Athletic Club vs Sport Recife: match statistics
Athletic Club vs Sport Recife: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Athletic Club played Sport Recife in Serie B (Brazil). The match was played on 1 October 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Athletic Club: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Sport Recife: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Athletic Club scores 1.20 and concedes 1.10 goals per match. Sport Recife scores 1.33 and concedes 1.07. League average: 2.34 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Athletic Club 57%, Sport Recife 63%. Over 2.5: Athletic Club 37%, Sport Recife 50%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Sport Recife has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.20. Athletic Club: 11.2 shots per match, Sport Recife: 14.3.
Match halves
Athletic Club: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.67. Sport Recife: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
Athletic Club: 61-75 (8 goals). Sport Recife: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.34 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Although Sport Recife sit 9th and Athletic Club 13th, the home and away statistics favour the hosts. Athletic win 40% of their home matches, while Sport Recife win 27% of their away games and lose 47% of them. The hosts score an average of 1.20 goals and concede 0.93 at home, while the visitors score 0.93 and concede 1.13 away from home. The quality of chances created also gives Athletic the edge: their home xG is 1.49, compared with Sport Recife’s away xG of 1.31. Both teams have won two of their last five matches, but Athletic have scored 9 goals and conceded 6, while Sport Recife have scored 7 and conceded 8, further strengthening the case for backing the hosts.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS landed in 67% of Athletic Club matches and 60% of Sport Recife matches, both above the league average of 48%. The hosts score an average of 1.73 goals at home and have not failed to score, while the visitors concede an average of 1.13 goals away. Sport Recife’s chances of scoring are supported by an average xG of 1.31 and the fact that Athletic Club have conceded an average of 1.2 goals across their last five matches. The risk to the BTTS - Yes pick is the visitors’ away average of just 0.93 goals scored, as well as their failure to score in 27% of matches. Even so, both teams scored in 80% of Sport Recife’s last five matches, giving BTTS - Yes a moderate edge.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been cleared in 93% of Athletic Club matches and 60% of Sport Recife matches. The hosts average 1.73 goals, post an xG of 1.58, and have scored in every match included in the analysis, providing a solid basis for expecting them to find the net. The visitors average 0.93 goals, but their xG stands at 1.31, and they have averaged 1.4 goals in their last five matches. The 2.5 line is less reliable, having been cleared in 47% of the hosts’ matches and 53% of the visitors’ matches over the full period analysed. With a total-goals projection of 2.70, Over 1.5 is therefore the stronger option, without needing to assume at least three goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Athletic Club have a clear attacking edge: they score an average of 1.73 goals per match compared with Sport Recife’s 0.93, and register 5.13 shots on target against their opponents’ 3.20. The hosts lead at the break in 33% of matches, while the visitors trail at half-time in 40%. Athletic also average 0.73 first-half goals, compared with just 0.27 for Sport. The hosts’ advantage could persist after the break, as they score an average of 1.00 goal and concede 0.53 in second halves, compared with 0.67 scored and 0.67 conceded by the visitors. Athletic’s 47% win rate and Sport Recife’s 47% loss rate also support a home victory. A half-time draw remains a notable alternative, as the hosts go into the break level in 53% of matches. However, their early advantage combined with greater attacking efficiency makes 1/1 the most likely HT/FT outcome.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Athletic Club | Sport Recife | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Athletic Club is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Athletic Club · 1.2 pts / match - Sport Recife
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sport Recife is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
1.2 goals / match - Athletic Club · 1.33 goals / match - Sport Recife
Athletic Club scores in 73% of matches (22 of 30 matches), while Sport Recife keeps a clean sheet in 33% (10 of 30 matches).
Sport Recife scores in 87% of matches (26 of 30 matches), while Athletic Club keeps a clean sheet in 27% (8 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Athletic Club
Over / Under - Sport Recife
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Athletic Club is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.4 pts / match - Athletic Club · 1.27 pts / match - Sport Recife
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Athletic Club - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Sport Recife - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Athletic Club
Sport Recife
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Athletic Club | Liga | Sport Recife | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.30 | 2.34 | • 2.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 57% | 48% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 37% | 43% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 27% | 31% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 67% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 75% | ▲ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Athletic Club 0 - 1 - 0 Sport Recife. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Athletic Club vs Sport Recife?
The Serie B match finished Athletic Club 1:2 Sport Recife. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Athletic Club vs Sport Recife?
Athletic Club score 1.20 goals per game on average and Sport Recife 1.33. The Serie B average is 2.34 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Athletic Club's matches and 63% of Sport Recife's.
What form are Athletic Club and Sport Recife in?
Over the last 5 games Athletic Club have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Sport Recife 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Athletic Club vs Sport Recife?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Athletic Club vs Sport Recife: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.