Athletic Club vs Fortaleza: match statistics
Athletic Club vs Fortaleza: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Athletic Club play Fortaleza in Serie B (Brazil). The match date is 30 May 2026 at 23:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Athletic Club: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Fortaleza: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Athletic Club scores 0.89 and concedes 0.89 goals per match. Fortaleza scores 1.16 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.28 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Athletic Club 56%, Fortaleza 37%. Over 2.5: Athletic Club 22%, Fortaleza 47%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots and style
Fortaleza has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.23. Athletic Club: 11.8 shots per match, Fortaleza: 14.3.
Match halves
Athletic Club: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.50. Fortaleza: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
Athletic Club: 76-90+ (4 goals). Fortaleza: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.28 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
I predict a home win. Athletic at home averages 0.8 goals scored and concedes 0.8 per match, while Fortaleza away averages only 0.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, which gives the hosts an advantage in defense and efficiency. Additionally, Athletic generates better chances — average home xG is 1.38 versus Fortaleza’s 1.25 xG away, and shots on target are 4.6 vs 3.0 with a higher conversion rate 6 vs 3. In the last 5 matches Athletic has scored 6 goals (1.2 per match) and has 1.2 points per match, while Fortaleza has 7 goals (1.4 per match) and 1.4 points per match; however, 60% of Fortaleza’s away games end without scoring, which weakens their practical chances. Considering the higher quality of the hosts’ chances and the more favorable xG against (1.35 vs 1.67), the odds favor an Athletic victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Athletic Club | Fortaleza | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Fortaleza is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Athletic Club · 1.8 pts / match - Fortaleza
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Fortaleza is 30% better for: goals scored per match.
0.89 goals / match - Athletic Club · 1.16 goals / match - Fortaleza
Athletic Club is 12% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.89 goals / match - Athletic Club · 1 goals / match - Fortaleza
Athletic Club scores in 67% of matches (12 of 18 matches), while Fortaleza keeps a clean sheet in 42% (8 of 19 matches).
Fortaleza scores in 63% of matches (12 of 19 matches), while Athletic Club keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Athletic Club
Over / Under — Fortaleza
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Athletic Club - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Fortaleza - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Athletic Club
Fortaleza
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Athletic Club | Liga | Fortaleza | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.78 | 2.28 | ▼ 2.16 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 48% | ▼ 37% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 22% | 42% | ▲ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 28% | 31% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 44% | 66% | ▲ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 74% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Athletic Club vs Fortaleza?
The Serie B match finished Athletic Club 1:0 Fortaleza. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Athletic Club vs Fortaleza?
Athletic Club score 0.89 goals per game on average and Fortaleza 1.16. The Serie B average is 2.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Athletic Club's matches and 37% of Fortaleza's.
What form are Athletic Club and Fortaleza in?
Over the last 5 games Athletic Club have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Fortaleza 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Athletic Club vs Fortaleza?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.