Brazil - Serie BData current as of 23 July 2026

Athletic Club vs São Bernardo: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Athletic Club vs São Bernardo: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Athletic Club play São Bernardo in Serie B (Brazil). The match date is 24 July 2026 at 00:30.

Current form

Athletic Club: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. São Bernardo: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Athletic Club scores 0.89 and concedes 0.89 goals per match. São Bernardo scores 1.33 and concedes 0.94. League average: 2.28 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Athletic Club 56%, São Bernardo 56%. Over 2.5: Athletic Club 22%, São Bernardo 44%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 42%.

xG, shots and style

Athletic Club has higher xG: 1.23 vs 1.22. Athletic Club: 11.8 shots per match, São Bernardo: 11.4.

Match halves

Athletic Club: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.50. São Bernardo: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.83.

Goals by minute

Athletic Club: 76-90+ (4 goals). São Bernardo: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie B: 2.28 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 42%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.90)
(2.88)
(3.28)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Athletic ClubSão Bernardo
0.89Goals scored / match1.33
Athletic ClubSão Bernardo
0.89Goals conceded / match0.94
Athletic ClubSão Bernardo
44%Average possession50%
Athletic ClubSão Bernardo
3.17Shots on target / match4.22
Athletic ClubSão Bernardo

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.78Shots per match11.39
Athletic ClubSão Bernardo
3.17Shots on target4.22
Athletic ClubSão Bernardo
7.5%Shot conversion11.7%
Athletic ClubSão Bernardo
44%Possession50%
Athletic ClubSão Bernardo
1.23xG for1.22
Athletic ClubSão Bernardo
1.55xG against1.54
Athletic ClubSão Bernardo

Shooting quality

Athletic Club: BalancedSão Bernardo: Balanced
Athletic ClubSão Bernardo
Accuracy (shots on target)27%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Athletic Club is 150% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Athletic Club · 0.4 pts / match - São Bernardo

Athletic Club
LWLDD
Season result split
28% W50% R22% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-9-4
1.33 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-4-2
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
DWDWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.2Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.52Opponent xG: 1.27BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%
São Bernardo
LLLDD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
39% W33% R28% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-6-5
1.50 pts / match · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-1-2
Last 5 away
3-0-2
WWWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.32Opponent xG: 1.22BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

São Bernardo is 49% better for: goals scored per match.

0.89 goals / match - Athletic Club · 1.33 goals / match - São Bernardo

Athletic Club is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.89 goals / match - Athletic Club · 0.94 goals / match - São Bernardo

Athletic Club scoring profile: strong

Athletic Club scores in 67% of matches (12 of 18 matches), while São Bernardo keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).

São Bernardo scoring profile: very strong

São Bernardo scores in 78% of matches (14 of 18 matches), while Athletic Club keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).

16Goals scored (season)24
Athletic ClubSão Bernardo
16Goals conceded (season)17
Athletic ClubSão Bernardo
1.78Average goals in match2.28
Athletic ClubSão Bernardo
1Goals scored (last 5)4
Athletic ClubSão Bernardo
3Goals conceded (last 5)7
Athletic ClubSão Bernardo

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal78%
Athletic ClubSão Bernardo
17%2 goals33%
Athletic ClubSão Bernardo
6%3 goals22%
Athletic ClubSão Bernardo
0%4 goals0%
Athletic ClubSão Bernardo

How often they concede at least...

72%1 goal72%
Athletic ClubSão Bernardo
17%2 goals22%
Athletic ClubSão Bernardo
0%3 goals0%
Athletic ClubSão Bernardo
0%4 goals0%
Athletic ClubSão Bernardo

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

48%
League average

Goal patterns

11%BTTS at half-time22%
Athletic ClubSão Bernardo
0%BTTS in both halves6%
Athletic ClubSão Bernardo
6%Scored in both halves17%
Athletic ClubSão Bernardo

BTTS and goal count

22%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
Athletic ClubSão Bernardo
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
Athletic ClubSão Bernardo
0%BTTS - last 560%
Athletic ClubSão Bernardo

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

44%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
Athletic ClubSão Bernardo
17%Min. 2 goals before half-time28%
Athletic ClubSão Bernardo
6%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%
Athletic ClubSão Bernardo

2nd half

78%Min. 1 goal after half-time78%
Athletic ClubSão Bernardo
28%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
Athletic ClubSão Bernardo
6%Min. 3 goals after half-time11%
Athletic ClubSão Bernardo

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Athletic Club is 36% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.44 pts / match - Athletic Club · 1.06 pts / match - São Bernardo

Athletic Club - half-time state
28% leading61% draw11% trailing
São Bernardo - half-time state
17% leading56% draw28% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.44Points per match (1st half)1.06
Athletic ClubSão Bernardo
0.39Goals scored (1st half)0.5
Athletic ClubSão Bernardo
0.28Goals conceded (1st half)0.56
Athletic ClubSão Bernardo
0.67Average goals (1st half)1.06
Athletic ClubSão Bernardo
78%Clean sheet before half-time50%
Athletic ClubSão Bernardo
67%No goal before half-time61%
Athletic ClubSão Bernardo

After half-time (2nd half)

1.06Points per match (2nd half)1.67
Athletic ClubSão Bernardo
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)0.83
Athletic ClubSão Bernardo
0.61Goals conceded (2nd half)0.39
Athletic ClubSão Bernardo
1.11Average goals (2nd half)1.22
Athletic ClubSão Bernardo
44%Clean sheet after half-time61%
Athletic ClubSão Bernardo
61%No goal after half-time44%
Athletic ClubSão Bernardo

Athletic Club - second-half results

22% W39% R39% P
26
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.44
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

São Bernardo - second-half results

44% W33% R22% P
19
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
30
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.06
PPG before half-time
Lead holding229%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Athletic Club - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.00
Goals scored / match0.00.2
Goals conceded / match0.00.6
Average goals in match0.00.8
1 goal0%60%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%60%
No goal100%80%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
São Bernardo - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.60
Goals scored / match0.60.2
Goals conceded / match0.80.6
Average goals in match1.40.8
1 goal80%60%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-1-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Athletic Club
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
3
1
16-30
3
3
31-45
2
3
46-60
3
4
61-75
4
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

São Bernardo
ScoredConceded
4
4
0-15
3
5
16-30
2
1
31-45
6
1
46-60
2
2
61-75
7
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.03
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
89%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
56%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
52%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Athletic Club

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.32
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.32
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.34
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.66
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
70%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
88%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.33
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

São Bernardo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.32
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.71
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-9.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.11
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.60
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
132%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
74%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-1.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

Athletic ClubLigaSão Bernardo
Average goals in match 1.782.28 2.28
Both teams scored 56%48% 56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 22%42% 44%
Clean sheets 28%31% 28%
Goal before half-time 44%66% 67%
Goal after half-time 78%74% 78%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.28
Average goals per match
48%
Both teams scored
42%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.27
Home goals / match
1.01
Away goals / match
+26%
Home attack advantage
+20%
Home defence advantage
+15%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Athletic Club and São Bernardo play?

Athletic Club face São Bernardo on 23 July 2026 in Serie B. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Athletic Club vs São Bernardo?

Athletic Club score 0.89 goals per game on average and São Bernardo 1.33. The Serie B average is 2.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Athletic Club's matches and 56% of São Bernardo's.

What form are Athletic Club and São Bernardo in?

Over the last 5 games Athletic Club have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and São Bernardo 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Athletic Club vs São Bernardo?

The statistical background for Athletic Club vs São Bernardo — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.