st half)
49
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.89
PPG before half-time
Lead holding221%

Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Athletic Club - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.600.80
Goals scored / match0.40.4
Goals conceded / match0.80.6
Average goals in match1.21.0
1 goal60%40%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-2-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2
Ceará - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.40
Goals scored / match0.00.8
Goals conceded / match0.01.0
Average goals in match0.01.8
1 goal0%100%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet100%40%
No goal100%40%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Athletic Club
ScoredConceded
5
3
0-15
6
6
16-30
7
7
31-45
5
7
46-60
9
7
61-75
8
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Ceará
ScoredConceded
2
7
0-15
2
7
16-30
7
5
31-45
4
9
46-60
10
7
61-75
12
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.30
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
98%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
54%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
47%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
10%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 10 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Athletic Club

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.43
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.43
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.12
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.55
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
86%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
113%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.86
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Ceará

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.23
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.44
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.21
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
105%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
95%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.17
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
32% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
32%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

Athletic ClubLigaCeará
Average goals in match• 2.292.34• 2.31
Both teams scored▲ 57%47%▲ 51%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 40%43%▼ 37%
Clean sheets▼ 26%31%▼ 20%
Goal before half-time▼ 63%67%▼ 60%
Goal after half-time▲ 77%74%▲ 80%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.34
Average goals per match
47%
Both teams scored
43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.33
Home goals / match
1.01
Away goals / match
+32%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defence advantage
+16%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Athletic Club 0 - 1 - 0 Ceará. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

When do Athletic Club and Ceará play?

Athletic Club face Ceará on 2 November 2026 in Serie B. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Athletic Club vs Ceará?

Athletic Club score 1.14 goals per game on average and Ceará 1.06. The Serie B average is 2.34 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Athletic Club's matches and 51% of Ceará's.

What form are Athletic Club and Ceará in?

Over the last 5 games Athletic Club have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Ceará 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Athletic Club vs Ceará?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.